synonymMACD(MACD) generally refers to MACD indicators
MACD is called Similarities and DifferencesMoving Average, which is developed from the double index moving average. The fast index moving average (EMA12) is subtracted from the slow index moving average (EMA26) to get the fast line DIF, and then 2 × (the 9-day weight of the fast line DIF-DIFMoving Average DEA) to get MACD column.MACDThe meaning andDouble moving averageBasically the same, that is, the dispersion and aggregation of fast and slow moving averages represent the current long short state and the possible development and change trend of stock prices, but it is more convenient to read.The change of MACD represents the change of market trend, which is differentK lineThe MACD of the level represents the buying and selling trend in the current level cycle.
MACD（Moving AverageConvergence and Divergence) was proposed by Geral Appel in 1979Closing priceThe convergence and separation between the short-term (usually 12 days) index moving average and the long-term (usually 26 days) index moving average ofTechnical indicators。
usage method
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MACD should calculate the fast speed in application (generally 12 days)Moving averageAnd the moving average of slow speed (generally 26 days).These two values are used to measure the“Difference value”Basis.The so-called "DIF" is the 12th dayEMASubtract the EMA value of the 26th day from the value.Therefore, in the continuous rising trend, the EMA on the 12th was higher than that on the 26th.The positive deviation (+DIF) between them will become larger and larger.On the contraryDowntrendThe difference value may become negative (- DIF)absolute valueIt's getting bigger and bigger.As for the turning of the market, the positive or negative deviation should be narrowed to a certain extent, which is the real signal of the reversal of the market.The inverted signal of MACD is defined as the 9-day moving average of the "difference value" (9-day DIF).Similarities and differences in MACDMoving AverageCalculation formulaIn both cases, the weight of T+1 trading day will be added respectivelyWeight Take the popular parameters 12 and 26 for example, and the formula is as follows:
First calculate the fastMoving Average(i.e. EMA1) and slow moving average (i.e. EMA2), and use these two values as the basis for measuring the deviation (DIF) between the two (fast and slow speed lines), and then calculate the N cycleSmooth moving averageDEA (also called MACDDEM）Line.
Take EMA1 as the parameter of the 12th day, EMA2 as the parameter of the 26th day, and DIF as the parameter of the 9th day to see the MACD calculation process
EMA (12)=EMA (12) of the previous day × 11/13+todayClosing price×2/13
The formula of EMA on the 26th is
EMA (26)=EMA (26) of the previous day × 25/27+today's closing price × 2/27
2. Calculate dispersion (DIF)
DIF=Today EMA (12) - Today EMA (26)
3. Calculate the 9-day EMA of DIF
according toDeviationValue to calculate its EMA on the 9th day, that is, deviationaverage value, is the required MACD value.In order not to be confused with the original name of the indicator, this value is also called
DEA or DEM.
Today's DEA (MACD)=the previous day's DEA × 8/10+today's DIF × 2/10.
The calculated values of DIF and DEA are both positive ornegative。
Therefore, the MACD index is formed by combining two lines and one column. The fast line (white line) is DIF, and the slow line (yellow line) is DEA,HistogramIt is MACD.Among various investments, there are the following methods for investors to refer to:
1. When both DIF and DEA are greater than 0 (that is, they are above the zero line on the graph) and move upward, it is generally indicated that the market is atBull marketMedium, OKPurchase openingorLong position；
2. When both DIF and DEA are less than 0 (that is, they are below the zero line on the graph) and move downward, it is generally indicated that the market is atBear marketMedium, OKSales openingOr wait and see.
3. When both DIF and DEA are greater than 0 (that is, they are above the zero line on the graph) but both move downward, it is generally indicated that the market is in a downward phase and can be sold, opened and watched;
4. When both DIF and DEA are less than 0 (that is, they are below the zero line on the graph) but move upward, it generally means that the market is about to rise and the stock will rise, and you can buy open positions or long positions.
Exponential Smoothing Similarities and Differences Moving Average
Exponentially smoothed moving average, or MACD for short, is a short-termIndex average indexThe aggregation and separation between the index and the long-term index average index, and the technical index to study and judge the buying and selling opportunities.
MACD developed according to the principle of moving average overcomes the moving averageFalse signalFrequent defects can ensure the maximum success of the moving average.
The buying and selling principles are:
1. Both DIF and DEA are positive, DIF breaks through DEA upward, and buying signal reference.
2. Both DIF and DEA are negative, and DIF drops below DEA,Sell signalreference resources.
3.DIFLine andK lineIn case of deviation, the market may turn upside down.
4. DIF, DEA values fromPositive numberBeing negative or going from negative to positive is not a trading signal because they are behind the market.
Basic Usage
1. MACDkdj : DIF breaks through DEA from bottom to top, which is a buying signal.
2. MACD dead fork: DIF breaks through DEA from top to bottom, which is a selling signal.
3. MACD turns green to red: MACD value changes from negative to positive, and the market changes fromshort positionTurn to bull.
