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Xinhua News Agency, Beijing, October 7, by wire, Title: The price of meat and vegetables on the National Day is stable, and the price of travel is expected to rise steadily this year
Xinhua News Agency reporters Chen Aiping and Yuan Junbao
Due to the weakening of seasonal factors and the increase of supply, during the National Day holiday, the prices of meat and vegetables and other daily necessities that had risen rapidly in many places in the early stage fell slightly, and the overall situation was stable. At the same time, residents' enthusiasm for traveling has pushed up the price of short-term tourism services.
According to industry analysis, better climate conditions, balanced supply and demand and other factors will ensure price stability in the year, and with the upgrading of consumption structure, the price of service consumption, including tourism and travel, will show a moderate upward trend.
The price of meat and vegetables is generally stable, with an increase of 10% to 30% for outbound tourism
"The price of vegetables has been stable these days, and I feel that the price of some vegetables and fruits is lower than that at the end of September." Zou Qi, who is buying vegetables at Shuangfeng Farmer's Market in Xuhui District, Shanghai, told reporters that the vegetables in the market before the festival were 3.5 yuan per kilogram, but at one time they were 2.5 yuan per kilogram in the festival. The price of lean meat and ribs in supermarkets also remained at the pre festival level.
The reporter learned from some vegetable markets and supermarkets in Jinan that vegetable prices were relatively stable during the National Day holiday. As an important vegetable wholesale and transit base in the north, the vegetable price index of Shandong Shouguang Agricultural Products Logistics Park has been basically stable recently, with a slight drop in price compared with that before the National Day holiday.
Li Daijun, general manager of Shandong Yucheng Haokang Animal Husbandry Co., Ltd., said that the price of live pigs was relatively stable during the National Day, and remained at about 13.5 yuan/kg.
During the festival, non food prices rose in the short term. According to several travel agencies, the price of outbound travel around the National Day has risen by 10% to 30%. According to the data of Ctrip, the rise of travel prices is related to the rise of air tickets and hotel prices during holidays. For example, the round-trip ticket price at home and abroad has risen by about 15% compared with the usual price; Among overseas destinations with obvious price increases, the single room night rate of hotels in Chiang Mai increased by nearly 20% year on year.
However, this year, many scenic spots in China announced a reduction in ticket prices before the festival, which will help reduce the cost of tourism for residents. As of September 28, 981 state-owned scenic spots have introduced or published free opening or price reduction measures to the public, with 491 scenic spots decreasing by more than 20% and 214 scenic spots decreasing by more than 30%.
The ordinary ticket price of the 5A level scenic spot Shanghai Science and Technology Museum has dropped from 60 yuan/person to 45 yuan/person since October 1. Shanghai citizens Zhu Qing and his wife took their 3-year-old son with them and saved 30 yuan in total ticket expenses. "It's equivalent to saving a family's whole day transportation expenses in the city," she said.
Adequate supply ensures stable prices, and the supply of high-quality services is still insufficient
Experts analyzed that during the National Day this year, the prices of basic consumer goods such as meat and vegetables benefited from adequate market supply.
Since late September, the weather in most areas of China has improved, which is conducive to the growth and transportation of vegetables and sufficient security. The African pig plague prompted farmers in Shandong and other major production areas to sell healthy pigs in advance, increasing market supply. This is also conducive to maintaining the stability of pork prices.
On the other hand, holiday travel has become a "new folk custom" in China, which will boost service prices in the short term. The China Tourism Research Institute, Ctrip, etc. estimate that domestic tourism is expected to exceed 700 million person times during the National Day this year; The number of outbound tourists will approach 7 million, reaching a new high.
Li Qiuyan, head of the brand development department of Mommy Donkey Tourism. com, said that Chinese tourists have a strong demand for high-quality hotels and special tourism products. High quality group tours and customized tours are very popular during the National Day holiday this year, but this has also pushed up the prices. For example, a 6-day tour from Shanghai to Hainan, which is highly rated by tourists, has a holiday price increase of about 30% compared with normal days.
He Jianmin, professor of the Tourism Management Department of Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, believes that the supply of high-quality travel service products in China is still difficult to meet the needs of the people. The decline in ticket prices of scenic spots is good for the people, but the quality supporting catering, tourist activities, traffic parking and other services are still insufficient, and the prices remain high during the festival. The tourism industry needs to further promote the supply side structural reform.
Seasonal factors are gradually receding, and prices are expected to be generally stable throughout the year
As the National Day holiday draws to a close, short-term and seasonal price increases gradually subside. Based on the comprehensive analysis of supply and demand, experts predict that prices will remain stable during the year.
A number of travel agencies said that the price of travel products such as air tickets and hotels has begun to decline, with a maximum decline of 40%.
The Shanghai Price Monitoring Department predicted that in the future, due to the relatively good autumn climate conditions, the supply of vegetables will grow steadily, the price will stop rising and fall back slightly, of which the price of leafy vegetables will decline or be relatively obvious, and the price of non leafy vegetables will maintain a small fluctuation. If extreme rain and snow weather occurs in winter, or food prices rise in the short term, but the overall situation should remain stable.
According to the analysis of the relevant person in charge of the National Bureau of Statistics, as the weather turns cooler, the residents' demand for pork will increase. But at the same time, the supply of pork, including the sale of live pigs, will also increase accordingly. If there is no new epidemic, pork will not bring new pressure to the price rise.
At the same time, non food prices have the basis for stable operation in the coming months: domestic supply capacity is relatively abundant, the situation of oversupply of industrial consumer goods will not change in the short term, and the price of service consumption will also show a moderate upward trend.
Lian Ping, chief economist of Bank of Communications, analyzed that it is unlikely that the international crude oil price will continue to rise significantly, and the import impact is small. At the same time, domestic demand is generally stable and monetary policy is stable, and CPI growth is not expected to expand significantly in the later period. The opinion of this article only represents the author himself. If the source of the article is a network reprint, this website is an information publishing platform. If there is infringement, please contact this website to delete it in time.
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