Author: Meng Ran, Sima Nan Channel
In the past two months, the South China Sea Oxbow Reef incident has continued to ferment. The Philippines believes that the massive gathering of Chinese militia vessels near the Oxbow Reef in the Philippines' exclusive economic zone is a serious provocation to the Philippines' sovereignty, while the Chinese Embassy in the Philippines has responded by saying that the Oxbow Reef is China's inherent territory that cannot be violated, and the vessels gathered near the Oxbow Reef, It is not a militia vessel, but a genuine fishing boat. The reason for gathering is to avoid the bad sea weather. Although there were some disputes, China and the Philippines were relatively restrained in their diplomatic positions on the Oxbow Reef incident. At least Duterte, who has always been tough, did not choose to speak hard to China, which has a lot to do with Duterte's pro China stance. However, this result was obviously what the United States did not want to see, so it began to use the hype of the Oxbow Reef incident to try to exert pressure on Duterte in this way.
According to the latest report of the Russian satellite news agency, there was a rumor on the Philippine social media that 300 to 400 current and retired military officers refused to support President Duterte. At the same time, Duterte was required by an ultimatum to publicly condemn China's activities in the South China Sea, including the organizers of the event, even the current Philippine Defense Minister Lorenzana. However, the rumor was broken one day after all. Soon, Defense Minister Lorenzana stepped down in person, denied the rumored information on the network, and said that these rumormongers had bad intentions. In addition, the Chief of Staff of the Philippine Army also personally refuted rumors and called on the public to remain calm and not to be credulous of provocations.
China and the Philippines calmly handled the South China Sea Oxbow Reef incident. However, there are unknown forces in the Philippines who manipulate social public opinion, create rumors and incite national sentiment, which is obviously not the will of the Philippine authorities. On the whole, we can also feel the overall position of the Philippine military in support of the Duterte government through the statements of two senior military officers in the Philippines. From a series of signs, this public opinion agitation is inevitably driven by the United States, and it does not exclude the will of a small number of military hardliners in the Philippines, as well as pro American people.
Due to historical reasons, the military cooperation between the United States and the Philippines has always been very close. Although in recent years, the political strategy of the Philippines has changed and started to move closer to China. However, at the military level, it is still closely linked with the United States. There must be some pro American people in the Philippine military. It is against this background that the rumor that the United States incited the Philippine military to exert pressure on the government can be believed by many people and spread widely. What the United States did not expect was that Duterte's control over the military was far stronger than expected. Now the Secretary of Defense and the Chief of Staff of the Army have clarified the rumours, which is bound to frustrate the idea of the United States to pressure Duterte's government to change its position on China.
In fact, from the perspective of the fundamental interests of the Philippines, it is correct for the Duterte government to refuse to be provoked by American public opinion, tear up anti China rumors, and refuse to condemn China. Although some members of the Philippine military are pro American, they must also take into account the actual interests of the Philippines. At present, it seems that support for China is more beneficial than support for the United States, and the military naturally knows how to do it. And if the military really turns to the United States and gets involved in politics, it will certainly win the hearts of the people. At the same time, the Philippines, which turned to the United States, did not gain any real benefits except to become a pawn of the United States on the South China Sea issue. Relying on China, the country can benefit from it, and it is destined to become the cannon fodder of the great powers' game. What's more, Duterte himself is a pro China faction.
Spreading malicious public opinion, changing other countries' political situation and interfering in other countries' internal affairs have long been the usual tactics of the United States. In the past few years, the Ukrainian crisis is the best example. European and American countries have long guided public opinion within Ukraine, blamed the decline of the national economy on the pro Russian position, guided Ukraine to close to European and American countries, and finally triggered the Ukrainian crisis. Today, the economy of Ukraine is more sluggish, and the situation in the east is still very tense. With the promotion of the United States, Ukraine has become the cannon fodder of the game between the United States and Russia.
Now, in order to target China, the United States not only interferes in China's internal affairs, but also interferes in the internal affairs of other governments close to China, which is undoubtedly a very abhorrent act. However, it is clear that with the lessons learned from Ukraine, many countries have been highly alert to the manipulation of public opinion by the United States, and are unwilling to exploit loopholes for the United States.
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