US Presidential Election

American electoral system
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synonym US general election (US general election) generally refers to the US presidential election
Implemented by the United States Presidential system presidential election It is held every four years. The American presidential election system is complex and the process is long. The main procedures of the election include preliminary elections, the holding of national congresses by all parties to determine presidential candidates, presidential candidates' election, national voters' election of presidential "electors", and the establishment of "electors" Electoral College Vote to formally elect the President and the President elect inauguration Wait several stages.
according to American electoral system The President of the United States is elected by the Electoral College, not directly by the voters. The person who obtains more than half of the electoral votes is elected President. When voters cast their ballots on election day, they should not only choose among presidential candidates, but also elect representatives from 50 states and Washington DC 538 voters to form the Electoral College. Most states and Washington, D.C. implement the winner take all policy Winner takes all )Rules, that is to say Electoral vote All are given to presidential candidates who have obtained a relative majority of votes in their own state or territory. The elected elector must swear to vote for the candidate who wins in the state when the electoral college votes. Therefore, the results of the general election can usually be calculated according to the results of the state elections on the polling day of the general election.
According to the procedure, United States Senate and House of Representatives There will also be a joint meeting to count the voting results of the Electoral College and announce the winner. Until then, the election process of the new president will be completed. However, for a long time, the results of the presidential election in the United States have usually been finalized on the polling day of the general election. Voting by the Electoral College and counting the votes in Congress are just ceremonial procedures and have no practical significance.
17 states in the United States presidential election Voting rules Precedents, pass relevant legislation to 2016 US Presidential Election For the first time, multiple voting restrictions were implemented. Eleven of these states will require voters to show their photos ID Otherwise, you will not be entitled to vote. [1]
On January 20, 2021, Biden was sworn in as the 46th President of the United States. [2]
Chinese name
American presidential election system
Foreign name
American presidential election system
Frequency
Held every four years
Features
The electoral system is complex and the process is long
Preselected time
Beginning of the election year