4. MACD red to green: MACD value changes from positive to negative, and the market changes from long to short.
5. DIF and DEA are both positive values, that is, when both are above the zero axis, the general trend isBull marketIf DIF breaks through DEA upward, it can be used as a buying signal.
6. DIF and DEA are both negative, that is, when they are both below the zero axis, the general trend isShort market, DIF falls below DEA, which can be used as sell signal.
7. When the trend of DEA line deviates from that of K line, it is a reverse signal.
8. DEA has a high error rate when consolidating the situation, but if it cooperatesRSIandKDJThe indicators can properly remedy the shortcomings.
computing method
MACD is to calculate the difference between the similarities and differences of two moving averages (EMA) at different speeds (long-term and medium-term) as the basis for market research.
DIF
1. First, calculate separatelyClosing priceThe moving averages of SHORT and LONG are recorded as EMA (SHORT) and EMA (LONG) respectively.
2. Calculate the difference between the two moving averages, that is, DIF=EMA (SHORT) － EMA (LONG)
The line composed of DIF is called MACD line
DEA
3. Calculate the difference and similarity moving average of the M-day average of DIF and record it as DEA.
The line composed of DEA is called Signal line
Histogram
4. Finally, subtract DEA from DIF to get Histogram, which is usually drawn asColumn Chart。
On the graph drawn, DIF and DEA form two moving averages, and the buying and selling signals are determined by the intersection of these two lines.Obviously, MACD is along-term trend Investment technology tools.By default, the systemSecondary drawingDraw DIF line, DEA line, MACD line (columnar line) when SHORT=12, LONG=26, MID=9.
shortcoming
1. As MACD is a medium and long-term indicator, the buying point, selling point andminimum price、Maximum priceBetweenPrice differenceLarger.When the market moves up and down too little or consolidates, you will enter the market according to the signal and then exit again. There may be no profit between buying and selling, and you may have to pay a price difference orService Charge。
2. Within one or two daysRise and fall rangeespeciallyLarge timeMACD has no time to respond, because the movement of MACD is quite moderate, and there is a certain time difference compared with the movement of the market, so once the market rapidly rises and falls, MACD will not immediately generate a signal, at this time, MACD cannot function.
Practical Skills
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becauseOnline stock speculationIs fast, convenientInformation disseminationFast, auxiliarysoftware analysisMore and more investors preferTechnical aspectsIn the technical indicators,KDJAnd MACD are used by investors.Most non professional investors feel that,KDJ indexThe buying and selling signals sent out are too frequent, with a high probability of error, and ordinary investors are often not suitable for such judgment indicators.Compared with KDJ, the use of MACD indicators is relatively simple and the probability of errors is small.Especially in judginglong-term trend Medium,long periodK lineMACD index ofAccuracyHigher.[1]
The study found that today,Zhou-K LineMACD indicator pairMedium long lineJudgmentalaccuracyIt is relatively high and can be used as the preferred reference index for medium - and long-term investors.For long-term investment, this method is obviously better than holdingIndex fundOur investment method is strong, and we can achieve better appreciation and preservation of assets.It's just on the Zhou K lineMACD technologyTo share the actual research and judgment of indicators, first of all, the online stock speculation analysis software should use the (12, 26, 9) parameters to analyze the weekly K line. When the MACD value exceeds 5 and the indicator appears a red column, it should be bought at the opening of the second week. When the indicator turns into a green column, it should be sold at the opening of the second week.
For most non professional investors, MACDZhou-K LineThe method can be tried.It is simple, simple and easy to learn. It is also a good choice to use as an operation guide before buying and selling in stock trading.
In a roundBull marketIn the middle, the price has reached a new high after the record high, and the moving average is perfectMultiple Arrangement , just look at the price andaverageIt seems that the rising market will never end.However, whenMarket sentimentWhen the market is completely infected by the current trend, it is often in the fifth wave. At this time, the upward space is limited, while the downward space is unlimitedTop of head and shoulderMode (right shoulder deviation) - it is an effective sobering agent, often remindingspeculatorThe market may end at any time.
Actual combat tactics
I"MACD low position twice golden fork"
First, "MACD low position twice golden fork"huge profitsopportunity.MACD indicator elements mainly include red column, green column, DIF indicator and DEA indicator.When the DIF and DEA indicators are below the zero axis, if there are two consecutive golden crosses in a short period (8 or 13 trading days), the second golden cross will occur,PossibleBoom.
When using the "MACD Low Level Secondary Golden Fork" to find short-term surge stocks, pay attention to the following:
（1） If the MACD has a golden fork at a low level, it may not be impossible to produce the stock that has soared, but the probability and assurance of the "MACD has a golden fork at a low level for a second time" to produce the stock that has soared is higher.
