Author: Sima Nan Channel Zhiyuan
After the PLA held the second "military exercise around Taiwan", Taiwan's neighboring countries have indeed changed their attitudes. For example, Indonesia is developing a plan of "evacuation" for 350000 migrant workers in Taiwan.
According to the Indonesian Compass, the Indonesian government has worked with the Indonesian Trade Representative Office in Taipei to formulate a contingency plan to withdraw 350000 Indonesians working in Taiwan when the war broke out in the Taiwan Strait. The Indonesian authorities believe that the evacuation of overseas Chinese from Taiwan is more complicated than the evacuation of 1000 Indonesians from Ukraine. After all, once the PLA blockades Taiwan, it will cut off the air and sea routes to Taiwan, which will make it more difficult for Indonesia to evacuate overseas Chinese.
It can be seen from this report that the stability of Taiwan is very important for Indonesia's economy. Once Taiwan falls into war, Indonesia will inevitably suffer from "fish pond disaster". According to relevant data, since the opening of 3000 foreigners to work in Taiwan in the 1990s, the number of people from Southeast Asian countries has reached nearly 700000 by 2022, of which Indonesia accounts for 350000, which is the largest country.
The reason why Indonesia has so many migrant workers in Taiwan is that its exports are heavily dependent on Taiwan's product supply chain and routes. One data shows that Indonesia's total export value in 2021 will be 228 billion dollars, but 83 billion dollars of goods will be sold to Taiwan.
Obviously, the prosperity of Taiwan means the prosperity of Indonesia, and the decline of Taiwan means the decline of Indonesia. This is something that Indonesia cannot change. It is worth mentioning that in addition to Indonesia's preparation for the evacuation of overseas Chinese, the Philippines also formulated an emergency plan for "evacuation of 150000 citizens in Taiwan" last August.
In order to realize this plan, the Philippines asked the US military to build two new bases near the area, which may be to facilitate the evacuation of overseas Chinese.
In addition, foreigners working in Taiwan also include Japanese, Thai, Vietnamese, Malaysians and Mongolians. If Indonesia and the Philippines withdraw from the bridge at the first time, it will inevitably lead to domino effect, leading to more countries withdrawing overseas Chinese. The evacuation of overseas Chinese by so many countries is bound to give Taiwan's economy a fatal blow. In addition, if the mainland imposes an economic blockade on Taiwan, Taiwan is likely to fall into a situation of "collapse without war".
This is no exaggeration! Recently, the Ministry of Commerce of China announced that it would investigate Taiwan's trade barriers against mainland products, with a total of 2455 products. Once the news reached Taiwan, it immediately caused panic in the island. Many people in the island felt that this was a preview of the economic blockade of Taiwan by the mainland. Once the mainland stopped giving benefits to Taiwan, Taiwan's medicine, electronics Tourism and other industries will suffer a devastating blow, and the consequences are all caused by the crazy death of the Taiwan authorities.
It can be said that Taiwan's current level of development depends on the mainland's profits. We can say that the mainland rewards Taiwan with food. If the mainland does not reward Taiwan with food, then Taiwan will have no future. However, the DPP authorities, while enjoying the bounty on the mainland, are holding the banner of "fighting against China and safeguarding Taiwan", and will demonize the mainland and act as the pawn of the United States "fighting against China" when they catch the opportunity. If such a spoof continues, it will inevitably lead to the anti regime of the mainland, and Taiwan will be overwhelmed.
Because of the deteriorating relations between the Taiwan authorities and the mainland, countries including Indonesia and the Philippines began to regard Taiwan as the most dangerous region. Their intentional or unintentional evacuation plan is actually reminding the Taiwan authorities that if they continue to follow the path of "pro US and anti China", Taiwan will inevitably become a battlefield.
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