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Rationally Wait and See Guangzhou's Second hand Housing Transactions Still at a Low Level

Xu Lei
08:12, September 21, 2018 | Source: Nan Fang Daily
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Original title: Rationally wait and see the transaction of second-hand housing in Guangzhou is still at a low level

More than half of the "Golden Ninth", the second-hand property market in Guangzhou has not yet seen the quality of the traditional peak season. Statistics show that last week (September 10-16), the overall number of second-hand online signings in Guangzhou was 1258, up 2.1% month on month, and the weekly turnover is still low. The industry believes that the main reason is that most of the buyers who are inclined to buy houses are in a wait-and-see attitude, and the real estate is more rational. They will consider entering the market only when they meet the appropriate price. Therefore, some urgent selling owners can consider giving up profits or increasing the bargaining space to speed up the transaction.

The price of second-hand online tickets has risen structurally

In terms of price, the online price of second-hand housing last week was 27027 yuan/square meter, up 7.6% month on month. The main reason is that the trading volume in Tianhe, Yuexiu, Haizhu and other high price regions has rebounded significantly, while the trading volume in Zengcheng, Huadu and other peripheral areas has declined instead of rising, resulting in the structural increase of the overall average price of online signings.

Among the seven major districts, Tianhe, Yuexiu and Haizhu have performed well, with 144, 105 and 146 deals respectively, up 53.2%, 54.4% and 27.0% month on month respectively.

Among them, Tianhe District's share of transactions increased from 11.8% the previous week to 16.8% this week, ranking fifth in the city.

In addition, it should be noted that although the turnover of Panyu declined 8.9% month on month, it still led the city with 234 cases. Among them, the trading volume of Shiqiao is still active with the two advantages of low price and mature living facilities.

In the near future, the overall market has a low number of visitors and reduced trading volume, and the owner's price inflation mentality continues to be low, which has prompted the owner's quotation index to remain low in the near future. On the whole, 65% of the quotations were cut this week, an increase of 5 percentage points month on month, most of which were down 1-5%, accounting for 41%.

From the perspective of the range of changes in the quotations of various sources, the proportion of sources whose quotations are basically unchanged is 6%, a decrease of 6 percentage points from the previous week, the largest range of changes.

The demand for rental housing market falls back, and the rent is flat

As the graduation peak season gradually fades away, the rental market has begun to shift to the off-season.

Recently, the demand for residential rental market in Guangzhou has slightly dropped, and the rental trend is flat. The housing rent at monitoring points in the city was 53.43 yuan/square meter/month, a slight increase of 0.42% month on month, up 0.57% year on year; The rent of monitoring points in central urban area and peripheral area is 55.65 yuan/square meter/month and 35.12 yuan/square meter/month respectively.

Recently, in some cities, the public opinion about the long-term rental apartment enterprises seizing the housing resources through financial leverage such as rent loans has become very loud. According to the report issued by Guangzhou Real Estate Agency Association, the rent in the multi district housing market in Guangzhou is on the rise, but the range is relatively slight. The rent in the whole city's housing rental market is on the rise steadily, with no significant increase. Front line managers said that on the one hand, the reason is that the proportion of long-term rental apartments in Guangzhou's residential rental market is relatively low, which is difficult to significantly promote the market rent; On the other hand, most landlords believe that long-term rental apartments have a large investment in community environment, home appliance equipment, services, etc., and it is reasonable for the rent to be higher than that of casual rental housing, while their own casual rental housing is obviously longer than that of the low-end rental apartments, so they dare not increase rent rashly. The result is that in the face of the soaring public opinion of residential rental in other cities, most landlords in Guangzhou have no obvious changes in their selling prices and bargaining mentality, which makes the rental level of the residential rental market in Guangzhou and the market sentiment remain stable as a whole.

The industry believes that the pace of future transactions will slow down, and rents will continue to rise steadily. With the end of the "graduation peak season" in the middle of the year, the residential rental market has begun to enter the traditional off-season again. It is expected that the demand for rent exchange will be the main demand in the residential rental market in Guangzhou in the short term. The market transaction will tend to be weak, the transaction rhythm will slow down, the room for price negotiation of housing sources may expand accordingly, and the overall rent level of the market will remain stable.

relevant

The floor price at the junction of Guangzhou and Foshan rises, and there are still "depressions"

Last week, the border area between Guangzhou and Foshan successfully sold a homestead, equivalent to 15415 yuan/square meter of floor price. The plot is located in Pingzhou, which is separated from the first bridge in Guangzhou. The price of elevator buildings in this area is still at the beginning of "2". Compared with other areas where the price of buildings at the junction of Guangzhou and Foshan has been close to the beginning of "3", Pingzhou is still a "property price depression" at the junction of Guangzhou and Foshan.

Li Long, director of Hefu Real Estate Guicheng Zhonghai Fanhuali Branch, said that the area where the land was auctioned was nearby Pingzhou Park, which was not a popular area for second-hand housing market in Pingzhou. At present, only a small number of buildings such as Huafuyu Waterfront have received high attention. If the development of Poly and Vanke's buildings develops in the future, it may significantly drive the development of this area. At present, the second-hand property price near Pingzhou Park is still "at the beginning of the second word". For example, the average second-hand price of Huafuyu Waterfront is about 21000-23000 yuan/square meter. Considering that the newly produced residential property price has reached 15000 yuan/square meter, the future prospect of the property market in this area is still promising.

According to the current market situation, most of the popular buildings in Pingzhou second-hand housing market are concentrated near Kangyi Park. The average second-hand price of staircase buildings is about 13000-14000 yuan/square meter, while the average second-hand price of elevator buildings is about 22000 yuan/square meter. The average second-hand price of popular buildings such as Zhonghai Fanhuali and Fufeng Junyu is about 23000 yuan/square meter, while the average second-hand price of Fufeng New Town is about 22000 yuan/square meter.

At present, there are not many buyers coming from Guangzhou to buy second-hand houses in Pingzhou, accounting for only 2-3%. According to Li Long, the main reason why Pingzhou attracts Guangzhou tourists is that it is close to the urban area of Guangzhou and the public transportation is developed. Many people who do business in Guangzhou will choose to buy houses in Pingzhou. There are also improvement buyers from Guangzhou who sell small units in the urban area of Guangzhou and buy large units in Pingzhou.

Among the demand of Pingzhou second-hand property market, the first-time buyers of just in demand accounted for about 30%, and the rest were mostly improved house replacement demand. Just in need buyers tend to buy properties with a total price of about 2 million yuan, and compact three bedroom houses with an area of about 89 m2 are more popular. Fufeng New Town is a real estate that just needs buyers' attention, because the unit price is slightly lower. Buyers who want to change their houses prefer to buy properties with a total price of about 3 million yuan, and pay more attention to large three room houses with an area of about 120 square meters.

Southern Daily reporter Xu Lei

(Editor in charge: Kong Haili, Wu Zhenguo)

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