（2） The reason why there is a higher probability of the "MACD low level second golden fork" emerging from the stock boom is that after the "first golden fork",short positionAlthough another small attack caused another dead end, the short attack was defeated in front of the "second golden fork" in many ways.This causes the eruption of the power of the bulls.
（3） "MACD low position secondary golden fork", if combinedK-line formThe attack form on thereliabilityIt will be improved, and it will be easier for traders to decide to intervene."Two yang eat one yin" was formed, andHeavy volume The credibility of comprehensive research and judgment has increased significantly.That is, "MACD low level secondary golden fork" and K-line formVolume price relationshipIt can be considered comprehensively to increase confidence.
IIPractical application of MACD stock selection
In stock market investment, MACD index, as a means of technical analysis, has been recognized by investors.But how to use MACD indicators to makeincome from investmentTo reach the best state, but few people know it.Technical analysis, as an investment analysis tool of the stock market, has two major functions.The first is to discover the stock marketinvestment opportunity The second is to protect the investment income in the stock market from loss.In stock market operation, MACD index is far more effective than it in protecting the interests of investors. As a medium and long-term analysis tool, MACD index generates cross signals thatShort-term tradingLagging.MACD indicators belong to general trend indicators, which are composed ofLong term moving averageDEA，Short term moving averageDIF，Red energy column (multi head), green energy column (short head), 0 axis（Multi space boundary）It consists of five parts.It uses the intersection of short-term moving average DIF and long-term moving average DEA as the signal.The cross signals generated by MACD indicators are relatively slow, but they are effective in formulating corresponding trading strategies. The specific use methods are as follows:
1 When the value of DIF and DEA is above the zero axis, it indicates that the trend is in the bull market, and investors should take shareholding as the main strategy.If DIF crosses with DEA from bottom to top, it does not represent a buying signal. At this time, the overall market trend is already a short-term high, so it should be adoptedHigh dumping and low suctionPolicy.Generally, on the second or third day after the cross signal is generated, there will be a callback low point. At this moment, you can buy again to reduce costs.If DIF crosses DEA from top to bottom, it indicates that the rising market of this band has ended. Usually, the market will rebound after the cross signal is generated to confirm the formation of a short-term top. At this time, investors can take the opportunity to close their positions and exit.In the subsequent adjustment, useRandom indexKDJ，Strength index (RSI)Then wait for an opportunity to intervene and reduce costs.If DIF crosses DEA from bottom to top for the second time, it indicates that there will be a strong upward trend. After the cross signal is generated, investors should hold shares all the way until DIF crosses DEA from top to bottom again, and then liquidate all stocks, which can be carriedPurseGo home and have a rest.becauseStock marketAnd MACD indicatorsRegular meetingsAnd K linetrend chartThe trend of deviation is usually called bear deviation.Both the second or third high point created by the K line trend chart and the MACD indicator did not match the corresponding high point, but the opposite trend occurred, with the peak gradually decreasing.This phenomenon should arouse investors' vigilance, because it indicates that there will be a sharp decline in the market in the future. Therefore, investors should adopt the strategy of clearing positions and leaving the market, so that their stocks can avoid being hedged and their funds can avoid losses.
2 When DIF and DEA are below the zero axis, the general trend is short market, and investors should take currency holding as the main strategy.If DIF crosses DEA from top to bottom, an adjustment low point will be generated.Generally, after that, a wave of rebound market will generate, which is a good opportunity for investors to close their positions.stayChina Stock MarketMedium, not yet establishedShort mechanismTherefore, once the stock market enters the short market, the best strategy for investors is to leave the market.Investors can increase the value of their funds while the stock depreciates.If DIF crosses DEA from bottom to top, it will produce a high point, and investors should resolutely close their positions.The generation of such signals is generally rebound in nature.In the short market, every rebound should be regarded as the best opportunity for shipment.In particular, if DIF crosses DEA from top to bottom for the second time, it indicates that there will be a big downward trend in the future.Investors should resolutely clear out after the cross signal is generated.The usual decline is the C wave decline in the wave theory, which is the most lethal decline.Only by avoiding the decline of C wave can we say that we really made money in the stock market.After the short market falls after C wave, the deviation between MACD index and K line trend chart occasionally occurs, which is usually called "bull deviation".Since the K-line trend chart has the second or third low point, the MACD index has no corresponding low point, but the opposite trend of one bottom higher than one bottom appears. This phenomenon indicates that the market will reverse in the future, and investors should actively intervene, because there is no risk in the market.