Election Details

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Preelection is the first stage of the US presidential election, which usually starts at the beginning of the election year and ends at the middle of the year. There are two forms of pre election, namely, party grassroots meeting and direct pre election. The former means that the two parties hold representative meetings from the bottom to the top in each state, from the election point, county, electoral district to the state level, and finally elect representatives representing their own party's voters in the state to participate in the National Congress. The latter is in the form of universal suffrage. Voters from both parties in a state go to the polling station on the same day to vote for their party's voters in the state to participate in the National Congress. This is the primary election method adopted by most states.
After the primary election, the two parties usually hold national congresses in July and August respectively. The main task of the meeting is to finally determine the President of the Party vice president Candidates, and discuss and adopt the presidential election platform.
After the National Congress, the President Campaign The curtain was officially opened. This process usually lasts 8 to 9 weeks. During this period, presidential candidates from both parties will spend huge amounts of money traveling around the country, conducting advertising wars, delivering campaign speeches, meeting voters, and holding meetings Press conference And open debate. In addition, candidates will also elaborate their policies and opinions on domestic and foreign affairs in various forms to win the trust of voters and win votes.
National voters cast their ballots on the day after the first Monday in November of the election year (November 4 in 2008 and November 6 in 2012), which is called presidential election Day. according to Electoral College The number of electoral college members (also called electors) in each state federal The number of members is equal. Washington, D.C. also has three candidates vote There are 538 electoral votes in the country, and the presidential candidate must win at least 270 of them to be elected. except Maine and Nebraska Except that the two states distribute the electors' votes according to the proportion of ordinary votes, all other states implement the winner's inclusion of all votes, that is, the candidate who wins the majority of the electors' votes in this state gets all the votes of the electors in that state. In most states, electors are elected by regional and state party congresses. The electors of the winning candidate's party participate in the final vote of the state electoral college. Electors usually meet in December to vote in the state capital. The voting results of the electoral college were then reported to Washington, where they were counted at the joint session of the two houses of Congress in January. Although there are some proposals from time to time in the Congress to abolish the electoral college system and replace it with voters Direct voting Elect a president, but such proposals often receive little response. In addition, on the presidential election day, voters have to conduct the Senate and House of Representatives elections within the federal scope. according to 1787 Constitution of the United States , Senators are directly elected by the voters of each state. Two Senators are elected from each state for a six-year term, and one-third of them are re elected every two years; The members of the House of Representatives are elected by the states according to the proportion of the population. The term of office is two years. After the expiration of the term, all members are re elected.
In this way, the United States Congress has 100 senators (with a term of six years and one third of them will be re elected every two years), 435 representatives (with a term of two years and all of them will be re elected after the expiration), plus Washington, D.C The total number of presidential electoral votes was 538. A candidate who wins more than half of the total number of electoral votes (270) is elected president.
The real presidential election was held on the first Monday after the second Wednesday in December (December 15 in 2008). At that time, the "electors" elected by the states and the District of Columbia will go to the state capitals to vote. The candidate who has won more than 270 votes will be elected president and sworn in on January 20 of the next year.
inauguration It is the last procedure of the presidential election in the United States. Only when the elected president touches the Bible on January 20 of the next year (history Up division Theodore Roosevelt )The presidential election in the United States came to an end when he was sworn in.
stay American politics In China, the Vice President does not work in practice. His official duty is to serve as the chairman of the Senate, but this is mainly ceremonial, because he only votes in favor of and Negative vote Vote only when equal. The daily work of the Vice President is usually determined according to the requirements of the President, which is generally insignificant, such as representing the President to attend the funeral activities of foreign leaders.
According to the Constitution of the United States, if the President dies or loses his ability to work, the Vice President takes over the presidency. Becoming vice president first is one of the ways to ascend the presidency of the United States. the Second World War Since then, three vice presidents have taken over the presidency during their term of office. Truman died because of Roosevelt, Johnson because Kennedy Assassination, Fordrin Nixon Step down and take over as president respectively. In addition, several vice presidents also served as presidential candidates, including Nixon Humphrey Mondale And Bush.
Vice President of the United States It is not directly elected by the American public, but selected by the Democratic and Republican presidential candidates and elected by the national congresses of both parties. When selecting a vice presidential candidate, the presidential candidate should first consider the political qualifications and conditions of the candidate, but it mainly depends on which part of the party he represents in order to achieve balance and strive for the support of the largest majority of voters.
However, the election results do not depend on the choice of the vice president by the voters, but on the presidential candidates. During the 1988 U.S. election, many Americans believed that the Republican presidential candidate Bush's running mate Queer Too young, inexperienced and unworthy of consideration, but thinks Democratic presidential candidate Duka Keith Bentsen, our running mate, is experienced and popular. However, as a result of the election, Bush won and became President, and Quayle naturally became Vice President.
Vice presidential candidates are usually members of Congress, but senators have a better chance of being selected as vice presidential candidates. The reason is that once elected as Vice President, the Senator will serve as the President of the Senate, which can strengthen the relationship between the President and the Senate.

