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He Baohong: Status Quo and Technology Outlook of Cloud Computing Industry

  

The cloud service market is surging, and more and more cloud services and products are available. Facing the diversified cloud service market, how should industry users choose the infrastructure suitable for their own business? On July 18, in the spirit of strengthening technical exchanges and promoting the sustainable and healthy development of cloud user ecology, the Cloud User Ecological Development Forum and the 3rd China Cloud Computing User Conference Held at the National Convention Center in Beijing. The conference received high attention from government authorities, research institutions, cloud service providers, industry users, equipment manufacturers and other sectors of the entire industry chain. At the meeting, He Baohong, Deputy Director of the Institute of Communication Standards of the Chinese Academy of Information and Communications and Executive Vice Chairman of the Data Center Alliance, made a wonderful speech with the theme of "Current Situation and Technology Outlook of Cloud Computing Industry".

 He Baohong

He Baohong, Deputy Director of the Institute of Communication Standards, China Academy of Information and Communications, and Executive Vice President of Data Center Alliance

The following is the transcript of the speech:

He Baohong: Hello everyone, cloud computing has gone through a decade since 2006 and is undergoing some new changes. First, a few years ago, we debated whether public cloud is better or private cloud. Finally, it became a politically correct question. Finally, we said that it is better to access hybrid cloud. Therefore, we see that cloud computing is moving from an application environment such as traditional SMEs and Internet enterprises to a more important traditional industry. For example, the CBRC has just released the question about the use of financial cloud, which requires 60% of financial businesses to go to the cloud within five years. Therefore, we can be sure that in the next five years, all the focus of cloud will be on industry business, including government, finance, medical and other industries.

Second, we see that in the following five years, people have argued about open source. All of our clouds are secondary development based on open source. No matter whether it is independent intellectual property or anything, it is secondary development based on cloud computing anyway. Open source is now a de facto standard. Therefore, the introduction and learning of open source, familiarity with its operation track, and submission of some contributions to the international open source community should be something we must do in the next five years. Because we must embrace open source, because the whole industry is already such a trend. However, our people are not familiar with it. If some academic institutions and individuals participated in open source activities in the past few years, we can clearly see that in the next few years, it will be an era of enterprises leading open source, and more and more enterprises will enter open source instead of individuals and academic institutions leading open source development.

The third possible change is the application of big data. The hype and application of big data is several years away from cloud computing. I personally feel four to five years. How can cloud go from its initial hype to its landing step by step? Big data will also be like this. At the beginning of today's cloud computing, many enterprises began to make profits last year, and this year more and more cloud computing enterprises continued to make profits, while big data enterprises, including big data enterprises, have hardly made profits, because I said it would take three years to make profits. In addition, as for data exchange and intercommunication, we have always said that big data has assets, which is a good concept. However, in fact, because data has assets, on the one hand, it attracts everyone's attention, and on the other hand, it is not considered assets before, but now it is considered assets, and I will not give it to you. Therefore, the establishment of rules and standards to promote data circulation is impossible to make an industry rise without a set of rules, which is what my team and I are promoting and doing. Of course, this process is very long, because we can't establish a set of trading rules for a new set of things in a year or two. My request to my team is that you can stabilize this within ten years, because it is not easy to build things for new games from the perspective of transaction history. I hope you can improve our game rules, which is a must.

At the last moment, the blockchain must say something about it. If I don't talk about blockchain, people will think I am out of date. Now we are building an ideal country of blockchain, which is such a wording. I have several personal prospects. First, blockchain definitely represents the future trend, so-called distributed things. If we look at the basic things of technology development, in the process of natural evolution, technology tends to be centralized, and only when the gene mutation of technology occurs, we can be distributed. Therefore, every hype must be distributed technology rather than centralized technology, and centralized technology must occur quietly. This is a basic rule. Blockchain conforms to all the characteristics of all previous successful technologies. Some questions about all the problems of blockchain can be solved through time and technological progress. In the first half of 2016, blockchain will definitely be hyped. Don't worry. However, we are turning it into a new bubble, and we are talking about blockchain idealism again. We say that code is the law. Now, the law is not written in perfect natural language and so on. Just give it to the code. If the code is a ratio, do we want to transfer the control group of the law from a group of lawyers, judges and experts to a group of hackers, and whether the explosion of hackers will be new, which is the characteristics of the Republic. It can be judged that in the next three years, there will be 20 to 30 blockchain alliances in China. Now there are only 3 to 4 blockchain alliances. Generally, the hype is like this. The hype peak will reach its peak around 2020. In recent years, you can't make money, and most of them are fooling around.

Many things that the blockchain says are too idealistic, and we are once again trapped in an idealistic state. Twenty years ago, the elites in Silicon Valley said that our Internet is an open, distributed, democratic and equal place. We do not welcome the government, but we can govern. 20 years later, what's the result? There is no doubt that the current slogan of blockchain is the same as that of Internet extremists 20 years ago. I call them extremists. Of course, idealists are also extremists. Therefore, the ideal is very full, and the reality is very skinny.

Thank you!