Total amount of all agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery products in monetary form in a certain period
The total agricultural output value is the total amount of all agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery products in monetary form in a certain period (usually one year).reflectagricultural productionTotal scale and total results.The calculation method is as follows: the output of agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery products and their by-products is multiplied by their respective unit product prices;For a few products with a long production cycle and no products in the current year or whose output is difficult to be counted, the indirect method is used to estimate their output value;Finally, add up the output value of the four industries.The total agricultural output value in 1980 and later has increased the output value of the part of industrial commodities run by farmers' families.Since 1984, the industrial output value of villages and below has been classified as industry.Since 1993, the sideline business will be canceledwild animalThe hunting of 50% is included in animal husbandry, and the collection of wild plants and the commercial industry of farmers' families are included in agriculture.[1]
Chinese name
Total agricultural output value
Definition
Including manure and farmers' self-sufficient handicrafts
Meaning
Reflects the total scale of agricultural production in a region
Calculation
Generally, agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery products
The total agricultural output value before 1957 includedbarnyard manureAnd farmers' self-sufficient handicrafts (such as farmers' self-made clothes, shoes, socks, and their own primary grain processing).The total agricultural output value in 1958 and later increased the output value of bamboo and timber harvesting in villages and below in forestry;The output value of manure was cancelled in animal husbandry;In the sideline industry, the output value of farmers' self-sufficient handicraft industry was cancelled, and the industrial output value of villages and below was increased;The output value of marine fishing aquatic products has been increased in fishery.The total agricultural output value in 1980 and later has increased the output value of the part of farmers' households that concurrently run industrial commodities.Since 1984, the industrial output value of villages and below has been classified as industry.Since 1993, the sideline industry has been abolished, and the hunting of wild animals has been included in animal husbandry, the collection of wild plants, and the commercial industry run by farmers' families has been included in agriculture.
The gross agricultural output value mainly depends on agriculture!According to the statistics of the Ministry of Statistics, in 2007, the gross agricultural product accounted for the largest proportion in the national industrial chains!Other industries are relatively average!It can be seen that agriculture is replacing all other industries and becoming the most important industry in China.
significance
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The gross agricultural output value reflects the total scale and level of agricultural production in a country or region.
calculation
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It is usually obtained by multiplying the output of agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery products and their by-products by their respective unit product pricesproduction cycle For a long time, if there is no product in that year or the product output is not easy to be counted, the indirect method is used to estimate its output value, and then the four industriesProduct output valueThe total agricultural output value is the sum.The total agricultural output value before 1957 includedbarnyard manureAnd farmers' self-sufficient handicrafts (such as farmers' self-made clothes, shoes, socks, and their own primary grain processing).The total agricultural output value in 1958 and later increased the output value of bamboo and timber harvesting in villages and below in forestry;Production value of consumption manure in animal husbandry;In the sideline industry, the output value of farmers' self-sufficient handicraft industry was cancelled, and the industrial output value of villages and below was increased;The output value of marine fishing aquatic products has been increased in fishery.The total agricultural output value in 1980 and later has increased the output value of the part of farmers' households that concurrently run industrial commodities.Since 1984, the industrial output value of villages and below has been classified as industry.Since 1993, sidelines have been abolished.The hunting of wild animals will be included in animal husbandry, and the collection of wild plants and the commercial industry of farmers' families will be included in agriculture.
Refers toActual price。For example, the ex factory price of industrial products, the purchase price of agricultural products and the retail price of commercial products.Some aggregate indicators calculated at current prices, such as GDPTotal industrial and agricultural output value、Completed investment in fixed assetsAnd the total retail sales of social consumer goods, reflecting the actual situation of the year, linking up various indicators of the national economy, facilitating the inspection of social and economic benefits, and facilitating the implementation of production, circulation, distribution and consumptionoverall balance, calculated at current priceValue indicatorsWhen comparing between different years, because it contains factors of price changes in each year, it cannot accurately reflect the increase and decrease of physical quantity. Only after the price change factors are eliminated, can the comparison truly reflect the economic development dynamics.
Comparable price
It refers toValueIn comparison, the factors of price change are deducted to accurately reflect the change of volume.PressComparable price calculationThere are two ways to do this: one is to directly multiply the product output byConstant pricecalculation;Second, useprice indexConversion.