Preselection

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The first stage of the US presidential election - primary election
The quadrennial presidential election process in the United States is long and complex, mainly including preliminary elections, national congresses of all parties to determine presidential candidates, presidential candidate elections, national elections Electoral College Vote and the inauguration of the President elect. The primary election is the first stage of the US presidential election and is regarded as the prelude to the US general election. This phase usually starts in February of the election year and ends in June. The majority of the party primaries are held on Tuesday. In the pre election stage, the two major political parties of the United States, Democratic and Republican, will respectively elect representatives to participate in their party's national congress in most states of the country. For a few states that do not hold primary elections, the bipartisan state committees or state congresses select representatives to participate in the party's national congress. These representatives will put forward their party's presidential candidates at the party congress. Therefore, the primary election is actually for the President Candidacy The competition for.
Voters are voting
The primary election system of each state was gradually developed after 1902. There are two forms of pre election, namely, party grassroots meetings (or "party caucus meetings") and direct pre election.
The "primary election" is in the form of a general election. Two party voters in a state arrive on the same day Polling station Vote to elect their "committed representatives" (or "sworn representatives", which must be sworn in before the National Party Congress, that is, the nomination meeting, and the local will as the basis for voting) to attend the party's National Congress (nomination meeting), And indicate that A candidate who supports his party. The form of "primary selection" is more formal. Most states in the United States use this form of primaries.
State presidential primaries will produce Honshu "Commitment delegates" who participate in the National Congress promise to support a candidate of their own party based on the pre election results. The number and distribution mechanism of "commitment representatives" of the two parties are different. The Democratic Party generally allocates the number of delegates according to the support rate of each candidate in the primary election. In some states, the Republican Party allocates the number of delegates according to the support rate of the candidates, and in other states, it implements the rule of "all wins". In addition to the "committed representatives", a small number of "uncommitted representatives" (referred to as "super representatives" by the Democratic Party) also participated in the party congress. They are mainly party celebrities, such as members of the party's National Committee, senators or governors, and party leaders; They are not elected through primary elections, and can not promise to support a candidate before the party congress.
The performance of candidates in the primary election is mainly measured by the proportion of the "committed representatives" of the party they have won, rather than the level of their support rate. If the candidates of both parties want to win the presidential nomination, they need at least the support of more than half of the representatives of the National Party Congress.
In the Democratic Party, each state has a certain number of representatives, and the candidates can get the corresponding number of representatives according to the voter support rate in the primary election. Of the 4049 delegates in 2008, 3253 were elected in state primaries, and the remaining 796 "super delegates" were elected by Democratic National Committee Members, Democratic senators or governors, and party leaders are automatically awarded. At the end of August Denver At the nomination meeting, the candidates who have won the support of more than 2025 delegates will run for president on behalf of the Democratic Party.
In terms of the Republican Party, some states, like the Democratic Party, allocate the number of delegates according to the support rate of the candidates, while others implement the "winner takes all" rule (such as New Jersey, New York Virginia 15 states). At the Republican nomination conference held in Minneapolis in early September 2008, a total of 2380 delegates voted for the presidential candidate, including 1917 "committed delegates", that is, the delegates who indicated their support for the candidate before the meeting. There are also 463 "uncommitted representatives", 123 of whom are members of the Republican National Committee. The candidate who has won the support of more than 1191 delegates will win.
For decades, Iowa and New Hampshire It has always been the state where the first grass-roots party meeting and the first primary election are held in the US election year. In the pre election stage, the size and population of a state are not directly proportional to the state's influence on the whole election. The most important thing is the pre election date - the earlier the date, the greater the impact. Therefore, although Iowa and New Hampshire are small states“ Wind vane ”And“ barometer ”The role of the two parties has attracted great attention from candidates of both parties and various media.
After the primary election, the two parties will usually hold national congresses in July and August respectively to determine their presidential candidates. At the national congress of both parties, the candidate who gets the support of the most attendees can be elected as the presidential candidate of the party.
US Presidential Election—— Electoral college system
according to Constitution of the United States The electoral college system is adopted in the presidential election of the United States. The Electoral College system has experienced more than 200 years of development and evolution since it was first implemented in 1788.
The Electoral College system stipulates that the President of the United States is elected by the Electoral College elected by the state legislatures, rather than by the voters directly. The presidential candidate has won 50 states and Washington DC 538 in total Electoral vote More than half (more than 270) can be elected.
According to the law, the national voter vote is held on the day following the first Monday in November of the election year (Tuesday). National Voting Day is also called Presidential Election Day. Since the electoral college system is adopted in the US presidential election, the presidential election day is actually the "elector" who elects to represent the voters.
Each state of the United States has the same number of electoral votes as it has in Congress. according to hoyle, United States Congress senate It is composed of two members elected by each state, and the number of members of the House of Representatives is determined according to the population proportion of each state, and the proportion is adjusted every 10 years. As a result, states with large populations have more House members and more electoral votes in presidential elections. Such as the most populous California 55 electoral votes Alaska There were only three electoral votes. In view of this situation, in previous presidential elections, states with large populations have become important targets for presidential candidates.
Number of electoral votes, reflecting state power The principle of equality , depending on the number of members of Congress in each state. For example, each state has two senators and at least one representative in Congress, so any state has at least three votes. But in large states with large populations, in addition to these three votes, the more members of the House of Representatives, the more voters will vote. In 1961, Amendments to the Constitution of the United States Approving Washington, D.C., can have presidential electors like states. Thus, the United States Congress has 100 senators, 435 representatives, plus Washington, D.C The total number of presidential electoral votes is 538.
The Electoral College system also stipulates that, in addition to Maine and Nebraska The two states are vote In addition to the distribution of voter votes, the remaining 48 states and Washington, D.C., implement the "winner wins all" system, that is, give all the electoral votes of the state to the presidential candidates who have obtained the relatively majority of popular votes in the state. Due to the large difference in the number of electoral votes in each state, it is possible that the presidential candidate who accumulates more votes in the national general election cannot win the presidential election. American history The above situation has occurred many times in the past (1876, 1888, 2000, 2016). Although some presidential candidates obtained less than competitor But was elected because of the large number of electoral votes. The most recent one happened in 2016, when the Republican presidential candidate Trump was nearly 3 million votes behind the Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton in the general election, he defeated the Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton with 306-232 electoral votes and was elected as the new president.
The United States Constitution also stipulates that if all candidates fail to obtain more than half of the electoral votes, the House of Representatives will elect the President from the top three candidates who obtain the most votes. In 1824, John Quincy Adams It was under such circumstances that he was finally designated as President after a vote by the House of Representatives.
Electoral college system It's the United States republic federalism and Principle of decentralization and checks and balances The combination is also the result of compromise and coordination among various interests, so there must be defects and drawbacks that are difficult to overcome. The United States has been calling for the reform of the Electoral College system, but due to various factors, the reform has been unable to proceed.

