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What happened? The A-share market fell sharply this morning, and the resource shares fell collectively. The real estate index fell by more than 3%, the nonferrous metal index closed down nearly 3% this morning, and the building materials and other industries fell by more than 2%.
On the news side, the external commodity futures market was in full retreat, the overnight gold futures price fell 1.8%, and the international copper futures price, which fell more than 1% overnight, fell nearly 4% this morning.
The Federal Reserve releases a heavy signal. The latest minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting show that there has been a lack of progress in reducing inflation in recent months. At the same time, the participants discussed whether they would be willing to raise interest rates if the inflation rate did not continue to decline towards the target of 2%.
Under the influence of this news, the yield of medium and long-term US bonds rose. The two-year US bonds rose 4 basis points to 4.86%, a new three week high. The benchmark 10-year US bonds rose 1.2 basis points to 4.43%.
Bull shares fell sharply
The above statement means that the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut widely expected by the market may be postponed again. David Solomon, CEO of Goldman Sachs Group, said frankly that the United States needs to deal with more severe inflation, and the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates this year. In April, the economists of Goldman Sachs Group said that the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates twice this year, the first in July and the second in November.
The news of the postponement of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut will undoubtedly severely dampen the bull market of commodities. Since this year, A-share resource stocks have performed well. The coal index has risen by nearly 19% this year, and nonferrous metals, petroleum and petrochemical sectors have all risen by more than 10%. In terms of individual stocks, China Shenhua 、 zijin mining 、 CNOOC The stock prices of leading varieties such as the Shanghai Stock Exchange have frequently hit new historical highs.
Resource stocks fell sharply in the morning, and some bull stocks fell significantly, including Feinan Resources 、 Combined Technology (Rights protection) 、 Shengda Resources Both fell by more than 5%. In terms of leading stocks, zijin mining A-share fell more than 3%, Chinalco 、 Shandong Gold Both fell more than 2%.
Underestimation supplement or repair
Insiders pointed out that the postponement of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut will have a temporary impact on A-shares, but the market may soon return to the original slow track. On the one hand, A-share valuation is still at a historical low and has a high cost performance ratio in the world; On the other hand, the favorable policy will help the macro-economy continue to improve and support the index to further strengthen.
Yongxing Securities believes that in the investment ideas of style, fundamentals, long-term main line and overseas catalysis, among The concept of high dividend yield is still relatively certain. Specifically, it is suggested to find the direction of the spread of high dividend themes. Yongxing Securities also suggested to pay attention to the underpricing sector, mainly because when the main line of the current market is not completely clear, The undervalued price may be worth repairing.
These premium stocks bucked the trend
Since this year, the dividend strategy has performed well, and the dividend index has increased by nearly 17%. However, some high-quality, undervalued and high dividend yield stocks fell against the market.
According to the statistics of Databao, there are 33 individual stocks with a dividend yield of more than 2%, a rolling P/E ratio of less than 15 times, a stock price falling against the market since this year, and more than 10 institutions rating them. Among them, citic securities 、 Yanghe Shares 、 Wuming Kangde 、 Daqin Railway 、 Guotai Jun'an The market value exceeds 100 billion yuan.
Some stocks are favored by the social security fund, UOB 、 Zhifei Biology , Daqin Railway Shede Liquor Industry At the end of the insurance period, the value of the stock market held by such individual stocks exceeded 100 million yuan.
Analysts said that, generally speaking, in a bull market, small market stocks are more flexible and are expected to achieve higher excess returns. Therefore, in the list of stagflation stocks, the focus should also be on small capitalization stocks.
Among the 33 stocks with low market value and high dividend yield, the one with the lowest market value is Huayang International Less than 2.3 billion yuan. In addition, Jiangshan European School 、 Goldenhome 、 Silane Technology The market value is less than 5 billion yuan.
Among the individual stocks with a market value of less than 10 billion yuan, Gaoce Shares The attention of institutions is high. Southwest Securities It is believed that the leading position of the company's photovoltaic cutting equipment is stable, the production and marketing of the diamond line is expected to keep ahead of the industry with capacity expansion and thin line iteration, and the slicing business highlights the technology alpha in the era of thin line and slice.
In terms of market performance, Zhifei Biology, Wuming Kant Jiuzhou Pharmaceutical The decline of such stocks exceeded 30% in the year, Gaoce Shares, Silane Technology Jing'ao Technology 、 Dolly Technology And the decline of more than 20%.
Statement: All the information content of Databao does not constitute investment advice. The stock market is risky, so investment should be cautious.
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