3 When MACD index is used as a separate system, short-term reference can be made to DIF trend research.If the DIF falls through the 0 axis from top to bottom, it can be seen that the general trend may enter the short market, indicating that the general trend will weaken, which should arouse investors' vigilance.In the short market, investors bear more risks than returns.If MACD falls through the 0 axis from top to bottom, it is confirmed that the general trend enters the short market.Investors should adopt the strategy of leaving the market to avoidmarket risk So that the profits earned in the bull market can be guaranteed.If DIF crosses the 0 axis from bottom to top, it can be seen that the general trend may enter the bull market.It indicates that the general trend will be stronger, and some funds should be involved in the operation.If MACD crosses the 0 axis from bottom to top, it is confirmed that the market will enter the bull market.Investors can boldly hold shares and actively participate.In the bull market, the gains are higher than the risks.
4 In the MACD index, the red energy column and the green energy column represent the rise and fall of the energy of bulls and bears respectively.Their reaction to the market is ahead of the short-term average DIF in time.In the MACD index, the process of energy release is a gradual and progressive process, usually showing gradual amplification.stayOriental philosophyMedium stress“YangshengThen decline, yin is strong ".When using the energy column, the red energy column is combined with the trend chart of the K line. When the trend chart of the K line rises nearly 90 degrees, combined with the rapid amplification of the red energy column, it indicates that the top of the trend is near.Especially when two adjacent sections of red energy pillars are connected, the market will break out more rapidly.On the contrary, in the short market, this phenomenon is also true.After being familiar with this operationEscape from the topAnd bottom reading will be of great benefit.
5 In the process of using MACD indicators, two points should be noted. First, MACD indicators are not necessarily reliable for judging short-term tops and bottoms, but only in combination with medium-term indicatorsbias And staticADR index, can be determined.Second, usePerimeterMACD index analysis ratio inDaily lineThe MACD index effect is good.
In conclusion, when using MACD indicators, we must determine the attributes of the market.That is, whether the market is a bull market or a bear market.According to different market attributes, different operation strategies are adopted toAvoiding risks, the purpose of ensuring profits.In specific operations, the gold cross of MACD is generally an important buying opportunity.First of all, based on the analysis of its key points, when the DIF and DEA lines are below the 0 axis and far away, they change from downward to horizontal, and the golden fork formed by the fast line DIF passing through the slow line DEA is a better short-term buying opportunity, but we must pay attention to the main basis for judging the distance between DIF and DEA and the 0 axisHistoryAs a reference.The golden fork that occurs on axis 0 cannot be too far away from axis 0, or its reliability will be greatly reduced.It is more inclined to form an area in the red column of the Red Ocean, where the DIF crosses the DEA in the positive direction above the 0 axis to form a golden fork, and the reliability of the middle line is better.At the same time, it is also in line with the strongMarket opportunitiesMany,Weak marketIt's hard to make money in the stock market.
3、 Use the "bottom finder" flexibly to find the true bottom
This paper introduces a method of using MACD and30 day moving averageThe method of looking for the bottom together can eliminate most invalid signals and leave the most authentic and pure buying signals.Its use rule: In MACD indicators, the DIF line does not rise above the zero axis after the golden fork of the DEA line and below the zero axis, but soon becomes dead cross with the DEA line. At this time, investors can wait for when the two lines will be golden again. If the two lines are golden again (below the zero axis), 30Daily averageThe line also turns upward, which indicates that the bottom has been successfully constructed, and there is a greater possibility of a subsequent wave of quotations.
IVMACD deviation depth exploration 06
MACD deviation bottom reading method
（1） Basic Points
MACD indicator is the most famous trend indicator, and its main characteristics arerobustness This indicator is not overly sensitive, although it is too slow for the short term, it also determines that it can give a relatively stable trend direction in the market with a long cycle and a large number of data.If so, MACD will beTime-sharing chartFor example, more than 15 minutes, especially inTrading dayIt can be used in the afternoon marketIs longShort, become several transactionsMake a short lineA great tool for.It is worth noting that in theStock trading systemThe fast parameter takes 12 days more and the slow parameter takes 26 days more. This is because the Chinese stock market in the early days was six trading days a week and the average trading days in January was 26. Investors can change it to 10 and 22.But the basic difference is not big, so it has not attracted attention since then and has been followed up to now.Indicator deviationThe principle is the essence of the whole MACD application, and also the indicatoraccuracyHigher places.It is subdivided into top deviation and bottom deviation.The basic points are as follows:
1. Formation principle of deviation: It often occurs after a long period of time when one side of the market runs in multiple air (in the image, it means that DIF and DEA run in the same direction after crossing for a period of time), because it represents that one side has a strong power, and in this case it is easy to get over the head. This asymmetry of stock prices and indicators forms a deviation!
2. It is very important to take the value away from the origin, emphasizing the obvious high (low) point!Note that the value should be taken from the same upward (downward) trend, and run for a period after the highest (low) point (usually downwardLast paragraphThe stock price and index reached the third wave low point) before the origin appeared;
1. The indicators must be used at the recovery price;
2. Index movement failure in the suspension stage;
threePrice limitIndicator failure.Deviation is a process of energy accumulation, and only shock trading can be conducive to the accumulation and conversion of energy!Therefore, MACD indicators are easy to fail during the suspension!As far as the formation method is concerned, only the deviation formed by the way of stock price fluctuation rising (falling) has a high signal of judging the top (bottom), and the deviation formed after the index rises (falls) sharply is often a rebound (callback) market.Because only the way of gradual shock can be the way to fully release the energy and establish the top (bottom), but the way of riots has expanded the scope of the market side, after which at least there will be many deviations to really reverse.