Electoral vote

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The President of the United States is elected by national voters, but not by direct election, but by the Electoral College. Voters voted for 50 states and District of Columbia 538 voters. The presidential candidate won more than half Electoral vote (at least 270) to win.
Each state of the United States has the same number of electoral votes as it has in Congress and the House of Representatives. senate It is composed of two members elected by each state, and House of Representatives The number of legislators is determined by the proportion of the population of each state. States with large populations have more House members, and presidential election They also had many electoral votes. Such as the most populous California 55 electoral votes Alaska There are only three electoral votes in other states. Although the District of Columbia does not participate in the House of Representatives, it still has three electoral votes.
except Maine and Nebraska In addition to the two states' distribution of electoral votes according to the winning rate, the other 48 states and the District of Columbia all implement the "winner wins all" system, that is, all the electoral votes in the state are given to the presidential candidate who has won the most popular votes in the state.

Voting time

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The polling day of the US general election is the day after the first Monday in November (that is, Tuesday between November 2 and November 8). Since the United States spans six time zones, and some states cross time zones, the start and end times of voting vary from state to state, or even from east to west in the same state.
be located Northeast United States Two small towns in New Hampshire US Eastern Time At 00:00 (13:00 Beijing time), voting began. The latest voters were Alaska and Hawaii , about half a day later (early morning Beijing time the next day).
Voting stations around the country are generally open for 12 hours. beautiful Eastern Time 18: 00 (07:00 the next day Beijing time), Indiana Most regions and Kentucky The eastern half ended voting at the earliest. At 00:00 a.m. EDT (13:00 p.m. Beijing time) the next day, the vote in Alaska will be closed at the latest.
The results of the local vote counting can be announced after the polling stations are closed. The national preliminary voting results are generally produced after 22:00 Eastern Time (11:00 the next day Beijing Time).

Battleground state

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Every time in the presidential election of the United States, the election of the "battleground states" is of particular concern.
"Battlefield State", also known as“ Swing state ”States where there is a small gap between the support rates of candidates from both parties. Battlefield states include Indiana Virginia , Ohio and Florida Etc. Compared with the "battleground state", if the candidate has obvious advantages in a state, that state is called the "safe state". During the campaign, candidates usually focus on "battleground states" to try to expand their advantages.

