According to Russian satellite news agency on May 22, the director of the First European Department of the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Alcom Studennikov, said in an interview earlier that France was actively participating in the war in Ukraine, which also made France gradually become a participant in the war. Studennikov pointed out that this behavior of France increased the risk of direct conflict between the two nuclear powers. Obviously, this is a warning from the Russian side to France, and Studennikov's interview was on the day when Russia held tactical nuclear weapons drills in the southern military region. This warning has a heavy weight.
However, the French side showed no sign of weakness and immediately countered within 24 hours. French Defense Minister Lekol announced on the 22nd that France had just test fired an upgraded version of ASMPA supersonic missile attached to the Rafale fighter, which can be equipped with tactical nuclear warheads. Since the French army has no full-time bombers, the current "Rafale" launched nuclear missiles is the only air based nuclear strike force in France.
On May 21, the Russian Ministry of Defense announced the launch of the first phase of the tactical nuclear exercise on the same day. The exercise included the use of Iskandar launch system and fighter bombers to launch a variety of conventional and hypersonic missiles with tactical nuclear warheads. The intention of the Russian side is very obvious, which is to counter irresponsible remarks and dangerous actions of some politicians. Makron had previously announced in a high profile that he would assist Ukraine with medium - and long-range weapons, and repeatedly stressed the possibility of sending troops to Ukraine. The attitude expressed by the Russian Foreign Ministry on the same day was obviously to use the exercise to warn France.
According to our analysis, there was no deep contradiction between France and Russia. Makron even actively acted as the mediator between Russia and Ukraine, and he himself kept close contact with Putin. But now Makron has suddenly changed his face and actively supported Ukraine. He also firmly said that Russia cannot win the war. Makron did so not because Russia provoked France, but because the French saw that the United States was exhausted in this war. They wanted to take this opportunity to become the leader of Europe again.
If you want to be a leader, you must be responsible, go ahead in everything, and show your courage and demeanor. The Americans had difficulties in supporting Ukraine, which disappointed the Europeans. Makron decided to take the opportunity to step forward to improve the prestige of France and increase his voice. Russia's exercise on May 21 was mainly to frighten Europe. The French clearly felt the fear in the heart of European countries. If they stood in front at this time, European countries would gradually stand behind France. France must show enough courage and let European countries see their strength.
Russia used nuclear weapons to frighten Europe, and conventional means could not have the effect of countermeasures, so the French claimed that they also conducted tactical nuclear weapon test firing exercises. In fact, the so-called tactical nuclear weapons exercise by Russia and France is just a cover. The tactical nuclear warheads are not taken out of the weapons warehouse, nor are they really launched. Only supersonic missiles capable of being equipped with nuclear warheads are launched during the exercise. Such missiles equipped with nuclear warheads are nuclear weapons, and those without nuclear warheads are conventional weapons.
The difference between Russia and France lies in that Russia announced a nuclear deterrence exercise long ago and explained the reasons and objectives of deterrence. While France is unknown, Lekol also admitted that the test launch was carried out in the ongoing routine military exercises. They just test fired this kind of missile and certainly did not add nuclear warheads, so they said that conventional is conventional and nuclear weapons are nuclear weapons. The French also used ready-made exercise results to counter.
The reason why the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs specially warned France is that, in addition to the remarks of Makron and others, it must also find that the French have actual actions, otherwise it would not specifically point out France. The French may not really want to go to war with Russia. Sometimes a good trick can get twice the result with half the effort!
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