Constant price
It refers to using the average price of similar products in a certain period as the fixed price.It is used to calculate theProduct valueThe purpose is to eliminate the factors of price changes in different periods, and the comparison of different periods can reflect the productionDevelopment speedSo as to achieve the comparability of indicators between the previous and subsequent periods, between regions, and between the plan and the actual.The constant price is not an eternal price. Since the founding of New China, with the change of the price level of industrial and agricultural production, the National Bureau of Statistics has formulated the uniform constant price of industrial and agricultural products for five times: (1) 1952 constant price was used in 1949-1957;(2) 1957 constant price was used in 1957-1971;(3) 1971-1981 use 1970 constant price;(4) 1981-1990 use 1980 constant price;(5) The 1990 constant price was used in 1990, and it was still used until 2004.But since 2004Comparable price calculation。That is, in 2004Total output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fisheryThere are three kinds of prices. The 90 year price may be canceled and theComparable priceAnd the current price.
Calculation principle
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It is usually obtained by multiplying the output of agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery products and their by-products by their respective unit product pricesproduction cycle For a long time, if there is no product in that year or the product output is not easy to be counted, the indirect method is used to estimate its output value, and then the four industriesProduct output valueThe total agricultural output value is the sum.The total agricultural output value before 1957 includedbarnyard manureAnd farmers' self-sufficient handicrafts (such as farmers' self-made clothes, shoes, socks, and their own primary grain processing).The total agricultural output value in 1958 and later increased the output value of bamboo and timber harvesting in villages and below in forestry;Production value of consumption manure in animal husbandry;In the sideline industry, the output value of farmers' self-sufficient handicraft industry was cancelled, and the industrial output value of villages and below was increased;The output value of marine fishing aquatic products has been increased in fishery.The total agricultural output value in 1980 and later has increased the output value of the part of farmers' households that concurrently run industrial commodities.Since 1984, the industrial output value of villages and below has been classified as industry.Since 1993, sidelines have been abolished.The hunting of wild animals will be included in animal husbandry, and the collection of wild plants and the commercial industry of farmers' families will be included in agriculture.
B、Other agriculture: collect the output value of wild plants andPeasant familyIndustrial and commercial output value concurrently operated;
(2) Output value of forestry=output value of forest management+output value of forest products collected+output value of bamboo and timber harvested in villages and below
(3) The output value of animal husbandry refers to the output value of raising livestock, poultry and selling livestock and poultry products.
(4) The output value of fishery includes the output value of wild or artificially cultivated animals and plants caught from waters.
influence factor
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So far, many scholars have conducted various model analysis and research on the influencing factors of agricultural gross output value.These mainly include:Crop sown area, fertilizer application amount, government financial support for agricultural production and undertakings, number of employees in the primary industry, agricultural income, economic growth, etc.At present, the main factors restricting the increase of China's total agricultural output value are:
The cultivated land resources are decreasing day by day
By 2007, China's arable land area had reached 120 million hm?2.Affected by natural disasters, the cultivated land has decreased year by year;The population has increased year by year, and the per capita grain proportion has declined;The process of industrialization and urbanization has increased the demand for land, and it is difficult to increase the gross agricultural output value.
Increase in natural disasters
stayglobal warmingUnder the background of climate change, the extreme climate in China has increased significantly.Flood, drought, rain, snow and hail disasters are frequent, and the pressure of pest control is increasing.In 2007, ChinaClimatic anomaly, the rainfall is seriously uneven,Extreme weather eventsFrequent, rain, flooddrought severity. The disaster situation exceeds the historical recordDirect economic loss236.3 billion yuan, and the affected area of crops reached 0.63 billion hm?2。Although China's grain output exceeded 500 billion kg in 2007, it still could not meet domestic demand.In 2007, the per capita grain supply in China was only 378kg, lower than 412kg in 1996.
