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Can the untied Ukraine defeat Russia at one stroke?

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Great Mercy, Great Relief, Gatlin Bodhisattva's Physical Exorcism Holy Image

There is a funny news: the Russian Permanent Mission to the United Nations said on Telegram that Russia asked the United Nations Security Council to hold a meeting on June 14 on Western countries' permission for Ukraine to attack Russian territory.

In addition to "appealing" to the United Nations, Russia also told the domestic people that Russia is now being invaded by "55 countries". This figure is the sum of the countries that have assisted Ukraine, including solidarity.

In Russia's view, the four states of eastern Ukraine and Crimea are "legitimate territories" of Russia, so Ukraine's attacks on these places are aggression, and the country that assists Ukraine is also an aggressor. Ukraine's use of weapons assisted by the aggressors to attack these places and Russia's own land is even more serious "aggression".

This logic of Russia has scared many countries. Sweden and Finland have given up their role as permanent neutrals and joined NATO; "The five Central Asian countries began to" de Russian ", and Serbia, India, Singapore, Georgia, Armenia and other countries began to reconsider their relations with Russia.

When Russia proposed this request to the United Nations, did it think about what it was doing? What does it mean that Russia has poured countless artillery fire on the land of Ukraine, but now Ukraine is not allowed to attack its own territory with the aid of artillery fire? It illustrates a cruel fact: many rules in the world are formulated by the strong for the weak - Russia can bomb Ukraine with North Korea's aid, but Ukraine cannot bomb Russia with European and American aid weapons. Why is Russia so arrogant? Because Russia has a nuclear bomb, because Russia is stronger than Ukraine in military power.

In addition, it also illustrates a problem: the international community has connived at countries like Russia for too long.

This afternoon, I discussed the Russia Ukraine war with my friends. When we talked about the current situation where Russia has an advantage and combined with many wars in history, I said to my friends that the more barbaric a country is, the more worthless its human life is, the easier it is to take advantage in the war.

The United States fought in Vietnam and North Korea, and the domestic anti war sentiment was high. The people demonstrated. Although there were multiple factors for the final withdrawal of the United States from these two places, the voice of the domestic people was also one of the important factors. In a country like Russia, the opposition of the people was almost negligible. In fact, most people in Russia should support the war, Russia has a certain degree of media freedom, but the scope of media coverage is still subject to "reasonable control" and "good faith guidance", so to a certain extent, the Russian people's ideology is "highly plastic".

In countries with authoritarian systems such as Russia, North Korea and Iran, the people have no freedom of thought. It is normal for them to be clamped down, shaped and coerced. The people's belligerent mood and the attitude of regarding life as grass root have also been stirred up in this way. We can see that when the Korean War began, the North was in a state of overwhelming force, and Japan was in the early days of the Pacific War, Like chopping melons and cutting vegetables, the US army is looking for teeth everywhere. But the US is not the Philippines, not Malaysia, not Myanmar, nor the Kuomintang. The US army is a military force armed with modern science and technology, and its fighting spirit is not inferior to that of the Japanese army at all. So we can see that the Japanese army was the most fearless of death and one of the best in the world war II, We can imagine that if the US army insists on ground war and sends troops into Japan, according to the estimation of the US intelligence agency, it will take at least 1 million casualties to conquer Japan. However, the US has atomic bombs. Throwing atomic bombs is a dimension reduction attack for Japan, Under the high temperature of the atomic bomb, they all went up in smoke.

However, the world pattern has changed since World War II. The Soviet Union, China, Britain, France, India, Pakistan, North Korea, Israel and other countries have nuclear weapons. Nuclear weapons are no longer the exclusive weapons of the United States. The two atomic bombs landed on Hiroshima and Nagasaki have made mankind understand the horror of thermonuclear war, and since then, the nuclear weapons competition between the United States and the Soviet Union has begun, Put all mankind on the extinct crater.

Because the Soviet Union has a huge nuclear arsenal, even if it is as powerful as the United States, it dare not act rashly against it. As Roosevelt said, "We can destroy the world, but they (the Soviet Union) dare to destroy the world." Russia inherited the Soviet Union's nuclear arsenal, but also inherited the Russian nation's belligerent national genes.

