Zerensky finally understood that only China could end the war, and Russia made it clear that it was too late to regret
In a recent interview with the media, Zelensky made it clear that only China can play a role in ending the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and China's participation is crucial. The Russian side made it very clear that it was too late for Zelensky to regret that he was no longer the legitimate president of Ukraine and was naturally unqualified to negotiate with Russia.
Zelensky intends to have peace talks with Russia. Russia has made clear that it is too late to regret
In an interview with Reuters on May 20, the President of Ukraine said for the first time that the current situation of the Russian Ukrainian war was very bad for Ukraine. In recent weeks, the Russian army's attack further tested Kiev's already stretched defense line.
The Urumqi army is in retreat in the face of the Russian offensive
At the same time, Russia seized a large area of Ukrainian territory in the fierce fighting in the eastern area of Donbas. Kharkov was attacked by the Russian army on a large scale, but the battlefield situation has been "controlled" at present, and the fighting in the eastern region is still very fierce.
In this regard, Western "friends" should increase their assistance to Ukraine, only in this way can Ukraine win the war. But the United States is now afraid of hands and feet. In terms of military assistance, the United States has not implemented full assistance to Ukraine, which is, in the final analysis, afraid of Russia.
Zelensky said that at least 130 fighter planes are needed to fight against the Russian Tianfeng Air Force. Ukraine is waiting for the delivery of US made F-16 fighter planes, but these planes have not yet been delivered to Ukraine. If countries cannot provide these aircraft immediately, they can take off from NATO neighbors to intercept the incoming missiles of the Russian army.
Zerensky also said that he hoped that the armed forces of NATO's neighbors could intercept the incoming Russian missiles over Ukrainian territory, which is actually asking the Russian army to intervene next.
Zelensky Asks the West for Help
Zerensky seeks help from China, and it is practically impossible for China to exert pressure on Russia
Finally, on the issue of negotiation, Zerensky also rarely relented and made it clear that it is vital to let as many countries as possible sit at the negotiating table, of which China is an important force that cannot be ignored. Zerensky hopes that China will put pressure on Russia to end the war, and that China's presence is vital to Ukraine.
The total number of casualties and capitulations of the Ukrainian army in the Russian Ukrainian conflict is more than four times that of the Russian army
From a series of news released by Zerensky, it can be seen that he is now facing great pressure. At present, the Ukrainian army is in decline. Zerensky has to repeatedly ask the West to provide a large amount of weapons, equipment and ammunition, and even ask NATO to send troops directly to participate in the war. On the issue of negotiation, Zerensky expects China to play an important role in "cease-fire and ending the war".
Nibian Jia
In this regard, the Russian side's response was very clear. The Russian Permanent Representative to the United Nations Nibianja said that the mediation of the Ukrainian issue should take into account that Zelensky's power will expire on May 20. It would be pointless to sign any document with him after that date. The attitude of Russia is very clear, and the Zelensky authorities have become "illegal governments".
The legitimacy of Zerensky's government is questioned by Russia
In fact, since Zelensky was elected President of Ukraine in 2019, his term of office will expire on May 20, 2024. However, the Ukrainian authorities refused to conduct a new round of presidential elections and invoked the Law on the Legal System of Martial Law, according to which amendments to the Constitution and presidential elections were prohibited during this period. However, this is in conflict with Article 103 of the Constitution of Ukraine.
Therefore, Zerensky's prohibition of holding presidential elections has also caused considerable controversy in Ukraine. Russia simply does not recognize the Zerensky government after its term of office, and issues a wanted warrant to it.
The battlefield is passive everywhere, the legitimacy of the government is questioned by Russia, and the Zerensky government is in a desperate situation
It can be said that the current Zerensky government has fallen into a desperate situation. Up to now, Ukraine has been unable to support the Russian Ukrainian conflict. After two years of war, Ukraine cannot afford to waste. According to open-source data from various parties, up to now, more than 800000 Urumqi soldiers have been captured in battlefield casualties, and human resources have been broken and exhausted.
The deployment of the whole front-line forces has dropped from the peak of 801 million to 1 million in September 2022 to the current scale of 45-60 million.
Moreover, because of the huge casualties on the battlefield, the front line of the Urumqi army is not only unable to receive enough high-quality troops, most of the additional troops are middle-aged people aged 40-50 years old, who have neither received enough military training, nor are their physical strength inferior to that of young soldiers. The overall scale and quality of the Urumqi army are constantly declining.
Therefore, the most troublesome problem for the Zelensky authorities is the recruitment of troops, which cannot be solved by the West. The second is the issue of weapons and equipment. In fact, there are not many weapons and equipment provided by the West.
However, in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine - the most intense large-scale hot war in this century, the weapons provided by the West were not enough to be consumed in the battlefield at high intensity, and the West also had restrictions on Ukraine's assistance in top advanced weapons, and explicitly requested Ukraine not to attack Russia itself, so as not to cause Russia to turn against itself.
It can be said that after two years of fighting, Ukraine has suffered a large amount of unrecoverable loss of personnel and equipment, and its overall strength has suffered a great loss. After the great counter offensive in 2023 was completely defeated, the Russian army launched a full line attack from the eastern and northern parts of Ukraine, and the Ukrainian army simply could not hold it, so that it kept losing ground.
