Forbes magazine believes that Russia will exhaust most of its combat effectiveness in 2026. In fact, American intelligence calculations are very accurate. However, the reality has made the US and Ukrainian military feel desperate.
The biggest weakness of the Russian army is the barrel. The tank and armored vehicle can be renovated, but the old barrel is difficult to use again. The old gun barrel with errors is in actual combat. One gun did not move, and the two shells could be several tens of meters away.
Because the processing accuracy of the barrel itself can affect the dispersion effect of shells when firing from a distance. Five kilometers away, the gun barrel is good or bad, and the gap will come out, whether the spread distance is within 10 meters or 50 meters.
In addition, the crew members should carefully maintain the barrel of the cannon. For example, cannonballs cannot be carried with sand, and cannonballs cannot be placed directly in the field, but must have cushions. Because, shells with sand will wear the barrel. The sand with high hardness is easy to grind the rifling of the barrel on the high-speed projectile.
The Russian army has 2000 cannons. Generally, the life of a well made barrel is 2000 rounds. After almost a year of fighting, all the howitzers and cannon barrels of the Russian army will be scrapped.
Forbes magazine believes that the production capacity of the Russian military factory is not enough to completely replace new gun barrels. Before the war between Russia and Ukraine, only two factories in Russia had the ability to produce gun barrels, namely the Motoviliha factory in Perm and the Barikadi factory in Volgograd, but their production capacities were very low.
For this reason, the Russian army is dismantling 7500 Soviet howitzer barrels in its inventory. However, these barrels in the Soviet period are not well maintained for a long time, and they themselves are old barrels with little life.
According to, the Russian military barrel production capacity and Soviet howitzer reserves. The United States believes that the Russian army can only fight for 4 years at most. But now, the Russian artillery has not weakened at all. It is getting stronger and more accurate.
This shows that the Russian army has a large number of new high-quality gun barrels. For this reason, the Financial Times said that Russia has introduced a large number of dual-use equipment from China, even second-hand equipment is also ordered in large quantities.
These equipment can be used to produce both civilian and military products. For example, we produce missile engines, aircraft parts, electronic parts, unmanned aerial vehicles, armored vehicles, and gun tubes.
It is said that Russia pays most attention to second-hand electroslag remelting equipment. In a word, electroslag remelting steel is a basic raw material for steelmaking. High purity steel with other alloy elements is used. The product is characterized by less impurities and uniform quality structure.
The steel produced by this electroslag remelting equipment is suitable for manufacturing gun tubes of artillery and tanks. Gun barrel is no longer the bottleneck restricting Russian tank production. Then Russia directly announced that the production of tanks and artillery would double.
The Financial Times reported that 57% of the CNC machine tools imported from Russia came from Asia. Although these CNC machine tools can not compare with western products in accuracy and quality. However, it is enough to produce gun tubes that can be used in actual combat.
However, the West cannot say anything, because it is not only CNC machine tools, but also electroslag remelting equipment. All of them are civilian products, not special military equipment, not to mention weapons and equipment.
Russia has the production capacity of shells, high-quality iron ore, and now there are more CNC machine tools. The Russian artillery can fight for a long time. In the war of attrition, Russia and Ukraine compete with each other in terms of industrial production capacity and loss resistance.
In fact, there is no need to give Russia arms and ammunition. As long as Russia can produce thousands of gun tubes every year, the Russian army can continue to fight and demilitarize Ukraine and even NATO.
Speaking of all, China's strong point is its strong system. I can play with you whatever you play. There are almost no weak points. Although the level is high, it is also low. However, China has a huge, complex and comprehensive industrial system. This allows us to stay at the poker table until we can quickly organize and develop all kinds of things that were not originally available.
But Russia is no longer such an industrial country, because Russia has no stable domestic and international markets. Even if it is manufactured, there is no place to sell it. The most suitable industry for Russia is the military industry, and the Russian military itself is the largest buyer.
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