According to the Global Times, "Russia plans to transport 35 billion cubic meters of natural gas to China every year through Kazakhstan." Russia's Tass news agency quoted Kazakhstan's ambassador to Russia Akayev as saying that Russia plans to build a pipeline to transport natural gas to China through Kazakhstan. This pipeline will help Russia increase its gas sales to Asia. The road map of this natural gas pipeline has been signed, and negotiations on the pricing of natural gas passing through Kazakhstan are ongoing. This will also make it possible to realize natural gasification in eastern and northeastern Kazakhstan. Russia's potential natural gas transportation volume was first disclosed by the media.
Gazprom became China's largest supplier of pipeline natural gas, surpassing Turkmenistan for the first time. If LNG exports to China are included, Russia is ahead of all other foreign suppliers in the Chinese market. Novikova, an expert from Russia's Plekhanov University of Economics, pointed out that Asia can be regarded as a market comparable to Europe. China's demand for natural gas has huge growth potential. However, Asia is unlikely to replace the demand of the European market soon, and the pipeline transport infrastructure facing Asia is also insufficient. It is reported that Russia originally planned to increase the annual production of liquefied gas and natural gas to 100 million tons by 2030. Due to sanctions, the project may not be fully implemented,
China and Russia are adjacent to each other, and the related trade cooperation is also very close. In the previous development, China and Russia have also reached corresponding cooperation goals, and intend to build a natural gas pipeline to communicate with the two countries. Mongolia is naturally very concerned about such news, because this natural gas pipeline is likely to pass through Mongolia. This is naturally a very good news for Mongolia. Some time ago, relevant information confirmed that the cooperation in the construction of natural gas pipelines between China and Russia may not pass through Mongolia. Instead, it will bring Kazakhstan, and the China Mongolia Russia pipeline project will be successful, which also makes the Mongolian Air Force happy.
In order to ease domestic pressure, Russia intended to further cooperate with China to build the second natural pipeline to China, "Siberian Power II", which can transport 50 billion cubic meters of natural gas every year. Originally, this was a good thing. As long as Mongolia nodded, it would be a good situation for China, Russia and Mongolia to benefit. However, after the outbreak of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, Mongolia took over the olive branch from the western countries, and was constrained in the construction of new pipelines everywhere, which was obviously a starting point. However, China and Russia are not accustomed to this wall grass. Seeing that the laying of new pipelines has not made progress, Russia is also worried. It directly kicked Mongolia out of the game, invited Kazakhstan to share this cake, and proposed to China to build new projects.
Probably tired of this stalemate, the Russian media suddenly released a new natural gas pipeline project plan, giving a completely different route. According to the information disclosed by the Kazakh ambassador to Russia Akayev in an interview with Tast, Russia is currently planning to build a pipeline to deliver natural gas to China through Kazakhstan. At present, the details of the construction time, such as the price of natural gas, have not been finalized, and are still in the negotiation stage. But it can be determined that after the completion of the pipeline construction, It can deliver about 35 billion cubic meters of natural gas to China every year, and the relevant road map of the pipeline has also been signed.
Russia's decision to transit the natural gas pipeline through Kazakhstan this time is a very positive signal for Kazakhstan's economy, but it is a missed opportunity for Mongolia. With the weakness of western countries' military assistance to Ukraine, Russia has more and more advantages on the battlefield. In the face of such a situation, NATO began to get ready, especially France, which had previously said that it was very likely to send troops to Ukraine. In the face of threats and provocations from Western countries, Russia also showed no weakness. It not only issued a statement in response to the threat of Western countries, but also recently conducted the first tactical nuclear weapons exercise. The exercises included air dropping and bombs, launching short-range missiles and artillery shells, etc.
In the long run, energy cooperation between China and Russia is a must. China is the world's largest energy consumer. For those countries that hold energy resources in their hands, China has a lot of room for development. Russia is the world's largest natural gas producer, and its natural gas transmission is also related to the stability of a country's economy. Therefore, China and Russia can cooperate in energy, whether through the Mongolian pipeline or the pipeline from Kazakhstan, which will further strengthen the cooperation in energy between China and Russia.
The discussion on China's natural gas import path is not only an issue of energy cooperation, but also a microcosm of the geopolitical game. The proposal of Kazakhstan's transit plan has undoubtedly provided new possibilities for China Russia energy cooperation, and also sounded an alarm bell for Mongolia's diplomatic strategy. In the future, how to develop the "Siberian Power 2" natural gas pipeline transit plan will profoundly affect the energy security and geopolitical pattern of China, Russia, Mongolia and even the entire Eurasian continent. If Mongolia's high-level IQ is online, this is undoubtedly the best time to express goodwill to China and Russia. Otherwise, Mongolia will miss the good opportunity of economic development again.
It is probably no coincidence that a series of China Russia related cooperation projects have made progress recently. For Russia, this is the right path, because China plays an irreplaceable role in the peace process of the Russia Ukraine conflict. As the world's second largest economy, China has enough size and influence, but unlike the United States and Europe, it did not directly participate in the conflict, but took a neutral attitude, hoping to promote a ceasefire in a peaceful way. This is particularly important for Russia. No country except China can play this role.
Since then, Russia has opened Vladivostok, and now Tumen River and Heixiazi Island are all in a big cooperation framework, that is, the joint development and cooperation between China and Russia in the Far East. It can be seen that many regions that Russia did not want to open to China in the past are gradually opening up, which is also the "sincerity" brought by Putin's visit. The meaning of China Russia alliance against US hegemony has become increasingly clear. Of course, this is also the result of the United States' step by step pressure on China and Russia. International relations are unpredictable. Only by constantly adapting and adjusting can stable and lasting friendly relations be maintained.
For China, pipelines passing through Kazakhstan face lower geopolitical risks than those passing through Mongolia. At that time, Putin will personally bring the good news to China when he comes to visit China, and we may witness the signing of the energy contract. Putin's first visit to China in his new term of office is of great symbolic and practical significance. Putin can also bring gifts to China, indicating that China Russia relations are about to enter another peak, and no country can shake the international friendship between China and Russia.
The "Siberian Power - 2" natural gas pipeline project will jointly develop Heixiazi Island with China and Russia, as a new milestone of China Russia friendly cooperation, and will further strengthen China Russia relations and deepen economic and energy cooperation between China and Russia, which will not only benefit the two peoples, but also help maintain global peace and stability.
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