(Original title: The scene Ma Kelong hoped for most finally happened)
The picture shows the information of French President Marcelon
It's really a long cry. The scene Ma Kelong hoped for most finally happened.
In the first round of the National Assembly election, the far right National League won a big victory, which caused panic in France. As a result, the left, the right, the middle and the non party began to unite, and the only goal was to prevent the extreme right from coming to power.
For the sake of this overall situation, more than 200 candidates announced with tears that they would not run again.
Abandonment effect is fermenting, so we have to mention the two round election system of the French Parliament.
The French National Assembly has a total of 577 seats.
In the first round of elections, if the candidates win more than half of the votes, they can be directly elected. Le Pen, leader of the far right National League, is an example.
However, if no one gets more than half of the votes, the top two candidates, as well as the candidates who have obtained more than 12.5% of the support of the constituency, will enter the second round. The second round of election is simple. The one who gets the highest vote will be elected.
In the first round of elections, only 76 seats were elected. Among them, 39 are from the far right wing and 32 are from the pan left wing. Only two belong to the Makron camp.
The second round of the election, with at least 300 seats, faces a tripartite battle. Judging from the high turnout in the first round, this situation is most conducive to the far right.
The National League will be the largest party in France, and is expected to win more than half of the seats, thus taking power historically.
The other parties in France are worried, even if they were so embarrassed before, but now, for the sake of common interests, they come together and abandon protection!
That is, in the seats contested by many parties, as long as the candidates of either the left wing or the presidential coalition rank third, I'm sorry, you should hurry down, so that everyone will not spread their votes, but will vote for non extreme right-wing candidates.
According to the tacit agreement reached, 127 candidates from the Pan Left Alliance and 81 candidates from the Makron camp voluntarily gave up their candidacy.
This is politics.
Sometimes, you have to admire them. A few days ago, these candidates were pinched to death, but in the twinkling of an eye, they began to look at each other with tears.
Take Calvados Province as an example. Former Prime Minister Borne was fiercely opposed by the left wing, because Borne always fought with the left wing on retirement and immigration issues. But now, in order to deal with the common enemy, the left wing has withdrawn its candidate with tears.
This is exactly what Makron wants to see.
At the cabinet meeting, Makron called for "not one vote for the extreme right". He also recalled that the two presidential elections in 2017 and 2022 were held in order to snipe the extreme right into power, and all parties in France shared the same hatred, so that he was successfully elected.
In fact, the outside world generally believes that Maclon's early parliamentary election is a similar political gamble, betting on the crisis awareness of the French and that they will split from the far right at the last moment.
So, This is also the last sniping of Makron.
The picture shows Le Pen, leader of the French far right National League
On the side of the National League, we also saw the danger and cursed our opponents for forming "dishonorable alliances".
Baldera, the chairman of the National League, appealed to the voters to vote actively and help the far right wing win the absolute majority to fight against the "real threat" posed by those political parties to the "French nation".
Will Makron succeed?
Let me talk about several possibilities.
First, sniping fails.
The National League took over more than half of the country without bloodshed and came to power historically.
Ma Kelong refused to resign, that is, co governance.
But the irreconcilable contradiction between the left and the right will plunge the French political arena into endless quarrels.
Second, successful sniping.
The National League failed to get the majority, but it is estimated that it is still the largest party.
This is the most ideal result of Makron at present.
Next, all parties must cooperate, and they immediately face a more complex and arduous task - to form a non extreme right coalition government.
How to divide the ministerial positions, French politics will still fall into endless quarrels.
French people demonstrate on buildings
Third, Macarosaurus became a lame duck.
Neither the first nor the second can prevent the third result.
I see that many supporters of Ma Kelong hate that iron is not steel, and denounce Ma Kelong as "angry and hateful".
Why?
Ma Kelong was so impulsive that he became a joke.
You should know that in the current French Parliament, Makron's Presidential Union has 245 seats, which is the proper first party; But Ma Kelong suddenly elected early, and the result of the election may not get 100 seats.
The election of the European Parliament shocked Makron. He immediately held an election in advance, dreaming of not being constrained by the extreme right; How could he know the result of the election? He faces greater constraints, and his prestige is ruined.
I saw an article by AFP saying, Ma Kelong's dissolution of the parliament is "the most absurd decision". For seven years, Ma Kelong has been full of confidence and confidence in his own destiny, but "often talks big".
AFP also quoted a French politician as saying: "Makron believes he can always turn things around. He believes he has the talent."
On July 7, the second round of French elections, Makron is undoubtedly looking forward to a miracle.
Miracles or not, but one thing is certain, The streets of France will be in turmoil, and many French cars will be unlucky again.
