The Chinese side reminds the United States in person that the PLA can recover Taiwan Island even without nuclear weapons

Reuters reported on June 22 that recently, China and the United States recently held direct talks on nuclear arms control through unofficial channels - this is the first direct dialogue between China and the United States on nuclear weapons five years later.

(The United States is very concerned about China's nuclear weapons)

It is reported that the dialogue was held in Shanghai and lasted for two full days. The US side sent a six member delegation, including famous scholars and former government officials, while the Chinese side also sent a dialogue delegation composed of former PLA officials, political scholars and analysts. It is easy to see that although neither side has sent official personnel to participate in this dialogue, it still has an obvious "semi official" attribute.

(David Santoro speaks)

According to David Santoro (President of the Pacific Forum, an American think tank), a famous political scholar who was a representative of the United States and one of the organizers of the conference, the Chinese representative sent a clear signal to the United States during the conference that China did not intend to use nuclear weapons in the possible conflict in the Taiwan Strait.

David said that he mentioned "If the PLA faces failure in the Taiwan Strait conflict, it may use nuclear weapons." The Chinese representative disclosed to the US side: "China fully believes that it is capable of winning conventional wars in the Taiwan Strait without the use of nuclear weapons.".

(PLA aircraft refuel in the air during cruise in Taiwan Strait)

The US authorities seem optimistic about the prospect of this dialogue, because when the spokesman of the US State Department was interviewed by Reuters later, he made it clear that, The semi official talks between China and the United States "may be beneficial to Sino US relations". But at the same time, the US side also stressed that this is only an informal semi official meeting, and the participants' comments do not represent the authoritative comments of both governments - it seems to imply that China and the US may hold a formal nuclear security talks in the future.

Although the talks were semi official, the Chinese representative dared to make it clear to the United States that "we do not use nuclear weapons", which obviously required confidence and strength - especially strength. The strength of the PLA should be beyond doubt.

(The PLA UAV conducts reconnaissance flight in the Taiwan Strait)

First of all, no matter whether the US military is considering intervening in the Taiwan Strait conflict or not, the PLA has a decisive military advantage in the Taiwan Strait and even in the "First Island Chain", which is beyond doubt. one side, Relying on powerful sea, land and air based situational awareness means, the PLA can realize real-time monitoring and early warning of the direction of the Taiwan Strait around the clock. Every move of the defense department in Taiwan is actually under the eyes of the PLA. In fact, the electronic warfare system advocated by the US military cannot change this decisive advantage of the PLA.

On the other hand, the PLA's firepower strike capability is also an absolute advantage: whether it is land based long-range strike means such as Dongfeng-15B and Changjian-10, or air based tactical platforms such as J-20 and J-16, which ensure that they can seize the air supremacy and carry out air to ground precision strikes, these are what the current Taiwan armed forces and even the US troops stationed in the Asia Pacific region cannot cope with.

(DF-15B medium and short range ballistic missile)

It is not only the Chinese who have similar views. In fact, many American scholars have also realized that the PLA actually does not need nuclear weapons at all and can recover Taiwan Island.

According to the article published by the Atlantic Foundation, an American think tank, The main role of PLA nuclear weapons in the Taiwan Strait conflict is limited to deterrence, including effectively curbing the involvement of the United States and other nuclear countries in the conflict through nuclear deterrence. At the same time, the PLA will not use nuclear weapons as the main tactical means of attack, because the PLA does not need to do so. The PLA has a global leading level of conventional strike capability. The use of nuclear weapons and any potential pollution to Taiwan are "gains and losses" for the PLA.

(PLA Landing Exercise)

It can be speculated that the US "found out" whether China would use nuclear weapons in the Taiwan Strait conflict is actually testing China's determination and confidence to recover Taiwan Island, and China's statement clearly shows China's attitude and position. Considering that the risk of nuclear escalation is unacceptable to both China and the United States, although China and the United States will continue to engage in dialogue on nuclear security issues in the future, it is almost impossible for the so-called "Taiwan Strait conflict to escalate into a nuclear war between China and the United States".