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 Finance and Economics

Da Mo Investment: Maotai Put Triggers a New Leader in Shanghai Stock Market Warrants

http://www.sina.com.cn 23:48, August 14, 2006 Sina Finance

In the case of very calm news over the weekend, Shanghai and Shenzhen markets fell sharply on Monday, and the shadow of Black Monday once again enveloped the market. In the morning, the stock index only rose slightly, then went down all the way, and then dived again in the afternoon. Individual stocks almost fell across the board, and trading volume slightly increased. The Shanghai Composite Index fell more than 30 points, 1600 points fell again, and the Shenzhen Composite Index fell below the 120 day line again, facing crisis. Although today's decline has shown signs from the technical side of last Friday, the direct reason for today's decline is the market's early release of the fear of the upcoming two empty interests: the central bank will raise the deposit reserve requirements tomorrow, and the market will be frozen funds tomorrow is expected to reach 150 billion yuan; Meanwhile, tomorrow G CITIC ( information quotation forum ) 1.1 billion shares and G Changdian ( information quotation forum ) 500 million non tradable shares will become tradable shares, marking the beginning of the listing of non tradable shares in August. These two empty interests suddenly strained the market capital. At the same time, these two major negative effects are likely to further deepen: the increase of deposit reserve leads to the central bank's interest rate increase, and the huge flood of non tradable shares led by the listing of G CITIC and G Changdian non tradable shares comes. These are all unbearable burdens for the stock market at present.

On the market and off market funds are quite afraid of the expansion pressure faced by the market in the future. The market sentiment has weakened to the extreme and has rebounded slightly. After the reduction, they began to sell at no cost. The technical rebound of oversold in the two markets is facing premature demise, and some stocks begin a new round of accelerated decline. On the contrary, the warrant plate is breeding a new round of explosive market. Judging from the trend of last week ( information quotation forum ) Vanke ( information quotation forum ) When the warrant continues to dip downward, other warrants have refused to fall! Obviously, there are funds quietly entering the market. Moreover, from the analysis of the effect of the warrant market and the seesaw of the market, it is unlikely that the stock market will continue to rise in the near future, and there are few opportunities for individual stocks in the overall sector. Therefore, the warrant market is expected to be sought after by active funds, especially some varieties with good technical forms, which are very likely to emerge to attack the ceiling or even explode continuously.

The put warrants continuously recommended in this column finally broke out today as a whole, and the CIMC put that was highlighted last Friday rose nearly 9%! Focus on 580990 Moutai put warrants this Tuesday ( information quotation forum ) The Maotai put listing set a record for the rise of warrants on that day, and the next day it surged 100%. It has a huge profit effect and a strong mass base, which is extremely favored by the super main force. Recently, a standard small round arc bottom shape has been formed, and the bottom volume can be stable and enlarged. On Monday, a breakthrough positive line was received. 580990 Moutai put warrants are the well deserved leading warrants, with a soaring nature, and the future market is expected to rise significantly.

At the beginning of the listing of Maotai put warrants, the performance was extremely brilliant: the put warrants were listed at a fixed limit of 1.52 yuan, up an astonishing 922.8%, creating a new record of one-day increase in the two markets; The next day, the price soared again by 100%, and the third day, the price reached 4.08 yuan. That is to say, the price of Maotai put was 24 times higher than the reference price on the third day of listing, and the original holders of warrants earned huge profits. However, such a wild trend of Maotai's selling has contributed to its skyrocketing nature. In the market of put warrants after July 13, Moutai put warrants rose by 55% in five days, once again allowing investors in the market to get rich security gains, and the effect of short-term sudden profits is unparalleled.

After a three-month pullback, the price of Moutai put warrants has seriously oversold, with a maximum decline of 77%. Various medium and long-term technical indicators have been suppressed to the limit, and there is no doubt that a very strong momentum has been accumulated. Maotai put warrants have a circulation price of 430 million yuan, and the circulation market value is only over 400 million yuan. The advantages of pocket price are prominent. The biggest feature of recent warrant speculation is that small cap low price warrants are wildly pursued by all kinds of funds, and often become the leading leader in the rise. Moutai put warrants are very attractive in small cap, and are very vulnerable to the attention of major funds to get out of the soaring market. If the trend of doubling at the beginning of listing, it shows that its market attribute is extremely active. G Moutai has shrunk and declined after a large amount of speculation in the early stage. The stock price of more than 40 yuan has an obvious downward acceleration trend, and the intrinsic value of Moutai's put is about to rise rapidly.

After the Maotai put warrants hit a new low of 0.968 last week, they began to collate the small negative and small positive horizontal markets, showing a gradually rising bottom pattern. The trading volume remained at the level of 100 million to 200 million yuan, and it was obvious that a large number of major funds began to absorb and operate. This Monday, a positive line with volume broke through the 5-day and 10-day moving averages at one fell swoop. Multiple indicators such as RSI and MACD all took the form of a golden cross, which played a good supporting role in the future market trend of the warrant. From the time sharing chart, the signs of starting the outbreak at the bottom have begun to emerge. As the warrant has a strong popularity base, once it is launched, numerous hot money will rush to catch up, which is expected to show a significant breakthrough trend in Changyang. As a new leader in the put market, it will lead the increase in the put market, which can be focused on. Damao Investment


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