Three main lines will lead the market
Yesterday, the market fell sharply in the last hour, the peripheral stock market rose slightly and fell slightly, and the news side was calm.
Today, the market should be opened slightly or horizontally. When looking down, pay attention to the support around 3300 points, and the strong support around 3280 points; Pay attention to the pressure near 3345 when pumping back, and the strong pressure is near 3355.
The market fell sharply the day before yesterday, falling below 3300 points in the day before yesterday. We suggested that everyone copy the bottom. The original analysis was that the market would start to rebound in the next two days, and draw up around 3355 points on the 5-day line. As a result, the market started bottoming out and rebounding on the same day. The market had more than 70 rebounding points from the lowest point of the day near 3263 to the highest point of the day at 3328. This analysis should be accurate. At the beginning, bottom hunting was also good, but some people felt dissatisfied because the final increase of the market yesterday was not big, and even there was a decline in the market. Then they thought that our analysis was inaccurate, Or the analysis is too poor. Because in their opinion, since the market rebounded, it would have to rise by hundreds of points at least, but it didn't even rise by 10 points! If this idea is true, you are wrong, because it is impossible for the market to rise continuously as it did when the market started. Otherwise, all the funds in the market will run away. Moreover, the GEM has formed a double head at present, and the GEM, as a leading indicator, indicates that the main board may also form a double head. Therefore, all the funds in the market are waiting to be pulled out, In this case, will the main fund promote you? The answer is no, so the market should still rebound today and next Monday. The high point still depends on the pressure near the 5th and 10th lines. If the market cannot scale up to the 5th and 10th lines in these two days, we suggest that everyone be ready to evacuate, to prevent the market from forming double heads and stepping down on the support near 3174.
Of course, if there is another situation in the market, that is, the market will start a new round of rising market next Monday when the market volume is on the 10 day line. This possibility also exists, because the GEM registration system will be implemented next week, and the market needs to create an atmosphere of doing more. In this case, we are optimistic about three main lines in the future:
The first is the main line of military industry.
The military industry sector has the reputation of being copied every nine times. Now it has entered the late August. After four years of consolidation, the last big rise in this sector was in the bull market in 2015. The rise in the bull market of the military industry sector is only second to that of the brokerage sector. If you still think it is a bull market, the market of military industry shares should not end, Besides, the current external environment and the 14th Five Year Plan will support the strengthening of the military industry sector. The military industry sector has gone through the first round of valuation repair and rise. The second round will be the rise of outstanding listed companies. The market of military stocks is far from over.
The second is the main line of gold nonferrous resources.
The gold sector has fallen significantly recently, mainly due to the large increase in the previous period, but the most important thing is the rise of US bond yields. Recently, the market rumored that the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates, so the yield of US bonds rose, on the contrary, the safe haven varieties of gold futures fell sharply. However, as far as the current epidemic situation in the United States is concerned, they are unrealistic to raise interest rates. Unilateral interest rate increases are not only detrimental to economic recovery, but also to curbing inflation. Therefore, monetary easing by the Federal Reserve to stimulate the economy is still the main tone. Therefore, The gold bull market will continue.
Article 3 Bull Market of Industry Leaders and Rare Resources 。
In yesterday's article, we talked about industry leaders and scarce resources. Some people still can't turn their heads, because they can't figure out how banks, real estate and other blue chips will have scarce resources. In their opinion, it is normal for these sectors to fall or consolidate forever! Later, with the launch of the GEM registration system, there will be a large number of companies that can be registered and listed as long as they comply with the regulations, including bank shares. Anyone who is short of money can be listed for financing, but the profit and loss of buying and selling will be at their own expense. In this case, the industry leader will be the target of everyone's pursuit. In the 10 years of the bull market in the US stock market, only less than 30% of the individual stocks rose, 70% of which fell, and more than 2000 listed companies were delisted. The bull market is not a bull market for these stocks! Later, only a few industry leaders will rise in A-share market, and the bull market of industry leaders may be on the way! For more analysis, please pay attention to "trend cruise" to prevent getting lost.