Voting method

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According to US media reports, two-thirds of voters will manually fill in paper ballots, which will be scanned and counted by machines, and the remaining one-third will vote by machines.
Both voting methods have advantages and disadvantages. Paper ballots are considered more reliable, but Scanner Sometimes there are problems, resulting in slow voting process and improper selection Voided ticket And so on.
Machine voting is divided into electronic voting and touch-screen voting. About a quarter of voters use electronic voting. Because there is no written record, voters have no way to know whether their votes have been recorded, Indiana Kentucky , Pennsylvania Virginia Texas Tennessee These states use electronic voting. Georgia New Jersey Eight other states used touch screen voting. This voting method has written records, but sometimes the machine will have problems, resulting in record errors.
17 states in the United States presidential election Voting rules Precedents, pass relevant legislation to 2016 US Presidential Election For the first time, multiple voting restrictions were implemented. Eleven of these states, including Wisconsin North Carolina And Texas will require voters to show their photos ID (Among the certificates with photos, the driver's license is the most commonly used. People who can't drive can apply for "state ID ”Substitution), otherwise they will not be entitled to participate in the voting. [1] According to statistics in 2012, about 21 million voters in the United States did not have any photo certificates issued by the government. The vast majority of these people are low-income people who can neither afford to buy a car nor have the opportunity to fly, especially a large number of ethnic minorities at the bottom of society. The U.S. Voter Registration Act of 1993 stipulates that the government provides public service In the process of registration, eligible voters receiving services must be registered at any time. here we are Election Day , voters need to a registration form Find your name on. Next, most states require voters to use photo ID Social Security number Card, electricity bill, bank certificate social welfare Check your name and vote in any way. There are also dozens of states that do not require any Identification Only the voters need to check the name of the registration form and sign to confirm the corresponding legal responsibility OK.

Voting rate

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according to american university U.S.A voter The Research Center predicted on the 2nd that the number of voters in the US general election is expected to reach 135 million Voting rate It may be close to 65%, thus reaching the highest level since 1960. In 2004, the number of voters in the United States was 122 million, with a 55% turnout.

Exit Poll

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Shortly after the presidential election vote civil mediation Organizations or media in Polling station The exit conducted a survey of voters, and most of the polls were consistent with the final election results. Exit Poll With its timeliness and Accuracy Get each Big media favor.
Dispatched by pollsters Visitor It will appear in front of more than 1300 polling stations in the United States, and the survey will sample more than 100000 voters. In order to avoid prejudice, the interviewer selects one person from every five voters or every ten voters to inquire according to the number of polling stations. The interviewers will record their age, race, gender and other characteristics for experts to analyze their voting intentions.

