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Changes in China Russia Rear Area? At the critical moment, China and Russia played a "trump card" and Mongolia was foolish

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According to the Global Times, "Russia plans to send 35 billion cubic meters of natural gas to China every year through Kazakhstan," Singapore's Lianhe Morning Post reported on the 5th. Russia's Tass News Agency quoted Kazakhstan's ambassador to Russia Akayev as saying that Russia plans to build a natural gas pipeline through Kazakhstan to China. This pipeline will help Russia increase its gas sales to Asia.

It is reported that the road map of this natural gas pipeline has been signed, and the negotiation on the pricing of natural gas passing through Kazakhstan is in progress. This will also make it possible to normalize natural gas in eastern and northeastern Kazakhstan.

"Russia plans to transport about 35 billion cubic meters of natural gas to China every year through Kazakhstan," Kazakh Ambassador to Russia Abyev said in an interview with Russia's Tass News Agency recently that Russia plans to build a pipeline to transport natural gas to China through Kazakhstan. At present, the construction time, natural gas price and other details of the plan have not been determined, It is still in the negotiation stage.

According to a report by the Tass News Agency on the 4th, Abayev said: "We want to make full use of our transport potential. The road map has been signed. We are talking about the supply of 35 billion cubic meters of natural gas to China (every year). This will make it possible to gasify the eastern and northeastern regions of Kazakhstan."



On May 7, 2024, Ambassador Zhang Hanhui gave a written interview to the "Russia Today" news agency.

For such a large project as the "Siberian Power 2" pipeline, gas price is not the only determinant. The enterprises of both sides are actively discussing a series of issues such as project technology, commerce and cooperation mode. China has always advocated the upstream and downstream integration model, which will not only help to extend the single trade to the whole industrial chain cooperation, drive exchanges and mutual learning in more areas between the two sides, but also promote the establishment of a more long-term, more stable and closer cooperation between the two sides, and share the dividends of China's super large market. It is expected that both sides will open their minds, explore a win-win cooperation model, and realize the project implementation as soon as possible.

On May 7 local time, Putin was officially sworn in in the Kremlin and began his next presidential term.

After he was elected the eighth president of the Russian Federation, the first country he plans to visit is China.

It is generally believed that under the circumstances of protracted conflict between Russia and Ukraine and extreme sanctions taken by the United States and Western countries against Russia, Russia's economy must shift its focus of development to the 'East'.

The Sino Russian energy trade cooperation is obviously the key chip for the Russian economy to achieve "breakthrough".

According to relevant data, last year's net income of Gazprom was 695.6 billion rubles, but its core business of foreign natural gas export suffered a loss of up to 291 billion rubles.

According to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, senior Chinese officials are going to visit Kazakhstan and other three Central Asian countries. The visit is seen as part of this year's high-level diplomatic exchanges between China and Kazakhstan, and is expected to play a positive role in promoting the stable development of bilateral relations. It is worth mentioning that Kazakhstan has prepared generous gifts to welcome the arrival of senior Chinese officials.

Kazakhstan took the lead in announcing this, which probably means that, at least for the moment, Russia and Kazakhstan both have a positive attitude towards the construction of the pipeline. Therefore, Kazakhstan naturally hopes to finalize relevant details with China and Russia as soon as possible, especially with China.



Professor Zheng Jiyong of Fudan University pointed out that by building a pipeline in Kazakhstan to connect directly with China, we can not only strengthen China Russia energy cooperation, but also promote the relationship between Russia and Kazakhstan, sending a clear signal to Mongolia: in terms of energy cooperation, Russia and China have a variety of options. If Mongolia continues to vacillate between the East and the West, it may eventually harm its own interests.

Last year, the three parties of China, Russia and Mongolia announced that they would start the construction of the "Siberian Force - 2" natural gas trunk pipeline. It was originally expected to start this year, and initially completed in 2028. It will be put into full use in 2030, and the annual natural gas transportation capacity will reach 40-50 billion cubic meters.

After that, Mongolia will receive about US $1 billion of toll revenue for natural gas every year, and will greatly strengthen the friendship between Mongolia and its only two neighbors, China and Russia.

However, Mongolia has put forward absurd requirements such as opening direct flights with the United States, transiting China's airspace, preparing to rent Chinese ports and commercial ships, and importing rare earth resources into the United States.

In 2000, Mongolia and the United States had military exchanges. This year, they sent troops to participate in the United States led "Focus 2000" joint military exercise. The next year, the United States conducted the "Golden Cobra 2001 Military Exercise". Since then, the joint exercise between the two countries has been fixed. Later, it was renamed the "Khan Exploration" joint military exercise, which is held once a year.

Every year, the US military will send people to participate in the exercises in Ulaanbaatar, the capital of Mongolia. For example, the 11th Airborne Division was sent the year before last. Then the question arises. How did the US army get to Ulaanbaatar? Isn't Mongolia sandwiched between two big countries? Will they let US troops pass through?

That's the answer.

In May, the Chinese Embassy in Mongolia issued a safety reminder. The reminder points out that since 2024, there have been many vicious attacks and disturbances against Chinese citizens and Chinese enterprises in the country, which have caused serious property losses and casualties.

Although Mongolia is adjacent to China, it has always been very restless. Descendants of this country regard themselves as orthodox "Mongol Empire". They are very hostile to China and Russia. They also like to flirt with Washington and promote the United States as their so-called "third neighbor". However, for a long time, China's attitude towards Mongolia was mainly tolerant and did not dare to easily promote military or police cooperation.

In recent years, some European and American countries have tried to strengthen their relations with Mongolia and further develop the "third neighbor" on this basis. At the same time, in order to reduce its dependence on Russia, Mongolia also hopes to strengthen its relations with China and Russia. Not long ago, the United States also tried to persuade Mongolia to build its base on its territory.

This is a clear signal that the West wants to play a role in the door of China and Russia. For this reason, both China and Russia are actively carrying out their own development plans. China and Mongolia have carried out joint training, especially in the field of national defense, which has expanded the ties between the two countries.



Under such circumstances, Mongolia should not expect China to pay attention or support to it.

China knows what Mongolia has done and the means behind it.

As the second largest economy in the world, China has the leading power when interacting with neighboring countries, so China can determine the priority of cooperation.

It is suggested that Mongolia can ensure the future of the country only by truly examining the history and giving up "Great Mongolia", otherwise it will fall into the "blockade" of China and Russia, and the national economy will become increasingly weak.

As long as Mongolia stops being stubborn and re cooperates with China, it will usher in the dawn of rapid prosperity.

Looking forward to this wonderful moment, everything is possible.

Mongolia's indecision is only one aspect. The most important thing is that China firmly does not agree to the pipeline crossing Mongolia, because Mongolia has long been the first to "stab" China. Last year, after China strengthened its rare earth export control policy to the United States, Mongolia immediately sent 31 million tons of rare earth orders to the United States to weaken China's influence. This year, Mongolia has publicly "disagreed" with China many times.

In this case, once the Sino Russian natural gas pipeline passes through Mongolia, it is tantamount to handing over China's "energy lifeline" to Mongolia. If Mongolia or the United States behind it interferes, China's energy security will face a serious threat.

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