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How will the index go in the "big exam" tomorrow?

(2020-02-02 19:17:33)
Classification: Comment

Happy New Year, everyone. In the twinkling of an eye, the stock market ushered in a new opening day. The index fell sharply on the last trading day before the festival. No one expected the epidemic to be more pessimistic than expected, and directly brought the index down. If it was adjusted normally, the index would certainly not go so deep. However, how the index went is always right. We still need to treat it objectively, and the epidemic continued to worsen on holidays, Now the number of confirmed cases has risen to more than 10000, so the epidemic situation will not be talked about. I believe that China's execution and current medical level will certainly overcome the disease later. Come on, China, Wuhan.

So, tomorrow, the first trading day after the holiday, the "big test" of the index will go. First of all, look at the peripheral situation. The U.S. stock market fell by more than three percent in the holiday, and the Hong Kong stock market fell by more than five points, The a50 index has almost fallen by seven points. In this case, the index will not be able to run away if it opens significantly lower tomorrow. In addition, there are a lot of emotions brewing during the holidays. These emotions will definitely be released tomorrow morning. After the release, there will be a copy of the chassis in the session. After the copy of the bottom, there will be a small backdraft. At that time, it will depend on the strength of the backdraft. Personally, it is difficult to have a deep v tomorrow, It is estimated that it will take a few days to repair, but the trend of the index is relatively opposite. There is no need to panic blindly even if the panic is down now. The repair efforts must be great later, and the index has adjusted the space by taking advantage of the previous panic in the short term, which is also a stage opportunity.

Because the index is now at a relatively low overall point, and it is hard to go down. This view has been repeatedly said before. In the long run, the index cannot become more pessimistic as it falls behind. Instead, it should be more optimistic, but short-term operations should keep pace. Then, how to operate individual stocks tomorrow? In the live broadcast years ago, it was repeatedly stressed that the heavy positions should be reduced according to the atmosphere. If they are not reduced, don't reduce them in a hurry when the panic happens tomorrow. After the withdrawal, see if the withdrawal is not strong enough, and then consider reducing them. If the positions are not heavy enough, don't worry about clearing them. After a few days of slow decline, you can consider adding positions to make a price difference, It is estimated that there will also be a trend of repair in the future.

Finally, sometimes we have to look at the two sides of things. The index just took the opportunity to panic and fall. Many quality stocks are good opportunities for allocation. Good quality stocks have said the performance inflection point before, and the performance can grow steadily. With the advent of the registration system, these quality stocks will gradually become the mainstream. These stocks are good buying points when the index falls, So don't follow the blind panic when the index falls recently. Spend more time selecting stocks, and spend more time looking at the fundamentals of midline stocks, Instead of looking at graphics alone.

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