Reduction of young and middle-aged rural labor force
Every year, there are a large number of young rural labor force working in cities.A large number of producers of agricultural products in the past have become consumers of agricultural products now.Rural hollowing outThe aging of farmers is becoming increasingly serious.Migrant farmers are also engaged in agriculture. They return to their hometown to work in the busy farming season every year.Generally, it takes two weeks to one month to return home for farming;Inadequate investment in agricultural labor time and extensive agricultural production and management;Loose small-scale agricultural production has seriously restrictedAgricultural labor productivityandLand output rateThe improvement of has affected the development of rural economy.
The cost of grain production continues to increase
According to the statistics of the Ministry of Agriculture, although China completely abolished theagricultural taxThe burden on farmers should be reduced. However, due to the increase in the cost of agricultural materials such as diesel, fertilizer and pesticide, the production cost of rice, wheat and corn in China has increased by 6% to 8% every year.
In addition, the factors affecting the increase of the gross agricultural output value include the rationality of the agricultural system, the investment in agriculture, the level of agricultural infrastructureAgricultural mechanization level、Farmland water conservancyAgricultural transportation and crop varieties.
recommended measure
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Continuously improve existing agricultural systems and policies
OriginalHousehold contract responsibility systemIt can no longer be given to our countryComprehensive rural reformThe new content of bringing system innovation has met the needs of developing modern agriculture.To this end, we should revitalize and expand the rights of landagricultural modernizationLevel;Integrating family management system, cooperative management system and modern agricultural company system;Give full play to the influence of modern industrial achievements and science and technology on the agricultural system, and guide the agricultural management system with scientific management methods;So as to make China's agriculture mechanized, information-based, efficient and economical in resource utilizationcropping systemAnd the modernization of cultivation technology.
Increase investment in agriculture
The first document of the central government in 2008 clearly proposed to increase investment in agriculture, that is, the increase of financial investment in agriculture was significantly higher than that in 2007, and the increase of national fixed asset investment in rural areas was significantly higher than that in 2007Land transfer incomeThe increase in rural construction was significantly higher than that in 2007.It can be seen that the country is constantly increasing its“Agriculture, countryside and farmers”And constantly promote the implementation process of the policy of "industry feeding agriculture" and "city feeding countryside", and drive the development of "agriculture, rural areas and farmers" with the achievements of industrialization and urbanization.
Improve the construction and maintenance of agricultural infrastructure
China's agricultural infrastructure is weak, especially the agricultural irrigation conditions in the central and western regions are backward, and the transportation, water and electricity infrastructure is insufficient.After the founding of the People's Republic of China, China has continued to innovate the governance system of small farmland water conservancy projects, and the governance model of projects has also been changing. However, there are still various difficulties in the governance of projects in practice, which has seriously hindered the improvement of China's gross agricultural output value.At home and abroadWater shortageUnder the severe situation of, improving the governance performance of small farmland water conservancy projects in China is not only the key to improving the efficiency of water resources utilization, but also to promote them as important rural infrastructuresustainable use It is also an effective measure to ensure China's food security.Therefore, in order to improve irrigation water efficiency, ensure food security and solve the sustainable use of agricultural infrastructureFarmland water conservancyDrainage, flood and drought resistance.
Strengthen the mechanization level of agriculture
Science isPrimary productivity, use advanced industry to drive backward agriculture, and have economy and science and technology to driveAgricultural mechanizationDevelopment of.Agricultural mechanization isagricultural modernizationLogo of.Since the middle and late 1990s, the Chinese government has actively promoted advanced, applicable and superior agricultural machinery of all kinds, classified guidance, key breakthroughs, guidance, support, and promoted the development of agricultural mechanization, and made great achievementsdeveloped countryThere is still a certain gap.At present, China should increase the number of large tractorsHarvester, LargeCotton picker, agricultural aircraft and other machinery and equipment to improve agricultural productivity and agricultural productivity.
Expand the use area of improved varieties
Under the limited land resources, if we want to increase the agricultural output value, we must rely on science and technology to improve improved varieties and increase the yield per unit area.In order to solve the problem of industrialization of improved varieties of agriculture, we can implement the project of industrialization of improved varieties of agriculture.Focus on breeding, adhere to the combination of selection, reproduction and promotion, and find a new way to drive the development of the whole agriculture with the industrialization of improved varieties as the leading role.It is also possible to establish a relatively complete scientific research and breeding system and screen out new varieties of high-quality and special crops for cultivation.
