The probability of not approving the arrest and obtaining bail is very small, depending on the specific case.
When the procuratorial organ considers that the facts are unclear and the evidence is insufficient, it does not approve the arrest and there is no need for arrest. The sentencing probability needs to be judged according to your specific case. As long as the conditions for suspension are met, the court can give a suspended sentence. According to Article 72 of the Criminal Law, a criminal sentenced to criminal detention or fixed-term imprisonment of not more than three years may be suspended if he meets the following conditions at the same time, and a suspension of sentence shall be announced for those under the age of 18, pregnant women and those who have reached the age of 75: (1) The circumstances of the crime are relatively minor; (2) Show repentance; (3) There is no danger of committing another crime; (4) Proclamation of probation has no significant adverse impact on the community where they live.
Legal basis
Article 72 of the Criminal Law of the People's Republic of China [Applicable conditions] A criminal sentenced to criminal detention and fixed-term imprisonment of not more than three years may be suspended if he meets the following conditions at the same time, and a suspension of sentence shall be announced for those under the age of 18, pregnant women and those who have reached the age of 75:
(1) The circumstances of the crime are relatively minor;
(2) Show repentance;
(3) There is no danger of committing another crime;
(4) Proclamation of probation has no significant adverse impact on the community where they live.
When a suspension of sentence is declared, it may, according to the circumstances of the crime, prohibit criminals from engaging in specific activities, entering specific areas and places and contacting specific people during the probation period for suspension of sentence.
If a supplementary punishment is imposed on a criminal whose sentence is suspended, the supplementary punishment must still be executed.