【 Building materials network 】The National Development and Reform Commission raised the retail price of domestic refined oil products at 24:00 on September 13 by 90 yuan/ton for gasoline and 85 yuan/ton for diesel, equivalent to 0.07 yuan/liter for 93 # gasoline and 0.07 yuan/liter for 0 # diesel. This increase is the tenth price adjustment of refined oil products in the year (excluding four strandings), and also the fifth price increase after the implementation of the new pricing mechanism. This price adjustment has achieved "three consecutive increases" after the implementation of the new mechanism.
Gao Guoyun, an analyst of refined oil products of the business agency, pointed out that this round of price increase was expected, and the tension in Syria kept the crude oil price high. The previous broad shocks did not suppress this domestic refined oil price increase. After the price increase is realized this time, the price of gasoline and diesel is expected to rise slightly. In addition, the peak season of "golden nine and silver ten" is coming, the domestic oil market may be light, and the price of gasoline and diesel may continue to maintain high volatility.
The trend of oil price will first decrease and then rise
According to the monitoring data of the business community, since August 30, the change rate of crude oil has risen first and then declined. As of September 12, the change rate of crude oil was 1.37%. In September, the week before last, the price of crude oil rose due to the tension in Syria. On the following September and October, the oil price fell sharply due to the temporary easing of the situation in the United States and Syria, and Brent crude oil fell by 4%, which narrowed the price adjustment in this round.
On August 30, the price of refined oil was raised, and the wholesale price of domestic gasoline and diesel oil was significantly increased. Later, it was affected by the limited impact of the terminal demand boost and turned to the downward channel. In recent days, affected by the expected increase of refined oil products, the enthusiasm of the domestic market has improved, and both the main business and local refineries are willing to push up. With the arrival of the peak season of gasoline and diesel, the market demand has started, some traders have properly replenished their stocks, and domestic wholesale sales of gasoline and diesel have improved significantly.
According to the monitoring data of the business community, from the price situation of the current wholesale market, in terms of the main business, the increase rate of No. 93 gasoline compared with August 31 was about 80 yuan per ton, and the increase rate of No. 0 diesel compared with August 31 was about 110 yuan per ton; In terms of Shandong Local Refinery, the increase rate of No. 93 gasoline is about 110 yuan per ton compared with August 31, and that of No. 0 diesel is about 50 yuan per ton compared with August 31.
According to the statistics of the business community, the current domestic gasoline and diesel prices are equivalent to the level in April this year.
Oil prices will continue to rise in the future
Gao Guoyun, an analyst of refined oil products from the Business Agency, pointed out that the global crude oil market is in a tense situation due to the situation in Syria. In the short term, geopolitical factors will support the high volatility of international oil prices. If the crude oil inventory continues to stay low in the later period, the crude oil price is expected to remain strong, so on September 29, the price of domestic refined oil may rise again.