In the sharp decline, when the bottom deviates from the low point for two consecutive times, it can be basically determined that the decline is almost over.However, at this time, due to the tenacity of the bears, they often make false breakthroughs downward, and the indicators also break with them. Although it is possible to break through the bottom of the first two deviations, that is, there is no deviation from the first two deviations, it still forms a deviation from the original deviation, and it is the third deviation. In operation, it can be boldly backhanded to copy the bottom.After the three deviations, the reverse market often has a large range and high security, among which the late boom needs a large number of continuous support.ST plate stocks in the process of decline60 minutesThe figure has formed an obvious "three deviations", which also supports the development of its rebound market.
In the stock market, the symmetry principle exists widely, and MACD relaxation is no exception.Generally speaking, the bottom deviation, especially after multiple deviations, will end with a deal or a top deviation.Because the bottom deviation represents the excessive concentration of energy, the suppressed energy after the rebound is launched is prone to retaliation, and the strong inertial effect is often prone to lead to the top deviation.
MACD is a trend indicator, and most of the traditional morphological analysis is based onTrend theoryIt is gradually summarized, so in principle, the two have greater commonality, which also determines that MACD bottom deviation can also be used in generalMorphological theoryConduct analysis, such asBottom of head and shoulder、Double bottom, three bottomsArc bottomThe evaluation theories commonly used in such form analysis, such as measuring amplitude, resistance or support level, can also be applied, while the top back relaxation is applied in reverse.One of the reasons why the market rebounds at the beginning of the year is that MACD has been formed since AugustTriple bottom。
MACD deviation bottom copying method 3: look for the bottom deviation with the largest amplitude!
The reason why deviation theory is concerned is that it can predict the possibility of reversal in advance.In essence, the deviation indicates that the stock price moves abnormally and returns to the normal levelNatural motionThe principle is the internal cause of the reversal force. Once the reversal force accumulates enough to counter the originalTrend momentumThe reversal occurs immediately when.It can be seen that the size of reversal energy contained in deviation is the most critical factor for reversing the market potential!
In the stock market, the most direct representation of motion energy is the amplitude andvolumeThe resultant force of!Since it is difficult to predict the trading volume in the future rebound in advance, it is more important to judge the rebound potential of the bottom deviation in the process of deviationamplitudeSize of!In general, we should actively look for the bottom deviation with the largest amplitude, that is, after the deviation from the origin occurs in the stock price crash, the index rebounds sharply because the stock price has stabilized or rebounded, but then when the stock price continues to fall sharply and hit a new low, the index returns to the origin level again, thus forming a large amplitude deviation form!Because, a large index amplitude is like a spring with good elasticity, which is temporarily suppressed when deviating, but once the suppression is cancelled, it will naturally continue to produce good elasticity!At the same time, since the spring does not need the assistance of external forces to complete its initial bounce, the initial stage of the rebound after such a deviation from the bottom is oftenShrinkageExpanded!On the contrary, it has been shown that there arePressure dumpingThe spring movement is suppressed by the opposite force, and the top is about to appear.
For example, after the market saw that MACD deviated from the origin in August, the decline in October and February both formed a large bottom deviation. The rebound started as scheduled, and the range was objective. At the same time, it started to enter the top construction stage when the high transaction occurred.
1. Early stageUpward trendThere have been many top deviations in China, and once the official peak is reached, the stock price will continue to plunge significantly;
2. The bottom deviation is formed in the course of decline after diving, but the amplitude of the deviation process is very small, forming the bottom form;
3. Once there is a large amount at the end of the bottoming, it is the official rebound signal, with strong continuity and large amplitude of rebound;
4. High rebound Once the deal is significantly reduced, the top of the rebound gradually appears;
The essential reason for MACD deviation is the accumulation of reverse energy!In terms of bottoming deviation, the previous upward trend was characterized by many times of top deviation and huge short position energy, which could not be released at one time even if it plummetedEmptyPower, so although the indicator bottoms out and deviates from the origin, it is still strongEmpty partySuppress but onlyNarrow amplitude oscillationAt this time, the multi head energy contained in the bottom deviation is like the spring being tied tightly by a rope and accumulating constantly;However, once the short energy is released and the bull energy is released for the first time, it means that the spring binding rope has been broken, and the accumulated bull power causes the spring to spring apart significantly, thus forming a continuous rebound market.It can be seen from this that the most critical point of the large-scale rebound operation strategy away from the bottom binding is the emergence of the first large-scale rebound signal of picking off the binding rope!The subsequent rebound transaction is actually the manifestation of accumulated bull energy. From the above spring kinetic energy principle, the transaction should be gradually reduced during the rebound process.However, once the transaction at a high level is significantly reduced, it also indicates that the spring rebound kinetic energy is basically released, and the top is about to appear.