In history, Europe was beaten by the Russian nation, so it has always had a deep "fear of Russia". Now, Europe is developing very well. Regardless of its economic level or human rights situation, it has dumped Russia's N streets, but Russia also has its own advantages: poor and barbaric.

If there is a war between Russia and Europe, Europe must suffer a lot. A bomb dropped on Europe may blow up millions of assets and many lives, but how many valuable targets can a bomb dropped on Russia blow up? Moreover, the life of Russia is not precious, and the Kremlin does not need to consider giving an account to the families of the dead. Therefore, European countries are unwilling to burn the flames of war on their own land, but they are also unwilling to watch Ukraine being eaten by Russia and expand their power to their own homes. Therefore, European countries are more active than the United States in supporting Ukraine to attack Russia with aid weapons.

At a press conference on June 4, John Kirby, the US national security spokesman, hinted that if Russian aircraft "pose an imminent threat to Ukraine", Ukrainian troops can shoot them down in Russian airspace, and said that Ukrainian troops have done so since the beginning of the war. However, the White House did not explain what is an "imminent threat", which is a very difficult thing for Ukraine.

On June 1, Ukraine attacked Russia's S-300/400 air defense system in Belgorod State with the HIMARS (Hippocampus) system assisted by the United States. At present, the shells provided by the West have gradually arrived at the front line of the Ukrainian army, but their size is not enough for the Ukrainian army to completely challenge the current advantages of Russian shells.

According to the statement of Ukrainian soldiers quoted by the Daily Telegraph, the ammunition provided by the West has begun to reach their frontline defense area, but the Russian army in this area still maintains the ammunition advantage of about 5:1.

Russia's missile and drone attacks have caused serious long-term damage to Ukraine's power grid. According to the report of the Financial Times on June 5, Russia has destroyed or captured more than half of Ukraine's power generation capacity.

We can see that the situation in the Russian Ukrainian battlefield is becoming more and more puzzling. On the one hand, Ukraine has received more and more assistance, and the prohibition of the use of weapons is gradually easing. On the other hand, the situation in the battlefield is relatively stable - Ukraine has recovered the town of Lipzi, and the Russian army has moved to the southeast of Kupiansk, near Chasivyar To the west of Afdivka and the southwest of Donetsk, the recovery of the Ukrainian army and the advance of the Russian army are not big, and the battlefield situation is relatively stable. At present, it seems that the Russian army with 10000 troops has little chance of winning the 20000 troops recently reinforced by Ukraine to Kharkov, and it will be very difficult to win Kharkov, It is in direct proportion to the arms aid that the Ukrainian army can get in the shortest time.

Western advanced weapons, from tanks to artillery, from helicopters to patriots, have been involved in the Russian Ukrainian battlefield to varying degrees. The biggest effect we can see is that they have prevented the Russian army from invading more Ukrainian territory. However, there is still a gap between driving the Russian army out of Crimea and Ukraine, So the force configuration of the F-16 combined with the early warning aircraft will become the biggest focus and speculation point for the We Media and ordinary people. But I think that the intelligence agencies in Europe and the United States may have reached a preliminary conclusion about the outcome of the confrontation, but ordinary people cannot know.

It is a bit late for the West to loosen the ban on Ukraine's use of aid weapons. If it had been loosened when Russia first invaded Ukraine, or at the latest when it first counterattacked, the battlefield situation would be much better today.

epilogue

In the afternoon, I talked about the Russian Ukrainian war with my friends, and I said a point: human history does not always move forward, but it also moves backward, with peaks and troughs. But the overall direction of human development is forward, high and far, because technology is always advancing, and the progress of science and technology has pushed back the progress of human civilization. Human flesh eaters are indeed fierce, However, when encountering Nanwu Gatlin Bodhisattva, we can only jump on the street. This is just a process that our generation may not see. Let's leave it to the next generation, the next generation, and pray that they can live in the sky without shells.

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Notice: The content above (including the pictures and videos if any) is uploaded and posted by a user of NetEase Hao, which is a social media platform and only provides information storage services.

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