It is uncertain at present, and may continue to rise in the short term.
The international oil price in 2022 is indeed not optimistic and may continue to rise. For a big country, $100 will be a breakthrough in the future, which is really worth paying attention to.
According to China's refined oil price adjustment mechanism, the refined oil will be adjusted every 10 working days, with the upper limit of $130/barrel and the lower limit of $40/barrel. In other words, when the international oil price exceeds 130 dollars, the domestic oil product price will rise to 130 dollars. If the international oil price rises again, the refined oil will not rise again. Similarly, if it is less than $40, no adjustment will be made.
The price of domestic refined oil is linked to that of international crude oil, and will be adjusted every 10 working days, of which the rise and fall of 50 yuan/ton will be adjusted. If it is lower than 50 yuan/ton, the retail price will not be adjusted, but will be accumulated or offset at the next price adjustment.
Oil price ceiling: when the oil price in the international market is higher than 130 yuan/barrel, the maximum retail price of gasoline and diesel will not be raised or lowered;
Bottom price of oil price: When the oil price in the international market is lower than 40 dollars per barrel, the maximum retail price of gasoline and diesel will not be reduced.
Will the oil price rise to 10 yuan in 2022: The rise in oil prices has not ended. According to the latest situation, it is predicted that the oil price trend in 2022, that is, 98, 95 and 92 gasoline prices are expected to reach 10 yuan.
Secondly, analyze the short-term and long-term rising factors of oil price:
1. Short term factors
The main reason for the short-term rise in oil prices is that people are more optimistic about the impact of the epidemic. At these times, this is due to the mutation of the virus, resulting in pessimism, leading to a sharp drop in oil prices, but this impact is only temporary. Once the epidemic situation improves, the decline in oil prices begins to reverse, and global oil reserves will decline.
2. Long term factors
The main reason is that the major oil producing countries have not yet agreed to fully increase oil production. For example, the upcoming OPEC meeting may remain unchanged on the previous basis, that is, they will not consider increasing oil production. There are other external factors, such as the continuous decline of crude oil production in some countries, such as the decline of crude oil production in Nigeria, which announced force majeure and stopped loading Bonnie light crude oil, leading to the continuous decline of oil production after the pipeline was closed!
At the same time, Mexico and other oil countries said that they might stop oil exports in the future.
In conclusion, from the above situation, increasing oil production is the solution to the current rise in oil prices. Only the influence of some uncertain factors can temporarily affect the oil price and not change the long-term trend. 2022 is also not optimistic. That is to say, from this long-term trend, the prices of No. 98 gasoline, No. 95 gasoline and No. 92 gasoline may exceed 10 yuan in the future!
What is the impact of rising oil prices: First of all, for most fuel car owners, the most direct feeling is that "it is easier to buy a car than to maintain it". In addition to the daily maintenance costs of cars, the rise in the price of basic gasoline has made most car owners feel headache and helpless, and the cost has also increased.
Secondly, some industries have been affected. When the oil price rises and the operating cost increases, the price of corresponding products or services in some industries may be adjusted and increased, such as express industry, transportation industry and other industries. When the operating cost of the enterprise increases, it will also affect our daily life, and the cost of living will also increase accordingly. Some people may pay more attention to fine calculation in their daily consumption in the face of the reality of rising oil prices, stagnant wages and rising oil prices.
Third, the way some people travel may change. In order to reduce the impact of rising oil prices and travel costs, people may reduce their driving frequency and choose more travel modes, such as walking, cycling, electric cars, taking buses and carpooling.
Fourth, everyone's concept of buying a car may change. In the face of the general trend of rising oil prices, although the market share has always been a large number of gasoline vehicles, in terms of subsequent car purchase options, the price of electricity is relatively low