For example, during the V-shaped rebound process after the diving market at the beginning of 2001 in Shenwanshan (000049), MACD has obviously rebounded from the bottom!The market has been falling continuously, so investors may as well pay attention to the deviation from the bottom bound stocks to prepare for the next rebound!
MACD deviation bottom reading method 5: MACD combined with wave theory bottom reading!
MACD index and wave theory are both famous theoretical tools for trend analysis, and their similarities in nature also indicate that they have certain commonalities in application in principle, and the application effect is often better when combined.From the application effect of wave theory for many years, its most valuable effect is to point out that there will be 3 waves reversing after 5 waves!If it is combined with the use of MACD to copy the bottom, that is, when MACD has a significant decline of 5 waves, it indicates that the indicator rebound is about to occur, and the intervention signal has been quite obvious.
From the perspective of trend, MACD wave pattern characteristics in this case mainly include:
1. From the first wave down to the second wave up, two high points are formed which decrease in turn. In combination with the rising or flat share price at that time, a typical top deviation has been formed;
2. The period from three waves to five waves is a period of downward release, but once the five waves are formed, the signal of short-term intervention has been sent.
3. The relatively long time-sharing chart, such as more than 15 minutes, especially in the afternoon market on trading days, can change from long to short, and become an excellent tool for short-term in several transactions.
Generally speaking, MACD combined with wave theory has a good application effect in continuous callback finishing.asShaanxi Gold LeafIn the short-term correction at the beginning of September, the MACD fell 5 waves in 15 minutes, and then rebounded.However, the 30 minute chart of the market has shown three waves of decline, which deviates from the big low point. Therefore, once the five waves of decline (around 1540) are completed, there is a great possibility of a rebound!Specifically, most of STIndividual stock trendIt also has this feature, investors may wish to pay attention after oversold.
Any technical tool has its ownUnique advantagesHowever, sometimes the advantages can easily be turned into defects, which often becomes the starting point for the makers to create traps by cheating the line!
Although the success rate of MACD deviation in application is relatively high, there is also the possibility of deviation trap.This is mainly reflected in: after the bottom deviates from the origin after consecutive sharp falls, the index starts to form a bottom deviation slantwise upwards, but the stock price does not rebound because of this, it is flat or even falling, and rises toPressure levelHowever, it continued to break down, and the bottom deviated from the trap!It is worth noting that the indicator high-level deviation that occurs again after the deviation from the trap is often the real bottom.The most obvious example is that after the market plummeted from August to September, the index was still sliding and the MACD index began to rise, but it still continued to plummet until the index again deviated from the high-level bottom at the beginning of the year,Mid term bottomOnly then really appears!Similarly, the stock price is prone to a similar top deviation trap after consecutive sharp rises.
The principle is mainly related to the difficulty in matching the energy level with the index reflection degree.The main feature of MACD operation lies in its robustness, but this just exposes its defect in the sharp rise and fall market, that is, it can not release the energy contained in such market by one-time deviation, and then it needs to deviate many times or form a higher level deviation before giving the trueReverse PointSignal.In view of this, it is still not suitable for investors to immediately apply the general deviation principle to reverse operations when the stock price has plummeted and soared continuously and MACD has a big opening breakthrough. It is better to wait for multiple deviations and return to the low point to form a high-level deviation before starting operations with high safety.
5、 Buying and selling signals sent by market deviation
MACD is mainly used for the long-term rise orDownward trendMake judgment.When the share price is atBoardOr when the index fluctuation is not obvious, the buying and selling signal sent by MACD is not obvious. When the stock price fluctuates greatly in a short period of time, MACD will not immediately generate buying and selling signals for the change of stock price because of its slow movement.In reality, what is most used is to use the trading signals sent by its deviation from the market to judge the future trend of the market.However, MACD did not hit a new high. Instead, there was a second downward dead fork, a top deviation, and the market issued anotherSell signal。According to the application principle of MACD, there will be a second downward dead fork in the high position, and then there will be a larger waveDowntrend。cast asideFundamental planeHowever, if you turn a blind eye to this important selling signal, the market will leave you endless pain and suffering.
VIMACD is the most effective and commonly used method to escape from the top
MACD is the most effective and commonly used method to escape from the top.When the "first selling point" is formed, it should be sold or reduced.
Virtual wave selling point or absolute top
MACD is the most effective and commonly used method to escape from the top.stayActual investmentIn the middle, MACD is an indicator that not only has the ability to copy the bottom (deviation from the bottom), capture extremely strong rising points (MACD has bought red for two consecutive times), capture“End point of dish washing”(Up and down deviation from buying).
