[Market Thinking] Today is On Tuesday, April 6, 2021, although the market opened high today, the overall trend of the day was basically stable and volatile. The reason for this situation is that today the Shenzhen Main Board and the Small and Medium Board were merged. On the day of combining the boards, the market of course was dominated by a smooth transition, so I felt that today's overall trend was volatile and powerless. But this trend is actually in line with the overall state of the market today.
So today, although the trend is weak, it is still in a small rebound structure. When we look at the Shenzhen Composite Index and the SME Board Index, they are more and more similar. Basically, the trend rhythm is the same at both high and low points. This is a very important state of market consolidation, so we only need to look at one index.
[Panel observation] On the whole, it is piercing now After the 60 EMA, the market is closing to the 60 EMA and rebounding after the break. But in the later period, we must pay attention to the resistance, but we must note that the resistance is not equal to the resistance. So in the short term, although the small structure is still in the process of rising, in the medium term, the resistance pressure is still quite large. We can look at the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index. After all, there are thousands of people in charge of one person 。
You can feel the change of market water temperature by looking at the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index, so today the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index has received 3482.97, just better than 3482.40 at the golden mean of 0.618. That is to say, the gold level has climbed over, which means that the market is still weak, but can it be overcome from the late half quantile of 3530? In fact, I think it is possible to flush it. After all, today's overall trading volume is shrinking, so the shrinking is for the smooth transition of plywood today, and it is also a structure of shrinking shocks in a small upward trend. In the later period, the market is still hopeful to offset the half quantile of the golden mean, which is around 3530 points, but it may not be offset. Then the market should be protected from one point and what? It is perimeter protection.
It is possible to rise and fall at the end or beginning of this week. This is a market characteristic seen from the short cycle in the recent period. At the same time, from the medium cycle, there is a large moving average support below the weekly level, but this moving average needs to be confirmed many times before it can be confirmed to be effective. So in the medium term, the market is likely to fall again, and in the short term, it is likely to rise, but after rising, the resistance level may cause a certain rise shock, so we should cherish it. Let's make bold assumptions, carefully seek confirmation, and see if the late market has certain confirmation of my guess today.
Of course, no matter whether it is right or not, the strategy has not changed. It is just that in the near future, it is not suitable for heavy positions to attack, because from the perspective of market hot spots, it is messy. Today, it can be said that there is no tiger in the mountain, and monkeys are called overlords. The whole concept board feels a bit of overlord today 。
However, the core assets do not control the rising rhythm today. If the core assets are not offset later, the resistance level will be half quantile 3530 is hard to get.
[Tactical Analysis] Judging from the yellow and white lines of the current index, it is far from enough to rely only on the yellow line to move up. If you want to move up to the half quantile 3530 must be supported by a white line. The white line must be supported by core assets and financial weights, and the strong cycle sector must make a joint effort to make such an upward attack. But once the upward attack is made, retail investors will be easily excited, easy to catch up, and easy to buy breakthrough points. This is a key point in recent operations.
Don't chase high blindly, and use static braking. Our strategy is to slow down, watch and pass three times, which is not suitable for heavy positions. In addition, let me remind you that our Mingqian tea has entered the delivery process. Due to the limited production and large order volume of Mingqian tea, we will delay the delivery slightly and try our best to deliver as soon as possible. Please wait patiently. That's all we need to do today. We'll see you on Wednesday tomorrow.