After Iran elected a hardline president, the United States has suffered three major setbacks. It is more difficult to return to the Iran nuclear agreement. If Iran cannot reach a negotiation and return to the agreement, Iran will ruin the United States' affairs. The United States is helpless now, and the EU is worried!
The United States withdraws all its troops from Afghanistan and withdraws from the Middle East - to return to the Iran nuclear agreement. The purpose is to fully respond to the rise of China and Russia. In the words of U.S. Defense Secretary Austin, it is "to enable the U.S. military to focus on more dangerous threats, especially China and Russia." Therefore, the United States urgently returns to the Iran nuclear agreement, more urgent than Iran!
However, the last thing the United States would like to see happen: on June 19, Iran's hard line conservative candidate, Chief Justice Alexei Selehi, was elected the next president with 61.8% of the vote, and will succeed moderate reformist leader Rouhani as president on August 3 this year. Observers inside and outside Iran generally believe that Lehi is the promising successor of Iran's oldest supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. After his experience in the presidency, he is very likely to become the next supreme leader of Iran. The United States has to face this "anti American fighter" for a long time.
After Leahy was elected President, the dissatisfaction and helplessness of the United States were clear: the spokesman of the United States State Department issued a statement on the same day, saying that Iranians were deprived of the right to choose their own leaders in a free and fair election process. At the same time, he also said that the United States will continue to conduct indirect negotiations with Iran on the US rejoining the 2015 Iran nuclear agreement.
On June 19, the Axios website quoted a US official as saying that the United States hopes to reach a deal on the Iranian nuclear agreement before Iran's new president takes office. The American official said that if the United States could not reach an agreement before Iran formed a new government, there would be a serious problem about the feasibility, because the longer the negotiations, the less chance of success.
The New York Times reported on June 19 that the election of tough and conservative anti American fighter Lehi as President of Iran triggered an unpredictable diplomatic drama, which is also an "excellent" window for the United States to resume the Iran nuclear agreement: the arrival of an Iranian hardline government may provide the Biden administration with a short opportunity to resume the Iran nuclear agreement reached in 2015, Biden's top aides believe the moment may have arrived.
What do you mean? It is the Biden administration that believes that more than a month before Lech took office as President of Iran on August 3 this year, it is the best time for the United States and Iran's moderate reformist Rouhani government to reach an agreement on the return of the United States to Iran's nuclear program. Once Leahy became president, the United States and Iran reached a deal, and the possibility of returning to the Iran nuclear agreement became smaller and smaller, and the time delay became longer and longer, which was unbearable for the United States - the United States wanted to "get rid of" the stumbling block of Iran by returning to the Iran nuclear agreement, and concentrate its energy and resources to contain China and Russia.
Indeed, it is extremely embarrassing for the United States that the United States suffered three major setbacks after Leahy was elected President:
The first major setback, Reuters reported on June 20, that the head of the Iranian delegation, Abbas Araghi, said that because differences could not be easily overcome, the sixth round of negotiations between Iran and the six major countries in the world aimed at returning to the nuclear agreement reached by the United States in 2015 was adjourned on the same day, and representatives of all countries would return to their respective countries for discussion. When formal negotiations will resume is unknown.
That is to say, the negotiations on the return of the United States to the Iran nuclear agreement have again stalled. When to restart and when to reach an agreement, the United States has no idea.
The second setback was the first press conference after Iran's election held by President elect Leahy in Tehran on June 21, which put forward a humiliating and unacceptable condition for the United States.
Leahy said bluntly at the press conference that he would not meet with US President Biden!
At the same time, he put forward two unacceptable conditions for the United States to return to the Iran nuclear agreement. First, he refused to include Iran's missile program in the Iran nuclear agreement, that is, the United States' plan to abolish Iran's ballistic missiles by revising the Iran nuclear agreement failed again; Second, he demanded that the United States must lift all sanctions against Iran.
Third, Lech said at the press conference that under the leadership of his government, Iran will continue to carry out diplomatic contacts with other countries, and such contacts will not be limited to the negotiation process of the Iran nuclear agreement.
Leahy stressed that successive Iranian governments have always been committed to developing relations with China. At present, China and Iran enjoy good relations and have great development potential. Iran will continue to strive to tap and use this potential to promote the development of friendly relations between the two countries. The 25 year comprehensive cooperation agreement between Iran and China is a bilateral agreement in Iran's foreign policy. The implementation of the agreement will be one of the tasks of his current government.
After the United States unilaterally withdrew from the Iran nuclear agreement and imposed the highest level of sanctions on Iran in history, which severely damaged Iran's economy and finance, Iran was forced to implement a strategic shift: two eyes no longer focused on Europe and the United States, but looked east, just like Russia. Russia and Iran have shifted their strategies to the east, which is a nightmare for the United States.
Since April this year, diplomats from the United States, the European Union, Iran and others have gathered in hotels in Vienna to conduct intense and busy indirect negotiations on the return of the United States to the Iran nuclear agreement. The Iranians refuse to negotiate with everyone face to face, so the EU diplomats have to act as intermediaries, passing on the words and notes of the Iranians and the United States to each other, just like passing on every family.
Iran very much hopes to reach negotiations so that the United States can return to the Iran nuclear agreement, but hopes that President elect Lech can participate in the negotiations or reach an agreement after Lech takes office as President. He can delay and waste. The United States is more anxious than Iran and hopes to reach negotiations before Lech takes office as President of Iran and return to the Iran nuclear agreement.
This is because the United States has not returned to the Iran nuclear agreement. Iran is a troublemaker, a stumbling block, and a roadblock to the United States. The United States cannot concentrate its energy and resources to contain China and Russia. While China and Russia continue to rise, the United States is slowly declining. For the United States, there is only the last chance to contain China and Russia. Time is running out. At the same time, compared with the moderate reformist Rouhani, it is more difficult and less likely for the United States and the hardline conservative Leahy to reach negotiations on returning to the Iran nuclear agreement.
So why is the United States delayed in reaching negotiations with Iran to return to the Iran nuclear agreement? There are two main reasons. One is that the United States has deep-rooted hostility to Iran; The other is that the United States wants to make itself eat meat and Iran drink soup - that is, the United States both wants to return to the Iran nuclear agreement and refuses to lift hundreds of sanctions against Iran.
On June 8, U.S. Secretary of State Lincoln said at the hearing of the Senate Appropriations Committee of the United States Congress that even if Iran returned to the Iran nuclear agreement and complied with its obligations under the agreement, hundreds of sanctions unrelated to the Iran nuclear agreement imposed by former U.S. President Trump would not be lifted and would continue until Iran changed its behavior. The so-called Iranian change is that the United States has not given up regime change in Iran.
The US policy towards Iraq is the biggest obstacle for the US to return to the Iran nuclear agreement. As the day of Leahy's inauguration as President of Iran draws near, the United States and its European allies are increasingly anxious! Reuters reported that EU Foreign and Security Policy High Representative Borrelli said on June 20: "There is not much time left for the United States to negotiate!"
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