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The seventh round of consultations will start immediately: the outcome depends on the people

13:27, February 21, 2019|
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A picture from a friend, after the snow in Washington in the early spring of the 20th.

Friends in the United States said that the climate in Washington these days is a little different from that in previous years.

The sun was still shining on the 19th, and heavy snow fell on the 20th.

He has stayed in the United States for more than 20 years. It is unusual for such heavy snow to fall after the beginning of spring.

My friend said that during this period, it seems that once we catch up with the Sino US negotiations, we can have a good snow. When we talked in Beijing last week, there was a rare snowfall in Beijing. Snow augurs a good year.

Friends are business people and need to deal with all kinds of uncertainties, but they hope that there will be less uncertainty.

In my heart, once the Sino US trade war escalates, the risks unknown to him will rise exponentially. Therefore, he very much hoped that the dispute between China and the United States would stop early.

Such a strong desire, even in the unusual weather, seemed to him a sign that the trade negotiations would achieve good results.

I can understand his mood.

As for whether the progress of the negotiations will achieve results soon, it depends on whether the two sides can talk seriously, speed up the pace of the talks, and make breakthroughs on key issues.

For example, the US side often says that it is most concerned with solving "structural problems".

But after a closer look, no one seems to be clear about what is a "structural problem"? It doesn't seem that many people care. What is China's attitude towards "structural problems"?

In fact, there was an American who saw this very clearly.

"In fact, China has a solution to structural problems... If the structural reform proposed by China at the Third Plenary Session of the 18th Central Committee five and a half years ago were implemented, many structural problems between the United States and China would not exist.

——Stephen Olins, Chairman of the National Committee on US China Relations, delivered a speech at the American Institute of Foreign Relations on February 19. "

It sounds like we often say that "many of the demands of the US side are in line with our general direction of reform and opening up".

Therefore, I think that on the one hand, it is more important for us to observe the trend of the negotiators.

Keep your head clear and know what you want.

As Tao Ran's notes have repeatedly said, negotiation should adhere to its own pace and position.

I'm going to repeat here. Don't bother me.

The trade war has been going on for almost a year, and China's position and rhythm have not changed.

The attitude of "not willing to fight, not afraid to fight, and having to fight when necessary" has not changed.

The attitude of "firmly safeguarding national dignity and core interests" has not changed.

The attitude of "sticking to expanding opening up and high-quality development, the key is to do your own thing well" has not changed.

Sticking to our own pace means that while working in a positive direction, we don't have to force the negotiation results.

If the United States wants to make this process more tortuous, I don't think it is necessary to force the results to come out.

President Xi Jinping's speech last week when he saw Lethidze and Mnuchin had this meaning.

"As for the economic and trade differences and frictions between the two sides, we are willing to take a cooperative approach to resolve them and promote an agreement acceptable to both sides. Of course, cooperation is principled."

Everyone knows the truth here.

As long as the US side talks seriously, we will certainly take it seriously.

In this way, the negotiation will become more and more serious, and the pace of the negotiation will become faster, and the attitude of both parties will become more and more positive.

In early spring, it rarely snowed well in Washington.

The US side did not disclose much information today, and it is estimated that it is preparing carefully.

The seventh round of high-level consultations will begin soon, and we will wait and see what the outcome will be.

Source: Linghu Cat/"Tao Ran Notes" WeChat official account

(Editor in charge: Zhao Yan (intern), Bai Yu)

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