Russia's military industry is fully launched
For Russia, the mobilization has been launched in an all-round way. Whether it is the recruitment of soldiers or the mobilization of military industry, Ukraine has been completely crushed by virtue of its huge size advantage.
The Russian army has always maintained a huge advantage in firepower equipment on the battlefield, and the casualties on the battlefield are much smaller than those in Ukraine. So far, the casualties of the Russian army are 200000. In view of Russia's demographic advantages and troop expansion, the Russian army has more than 640000 front-line combat troops at present, which is 3-4 times more than the front-line troops at the beginning of 2022, and has overwhelmed Ukraine in terms of military strength and troop quality.
A large number of weapons and equipment are continuously transported to the Russian army
Not to mention weapons and equipment. After all, Russia is still "the top three permanent". It has an independent industrial system and has completely rolled over Ukraine on the scale of heavy industry. With the opening of the wartime comprehensive mobilization mechanism, Russia's military industrial production capacity has completely blown out, and the output of tank, artillery and ammunition equipment has doubled, which not only can quickly supplement the losses in the front line, There are also a large number of surplus equipment troops.
Therefore, in the whole front line, the Russian army has an absolute firepower advantage. The artillery firepower advantage is 5-10 times that of the Ukrainian army. The aviation forces launch high-intensity attacks to carry out ground strike missions. At the same time, the Russian army uses missiles to attack Ukraine's infrastructure, industrial targets and military targets in depth, further damaging Ukraine's war potential.
From a series of offensives at the beginning of this year, the Russian army with military strength and firepower advantages has made steady progress on the battlefield, and has already taken the initiative in the war. Recently, it launched an attack in Kharkov, and has made good progress relying only on a small number of troops. The Urumqi army will no longer be able to launch counter attacks with superior forces as it did in 2022, and can only defend passively.
And Zerensky's desire for the West to directly participate in the war is also impossible to achieve. This war is NATO's proxy war. Ukraine is neither the EU nor NATO countries. Why would the US and the West send troops to help Ukraine?
Russia has thousands of nuclear warheads
Ukraine's role in the West is to consume Russia's strength. Until now, NATO has not dared to end in an all-round way. The answer is very simple. Russia is also a nuclear country, whose total number of nuclear bombs is equal to that of the United States, and its nuclear strike capability is enough to ensure that all Western countries will die together.
The Russian leadership has also repeatedly stressed that the West should not force Russia into a desperate situation, or Russia will not rule out the use of nuclear weapons.
Therefore, the West cannot fully participate in the Ukrainian conflict. Otherwise, the consequences can be said to be devastating. No leader in the West dares to take this risk. Biden has also repeatedly said that it will not end the Russian Ukrainian conflict. The US Defense Minister Austin recently stressed that Ukraine is not allowed to attack Russia with western weapons, just for fear of stimulating Russia.
Therefore, the longer the conflict between Russia and Ukraine lasts, the more beneficial it is for Russia, and the more expensive it is for Ukraine. This is why the Ukrainian government has recently taken the initiative to consider peace talks, which means that the front line is unsustainable.
Zerensky also hopes that China's peace talks will help to exert pressure on Russia and influence the Russian truce. It can be clearly said that this is impossible. The Russian government has not failed to give Ukraine the opportunity to negotiate peace. As early as the beginning of the war in 2022, Russia and Ukraine had truce negotiations in Turkey. Russia withdrew its troops from northern Kiev, but then Ukraine tore up the truce agreement and continued the war.
Now, Zerensky wants to plan peace talks again, but it is too late to regret that Russia does not intend to give him the opportunity. The meaning is very clear. The Zerensky government has no legitimacy. If Ukraine sincerely wants to conduct truce negotiations, the President of Ukraine will definitely change, and no one will negotiate with Zerensky.
Zelensky's proposal to ask China to exert pressure on Russia to force it to cease the war can only be said to be fantastic. China's exchanges with Russia are pure normal economic and trade relations. China is not the maker of the Ukrainian crisis, nor is it a party to it. Its frank stance is to persuade and promote talks and political solutions. It is also impossible to exert any pressure on Russia to favor Ukraine and the West, which is unreasonable.
Now that Russia has shown its sincerity, and Putin has repeatedly expressed his support for the Russia Ukraine negotiations, it depends on whether Ukraine has sincerity. It can be said that political settlement of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine is the best solution at present. If the war is allowed to continue, Ukraine will never survive.
In the face of the escalating conflict between Russia and Ukraine and the internal difficulties of Ukraine, Zerensky not only failed to show effective leadership, but also did nothing in the fantasy of seeking Western assistance and pressure on China.
It ignored the actual situation of Ukraine at home and abroad and refused to conduct substantive peace negotiations, leading to a deeper crisis in Ukraine. Zelensky's behavior is totally irresponsible to the Ukrainian people. Now in Russia's eyes, he has lost his "legitimacy" and trust. No amount of regret will do nothing but make Ukraine pay a heavier price.
Some sources of the article: 1. Zerensky: the Ukrainian army is making "practical achievements" in Kharkov