Here are two most effective and commonly used methods to escape from the top:
The first selling point or relative top means that the stock price appears after a sharp riseHorizontal plateTo form a relatively high point.
Virtual wave selling point or absolute top
The technique for judging the establishment of absolute top is "price and MACD deviation selling", that is, when the stock price rises to a new high with false waves, MACD cannot simultaneously create a new high, and the trend of the two deviates, which is an obvious signal of the peak of the stock price.It must be noted that when the stocks are sold at the absolute top, they must not be sold after the MACD is dead, because when the MACD is dead, the stock price has dropped a lot. When the stocks are sold at the virtual wave top, the K line portfolio must be referred to.
Capture selling points
In the stock market investment, MACD indicators not only have the ability to copy the bottom (deviation from the bottom), capture the extremely strong rising point (MACD) for two consecutive red buying, captureWashing dishesThe function of the end point of (up and down deviation from buying).Capture with MACDBest selling pointThe method is as follows:
First is adjustmentMAFor CD related parameters, set the fast E-MA parameter of MACD to 8, the slow E-MA parameter to 13, and the DIF parameter to 9,Moving AverageThe parameters are 5, 10 and 30 respectively.After setting parameters, you can find selling points.Since there are many selling points of a stock, here are only two most effective and commonly used methods to escape from the top:
The first selling point or relative top is a relative high point formed by the sideways movement of the stock price after a sharp rise. Investors, especially those with the largest funds, must ship or reduce their positions at the first selling point.The skill to judge whether the first selling point is established is "the stock price cross and the MACD dead cross", that is, when the stock price goes through a continuous rise, the moving average of the 5th and 10th days has not yet formed a dead cross, but the MACD is the first dead cross, and the day of the dead cross is when the first selling point is formed, it should be sold or reduced.
After the formation of virtual wave selling point or absolute top selling pointStock priceThere was no sharp drop, but after the callback, the main force pretended to break up to cover the shipment.The skill to judge the establishment of the absolute top is "price deviation from MACD", that is, when the stock price rises to a new high with false waves, MACD cannot simultaneously create a new high, and the trend of the two deviates, which is an obvious signal of the peak of the stock price.It means that you should never wait for the dead end of the MACD to sell stocks at the absolute top, because when the MACD is dead end, the stock price has dropped a lot, and you must refer to the K line portfolio to sell stocks at the virtual wave top.
Finally, we need to remind our shareholders that MACD indicators haveHysteresis, using MACD to find the best selling point to escape from the top is particularly suitable for those stocks that are platforms after a sharp rise, which has not been carried outMain upwelling wave, then do not use the above methods.
1. Onmoving average In the MACD chart, if the DIF line turns from top to bottom, or the DEA line turns from top to bottom, it indicates that the price may fall, which can be consideredsell short。
2. On the contrary, if the DIF line turns from bottom to top, or the DEA line turns from bottom to top, it means that the price may rise, and you can consider going long.
Buying and Selling Strategies of Medium and Short term Investors
1. One branch in the moving average convergence deviation pointer (MACD) chartVertical lineIt is called Moving Average Convergence Deviation Pointer (MACD), and the green horizontal line is a columnar vertical linewatershedThe columnar vertical line appearing below the watershed is called "negative", while the columnar vertical line appearing above the watershed is called "positive".
2. For short and medium term investors, when the moving average convergence deviation from the pointer (MACD) columnar vertical line changes from negative to positive, that is, when the vertical line turns from below the watershed to above, it is a multi signal.If the moving average convergence deviation pointer (MACD) is used for analysis, the DIF line will cross the DEA line from bottom to top.
3. Conversely, when the columnar vertical line changes from positive to negative, that is, when the vertical line turns from above to below the watershed, it is a short signal.Similarly, the DIF line will cross the DEA line from top to bottom.
Buying and selling strategies of midline investors
1. In the moving average convergence deviation pointer (MACD) chart, if the DIF line and DEA line are both above the zero line, the rising trend of the market situation is displayed.Therefore, if the DIF line and the DEA line turn downward above the zero line, or if the DIF line falls below the DEA line, it can only be used as a long position closing signal.However, if the DIF line is below the zero line and falls below the DEA line, it can form a more reliable short signal.
2. On the contrary, if both the DIF line and the DEA line are below the zero line, it indicates that the decline is not over.Therefore, when both the DIF line and the DEA line are below the zero line and turn upward, or the DIF line rises above the DEA line, it can only be used as a short position closing signal.However, if the DIF line is above the zero line and exceeds the DEA line, it can be regarded as a more reliable long signal.
Short term actual combat
Indicators are not omnipotent. The key is how to use them correctly. Here I tell you.Study and judge the marketAftermarketShort term trend, focus on netBuying volume, NetSales volumeBetweenDialectical relationship, and the trend after the fight between net buying and selling.Among many technical indicators, the MACD indicator is very unique, and it can be used to predict the disk surfaceAccuracyVery high.
