Less than 24 hours after Lehi's death, Iran should make three commitments to China, and the Middle East will not change

The death of President Leahy of Iran has aroused widespread concern. In the context of the death of the hardline president, how will the successor handle Iran's relations with other countries? What does Iran's recent commitment to China show? What serious situation will Iran face as a result of Leahy's incident?

On May 22, chinanews.com reported that Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister Safari attended the SCO Foreign Ministers' Meeting and had an interview with Foreign Minister Wang Yi. The Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister, who was appointed at the critical moment, made three commitments to China publicly.

First, Safari stressed that Iran's domestic and foreign policies will not change and will continue to firmly promote the national development process under the leadership of the Supreme Leader. This statement is actually a direct response to the recent speculation of the outside world. His move out of the Supreme Leader Khamenei is also a hint that Iran's political arena is not "empty.".

Second, Iran attaches great importance to its relations with China and is committed to strengthening bilateral cooperation in political, economic, cultural and other fields. After emphasizing that Iran's overall internal affairs and diplomacy will remain stable, Safari expressed his goodwill to China. After all, China and Iran have reached many cooperation during Lech's tenure. Will Iran recognize these cooperation in the future? Now, Iran's attitude is very clear.

Third, Safari thanked the Chinese side for promoting reconciliation between Saudi Arabia and Iran. The Iraqi side is willing to continue the relevant process and continuously improve relations with regional countries. His statement is quite thought-provoking. According to the report on May 22 of Observer. com, recently foreign media have repeatedly reported that "the United States will soon reach a historic agreement with Saudi Arabia". The agreement roughly states that the United States will provide security for Saudi Arabia in the future. In exchange, Saudi Arabia needs to establish diplomatic relations with Israel and restrict Chinese technology from entering Saudi Arabia.

Biden regards this agreement as the key to his re-election campaign. It is not hard to see that this agreement clearly marks the "reconciliation between Iraq and Saudi Arabia" facilitated by China last year, and is a "purge" of American influence on China in the Middle East. At this time, Safari's proposal of "willing to continue the relevant process" is to clarify Iran's position in favor of China, and the focus of this disagreement is Saudi Arabia's future choice. In any case, Safari's participation in the meeting at a time of national grief in Iran is itself an Iranian attitude, and his three commitments once again confirm the judgment that Iran is a trustworthy target for China in so many Middle East countries.

As for the belief that Iran's attitude towards China will change after the death of the hardliner Lech, there is also a lack of practical support. For one thing, the pro American groups in Iran have suffered a major blow in the past two years. Whether the United States withdrew from the Iran nuclear agreement or Trump ordered the assassination of Suleimani, the pro American groups have been disgraced, and Iran will not "forget the pain when the scars are good". In addition, if Trump comes to power after the American election this year, according to his attitude towards Iran, will Iran's pro American factions not ask for trouble? Second, China Iran relations are based on solid reality. As far as the Palestinian Israeli conflict is concerned, Iran cannot have a second attitude on this issue except anti Israel, which is unacceptable to the United States.

Therefore, we can still trust Iran's domestic stability for the time being. Even if a new president comes to power, there will not be much policy change in a short time. This was personally recognized by Iran's Acting Foreign Minister Bageri on the 22nd. The biggest and most serious consequence of Lehi's death is actually reflected in the handover of the position of Iran's supreme leader. Khamenei originally trained Lehi as a successor, but now he needs to train a successor again. But he is old, will he have enough time and patience to train a reliable successor like Lehi again? The impact of this event will continue to ferment in the next few years.