Experts predict that the house price in 2025 will be 4-5 times of the current one!

The topic of the real estate market is new. When recalling the soaring house prices in the past, many people regret that they missed the best opportunity of Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen real estate. However, when house prices are falling, they feel a little relieved that they did not buy houses during the peak period. Seeing that the property market is gradually declining and the mood of buyers is also heavy, is it still possible for house prices to rise?

Recently, an argument has been wildly spread in the market: In 2025, the house price will reach 4-5 times of the current one! Admittedly, this statement sounds absurd at first. How did the experts come to such a conclusion?

First, the strategy of urban agglomeration has been fully launched. China is vigorously promoting the construction of urban agglomeration, such as Beijing Tianjin Hebei urban agglomeration, Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration, Guangdong Hong Kong Macao Greater Bay Area, and so on. The goal of these urban agglomerations is to build world-class urban clusters, improve the comprehensive strength and international competitiveness of cities, and promote regional coordinated development and new urbanization process. The construction of urban agglomeration means that cities will be more closely connected, and there will be more interaction and integration in transportation, industry, population, culture and other aspects.

For the real estate market, it is a major benefit. The formation of urban agglomeration will bring more population inflow, richer economic activities, more demand and consumption, and then promote the rise of house prices. Especially in the core cities of the urban agglomeration, such as Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen and other places, housing prices will rise more significantly, because these cities have the resources, opportunities, and influence at the top, attracting a large number of talents, capital, technology and other elements.

Moreover, the property market policy has changed from suppression to "stimulating the recovery of the property market". A few years ago, China introduced a series of property market regulation policies, such as purchase, loan, sales and price restrictions, to curb the rapid rise of house prices, prevent the formation of real estate bubbles, and maintain market stability and health. These policies have achieved remarkable results. The rising trend of house prices has slowed down significantly, and even in some third and fourth tier cities, the decline trend has reached double digits, or even the phenomenon of unsalable.

This is good news for house buyers, because they can buy the desired house at a lower price, but it is bad news for developers and the government, because their income and profits are seriously affected, and even there are problems such as capital chain rupture and debt crisis. Therefore, in order to ensure the stability and development of the property market, the relevant departments began to adjust the property market policy from repression to stimulation, such as easing purchase restrictions, loan restrictions, sales restrictions, price restrictions and other measures, reducing the down payment ratio, interest rate level, tax burden, increasing housing credit, subsidies, preferences, etc., encouraging buyers to enter the market, boosting market confidence, and promoting the recovery of the property market.

In addition, the economic recovery means that house prices will also rise. In recent years, the domestic economic situation has improved significantly, and the economic growth rate, employment rate, consumption level, fiscal revenue and other indicators have been steadily improved, highlighting China's strong economic strength and development potential. This is also a major benefit to the real estate market. Because of the economic development, it means that people's income and wealth will increase, thus enhancing their ability and willingness to buy houses.

At the same time, the economic prosperity will also bring more demand for business, tourism, education, medical care, etc., thus increasing the supply and consumption of real estate and driving the rise of house prices. Especially in some economically developed cities, such as Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen and so on, the increase in housing prices will become more prominent. Because these cities have high economic vitality, innovation ability and attractiveness, they attract a large number of investment, consumption, population and other factors.

To sum up, the experts' prediction that the housing price in 2025 will be 4-5 times of the current one is based on the analysis of urban agglomeration strategy, property market policy change, and economic recovery. These analyses have certain theoretical and practical basis, and also have certain credibility and persuasiveness.

Of course, this is only a possible situation, and it does not exclude that there are other factors and variables that will affect the trend of house prices. Therefore, we should not blindly believe or deny this prediction, but make rational judgments and choices based on our own actual conditions, whether to buy a house and when, where and at what price.