The A-share market will open tomorrow. The market will open low on Friday, fluctuate and go high. How will the market rate go tomorrow and Monday? No nonsense, just focus on the key points.
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1. Actual panel condition:
After breaking through the small low point in front of 3013 in the intraday trading of A-share last Friday, a 120 minute level MACD indicator bottom deviation was formed, and the rebound strength after the deviation was OK. Because of the 120 minute level stop falling structure, the trading volume was also released mildly, but it was still blocked by the pressure of the 5-day moving average.
The trading volume was significantly enlarged. The turnover of the two markets was 848.1 billion yuan, which was 95.7 billion yuan larger than that of the previous trading day. The net outflow of the main capital throughout the day was 9.330 billion yuan, at least not at the level of tens of billions. As long as there was a slight backflow, the rebound of the market position could be expected.
2. Information on the message side:
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The social finance data came out, M1 decreased by 4.2% year on year and M2 increased by 7% year on year, which indicates that the demand for short-term liquidity funds of enterprises is reduced, and the expectation for the future is cautious, that is to say, the current downward pressure on the economy is relatively large, but this leads to the expectation of interest rate reduction and reserve ratio reduction, which is generally empty.
On the weekend, a list of refinancing was issued. On Friday, more than 1100 companies sold refinancing. Many of them were not at a relatively high level. Some of them fell by more than 70%, and they were still selling refinancing. In the face of interests, morality seemed so weak. After all, people can earn more if they go up or down.
3. How will the market rate go tomorrow and Monday?
According to the actual situation of the market, the daily level of the market is a small positive stop falling signal, and there is obvious resistance near the line support in the near half year. The lowest point in the Friday session is 3011.58 points, and there is only 11 points left from 3000 points. Of course, the support position may not be completely touched, but there may be resistance when approaching, or resistance after breaking.
At this time, the weekend is not so good, but more conducive to entering the rebound cycle. Personally, I think that the rate on Monday is to continue the rebound trend. If the volume is moderate and sustained, it can break through the 5-day average and enter the daily level rebound cycle. The extent of the rebound should not be expected too much, Because this is just a technical rebound of support on the way of the second wave correction.
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4. How to deal with it? How to formulate the strategy?
After the conversion between February and August, the small cap stock line was running at the bottom. Last Friday, only 2683 stocks in the two cities rose, 2400 stocks fell, with 51 up limit and 17 down limit. There were few short-term opportunities, but the hot spots were relatively concentrated, because most of the sectors leading the rise were in the area of scientific and technological growth.
The medium and long term lines have basically left the market, and some tail positions can leave the market after the end of this rebound cycle. However, the current market style has changed, and after the short-term rebound, a new round of decline cycle has to be avoided, so the medium and long term lines still need to wait until the big second wave adjustment bottoms out before considering the layout. The middle stage of big second wave adjustment is interval shock, which is more suitable for band operation
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