CIMC ZYP1 (038006): Sharp Profits Opportunity Coming

In the context of the management's raising the threshold for additional issuance and refinancing and the expected slowdown in the issuance of new shares, the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets have recently rebounded slightly. It is worth further studying and judging how the future market will evolve. After an overall analysis, we believe that the future market is still not optimistic: first, even if the issuance of new shares is delayed for one or two weeks, it is also a short-term behavior. When Air China completes its listing, the market will face a larger number of new shares that are eagerly awaiting listing; Secondly, the role of raising the threshold for additional issuance and refinancing is quite limited, while the impact of the "Xiaofei" lifting of the ban in mid August will soon be reflected; Third, the surrounding markets have been in turmoil due to terrorist attacks recently, which has a negative impact on the domestic stock market. On the whole, this market is a self-help market launched by the main bodies of the market that have been sheathed. It is no doubt that the cautious rejection of funds outside the market can be seen from the total volume that has not been amplified. Since it is an oversold rebound trend, the space for the future market is very limited, and there are not many short-term opportunities for individual stocks.

According to comprehensive judgment, there are too many negative factors in the near future, and the market will enter the pattern of oscillation and consolidation next week. The put warrant plate is surging at the bottom of this week, and a new round of outbreak is brewing. Once the market weakens, the put warrants will start to soar across the board. The potash fertilizer recommended in this column was targeted by large funds, with a maximum increase of nearly 20%! Under the huge profit demonstration effect of this warrant, put warrants will still emerge from short-term star varieties next week, such as 038006 Zhongji put warrants ( information quotation forum ) : G Zhongji ( information quotation forum ) In recent years, the medium-term performance has rarely dropped by 36%. In particular, the market has many doubts about CIMC's performance, which has led to the centralized selling of large institutions. Recently, the stock price of G CIMC has dropped sharply in a row. CIMC put warrants are ushering in gold speculation opportunities. As a small cap put warrant with one of the longest duration, CIMC's put warrant has a very full bottom in recent form. The large fund of 038006 CIMC's put is actively involved, and the future market is expected to rise significantly.

According to the Securities Times on August 8, the net profit of G Central fell by 34% in the first half of the year. The article said that "because the production, sales and price of containers in the first half of 2006 were still at a low level compared with the same period last year, the main business of G CIMC (000039) in the first half of 2006 showed a significant decline year on year. During the reporting period, the company's main business income was 14.573 billion yuan, down 19.61% year on year; The net profit was 1.351 billion yuan, down 34.15% year on year. Earnings per share was 0.669 yuan, and return on net assets was 13.57%. If the non recurring profit and loss factors such as inventory falling price reserves returned by the company are taken into account, the net profit of G Zhongji will decline more. " From the performance of the secondary market of G CIMC, since "7.13", the weekly line has gone out of four consecutive negative periods, and it is one of the stocks with the largest decline. From the analysis of the large trading volume, the stock has obvious signs of fund selling. CIMC was abandoned, and there is still a deeper and longer way to go down in the future, which makes the put warrants of CIMC slowly show investment value.

CIMC put warrants have more room for growth than potash put warrants. First 038006 CIMC ZYP1 ( information quotation forum ) The biggest feature is that the duration of the ownership certificate in the two cities is one of the longest, and it will expire on November 23, 2007. The time value is extremely prominent. Second, the warrant has dropped by more than 70% since it peaked at 3.3 yuan, and all technical indicators are seriously oversold, so there is a very broad space for the rebound. Third, the market is small. CIMC put warrants have a share of only 420 million. They are pocket sized in the warrant sector, much smaller than those of China Merchants Bank, Shanghai Stock Exchange and Wuhan Iron and Steel Group. The biggest feature of this round of warrant speculation is that small cap warrants are chased by various bonuses, and the growth rate is also the most amazing. The market value of CIMC put warrants with more than 400 million shares is only 420 million. As long as there is funds to promote it, it is easy to get out of the soaring trend. Fourth, after continuous speculation, the stock price of CIMC regular shares has now turned to a downward trend. CIMC's performance in the fourth quarter of last year had zero growth, and this year's semi annual report performance decreased significantly. It can be seen that the fierce industry competition makes the company worried. CIMC's circulation of more than 600 million yuan is now at a high price of 11 yuan, and the bubble component is quite large. Once CIMC's share price starts to decline rapidly, the intrinsic value of CIMC's put warrants will be rapidly improved.

At the beginning of listing, CIMC put warrants created a glorious history of rising 40% in two days. The market image was quite good, which established a good market foundation for its retaliatory rebound. Recently, the warrant has been oscillating for six consecutive days near 1 yuan, with small yin and small yang. Large funds are actively and covertly absorbed, chips tend to be concentrated, and a round of accelerated upward trend is about to appear in the market. The extremely strong rotation characteristics of the warrant plate make Shenzhen Subxin warrants full of huge profit opportunities. As one of the longest duration small cap put warrants, CIMC's put warrants are expected to take the place of potash fertilizer's put and start a bottom-up wave. (Damuo Investment)