IMACD indicator line
MACD line in MACD indicator (inStock softwareThe yellow line in the middle is usually the direction of the future market.When the line rises for a long time, if the rising angle slows down or even flattensstock market indexA good opportunity to sell high is when you rise.When the line goes down for a long time, the hook goes upRuntimeOnce the stock index returns to a relatively low point, it is a good opportunity to take a low price.If the stock index falls out of the negative line, but the MACD red column still enlarges, it is predicted that the market will stop falling and continue to rise the next day.
2、 Research and determine the size of net purchase and sales
With the rise of stock prices, for example, the red column of the MACD index rises significantly, exceeding the red column of the previous stock index relative high, while the stock index has not reached the previous high, the short-term future market should be bullish at this time.The increase of the red column indicates that the net buying volume is large. Therefore, when the short-term rising strength is temporarily blocked and falls back, the callback is a good buying point, and vice versa.
3、 If MACD line hook runs upward
If the MACD line moves upward, the MACD red column is small, and the stock price does not rise, butTransverse finishing , it means that the market is a false breakthrough, and you should sell your stocks.However, when this line goes down, but the green column is small, and the stock price stops falling after a small decline, it means that there will be another band of rising prices in the short-term future market.
Indicator application
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KDJ cooperation
The most commonly used technical indicators in the market are KDJ and MACD indicators.KDJ index is an advanced index, which is mainly usedShort line operationDominant;MACD, also known as smooth moving average, is the marketaverage costThe deviation of, generally reflects the overall trend of the midline.Theoretically, the advance of KDJ index is mainly reflected in the speed of reflecting the stock price, which is strong around 80overbought , the stock price has certain risks;50 is the wandering area;The area around 20 is a safer area, which is oversold and can be used to build positions. However, due to its fast speed, it often causes frequent buy and sell signal errors;MACD indicators are basicallymarket priceSynchronous movement increases the requirements and restrictions for sending signals, thus avoiding false signals.The advantage of combining the two to judge the market is that you can more accurately grasp the short-term buying and selling signals of KDJ indicators.At the same time, because of the midline trend reflected by the characteristics of the MACD indicators, we can use the two indicators to determine the midline trend of the stock priceShort term volatility。
When MACD keeps its original direction, KDJ index is overbought orOversold conditionNext, the stock price will still follow the established trend.Therefore, in operation, investors can use this to judge whether the market is adjusting or reversing, and can also appropriately avoid short-term adjustment risks to winShortfall。The horizontal adjustment of the stock is nearing the end. It can be seen that the MACD is still maintaining its original upward trend, and the KDJ index is about to form a golden fork in the upward direction of 50 after adjustment, indicating that the stock price still has the opportunity to rise again in the short term.In general, for the judgment of short-term trend, the buying and selling signals sent by KDJ need to be verified with MACD. Once both send the same order, the buying and selling accuracy will be higher.
The research and judgment of MACD indicators can also help to study and judge the market from the shape of MACD graphs.
When the red column or green column of MACD forms a figure with double top and bottom (i.eM headAnd W bottom), triple top bottom, etcMorphological theoryTo analyze and judge.For example:
The deviation of MACD indicator means that the trend of MACD indicator graph coincides withK-line diagramThe trend of is just opposite.The deviation of MACD index includes top deviation and bottom deviation.
(1) Top deviation
When the stock price trend on the K line chart is higher than the peak, the stock price is rising all the time, while the trend of the graph composed of red columns on the MACD indicator chart is lower than the peak, that is, when the high point of the stock price is higher than the previous high point, and the high point of the MACD indicator is lower than the previous high point of the indicator, this is called top deviation phenomenon.The phenomenon of top deviation is generally a signal that the stock price is about to reverse at a high level, indicating that the stock price is about to fall in the short term, which is a signal to sell stocks.
(2) Bottom deviation
The bottom deviation generally occurs in the low area of the stock price.When the stock price trend on the K line chart is still falling, while the trend of the graph composed of green columns on the MACD indicator graph is bottoming out, that is, when the low point of the stock price is bottoming out from the previous low point, the low point of the indicator is higher than the previous low point, which is calledBottom deviation。The bottom deviation phenomenon is generally a signal indicating that the stock price may reverse and rise at a low level, indicating that the stock price may rebound and rise in the short term, which is a signal to buy stocks in the short term.
In practical application, the deviation of MACD indicators is generally more reliable in the strong market. When the stock price is at a high price, it is usually confirmed that the stock price is about to reverse as long as there is one deviation, while when the stock price is at a low price, it is generally confirmed after repeated deviations.Therefore, the accuracy of MACD indicators' top deviation research is higher than that of bottom deviation, which investors should pay attention to.