Successive Presidents

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sort
Duration
Name of President
remarks
one
1789-1797
George Washington (George Washington)
Father of America
two
1797-1801
John Adams (John Adams)
-
three
1801-1809
Thomas Jefferson (Thomas Jefferson)
-
four
1809-1817
James Madison (James Madison)
-
five
1817-1825
James Monroe (James Monroe)
-
six
1825-1829
John Quincy Adams (John Quincy Adams)
-
seven
1829-1837
Andrew Jackson (Andrew Jackson)
-
eight
1837-1841
Martin Van Buren (Martin VanBuren)
-
nine
1841
william harrison (William Harrison)
He died in April of the same year. The shortest serving president of the United States
ten
1841-1845
John Taylor (John Tyler)
-
eleven
1845-1849
james polk (James Polk)
-
twelve
1849-1850
Zachary Taylor (Zachary Taylor)
He died of illness in July 1850.
thirteen
1850~1853
Millard Fillmore (Millard Fillmore)
-
fourteen
1853~1857
Franklin Pierce (Franklin Pierce)
-
fifteen
1857~1861
James Buchanan (James Buchanan)
-
sixteen
1861-1865
Abraham Lincoln (Abraham Lincoln)
He was assassinated in April 1865.
seventeen
1865-1869
Andrew Johnson (Andrew Johnson)
-
eighteen
1869-1877
Ulysses Grant (Ulysses Grant)
-
nineteen
1877-1881
rutherford hayes (Rutherford Hayes)
-
twenty
1881
James Garfield (James Garfield)
He was assassinated in September of the same year.
twenty-one
1881-1885
Chester Allen Arthur (Chester Alan Arthur)
-
twenty-two
1885-1889
Grover Cleveland (Grover Cleveland)
-
twenty-three
1889-1893
Benjamin Harrison (Benjemin Harrison)
-
twenty-four
1893-1897
Grover Cleveland (Grover Cleveland)
-
twenty-five
1897-1901
William McKinley (William McKinley)
He was assassinated in September 1901.
twenty-six
1901-1909
Theodore Roosevelt (Theodore Roosevelt)
-
twenty-seven
1909-1913
William Howard Taft (William Taft)
-
twenty-eight
1913-1921
woodrow wilson (Woodrow Wilson)
-
twenty-nine
1921-1923
Warren Harding
He died of illness in August 1923.
thirty
1923-1929
Calvin Coolidge (Calvin Coolidge)
-
thirty-one
1929-1933
Herbert Hoover (Herbert Hoover)
-
thirty-two
1933-1945
Franklin Roosevelt (Franklin Roosevelt)
He died of illness in April 1945.
thirty-three
1945~1953
Harry S. Truman (Harry S. Truman)
-
thirty-four
1953-1961
Dwight Eisenhower (Dwight Eisenhower)
-
thirty-five
1961~1963
John Kennedy (John Kennedy)
He was assassinated in November 1963.
thirty-six
1963~1969
Lyndon Johnson (Lyndon Johnson)
-
thirty-seven
1969~1974
Richard Nixon (Richard Nixon)
In August 1974, due to watergate event resignation.
thirty-eight
1974-1977
Gerald Ford (Gerald Ford)
-
thirty-nine
1977-1981
Jimmy Carter (Jimmy Carter)
-
forty
1981-1989
Ronald Reagan (Ronald Reagan)
-
forty-one
1989~1993
George Bush (George Bush)
-
forty-two
1993~2001
Bill Clinton (Bill Clinton)
-
forty-three
2001-2009
George Walker Bush (George Walker Bush)
-
forty-four
2009-2017
Barack Hussein Obama (Barack Hussein Obama)
forty-five
2017~2021
Donald Trump (Donald Trump)
-
forty-six
2021~
-
US Presidential Election

Anecdote of the general election

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Actors' candidature

In the second half of 2017, the famous American actor Dwayne Johnson confirmed in an interview with Variety that he would consider participating in the US presidential election. He said that he could not have an acting career and politics at the same time, considering that the next two or three years have been scheduled movie theater schedule The most realistic is to consider the 2024 election. [5]
Dwayne Johnson

Disturb the election

Both democratic and republican parties are right 2020 US Presidential Election The results of the counting of votes and possible electoral disputes are tense. Worried about the social unrest after the election, many businesses and even some in Washington federal government The door and window of the department are reinforced with wood plates, national guard A relevant response force was established. industry data display The sales of guns and ammunition in the United States continued to rise this year. the atlantic 》Quoted in the report american university Academician Cynthia Miller Idris said, "All indications indicate that the current risk of violence is high." [6]

AI election situation

Reported on May 3, 2023 Biden After announcing his re-election last week, the Republican National Committee immediately released an advertisement attacking him. This 30 second short film proudly attached a disclaimer: "This film is completely generated by artificial intelligence (AI) graphics tools." Experts said that this advertisement foreshadowed the presidential election in 2024, which is expected to become the first AI election cycle in American history, AI may play a key role in determining votes.
Democratic Representative Yvette Clark proposed a bill to require political advertisements to disclose the use of AI to generate images. Clark said in a statement: "In the upcoming 2024 election cycle, for the first time in the history of the United States, AI generated content will be used for political advertisements of campaigns, political parties and super political action committees. If AI generated content can manipulate and deceive people on a large scale, it may have devastating consequences for our national security and electoral security." [7]

US Media Measurement

In January 2024, it was reported that according to the estimation of several American media, Trump won the Republican Iowa primary election in the 2024 presidential election in the United States. [8]