What is a stock? Some say it is investment, others say it is speculation. However, anyone who has seen the TV play "Big Times" played by Liu Qingyun will have a standard answer: stock is a game between people. It is precisely because stocks are a game between people that can be ever-changing. Investors need not only the ability to judge technically, but also the ability to distinguish and interpret information.

In the stock market, positive news does not necessarily rise, and negative news does not necessarily fall. The main force of the market will usually use the influence of the news to ship or wash dishes to achieve the desired results. In the stock market, confidence is OK, but conscience is not feasible.

A bad news landed

(Data picture)

The social financing data in July came out, and the increase of social financing scale was 319.1 billion yuan less than expected. This shows that the number of borrowers decreased year on year, which is bad news for the banking and real estate industry.

This Friday, the A-share market was adjusted by shocks, which may also be waiting for the arrival of this bad news. After seeing this bad news, some stock investors will think that A-shares will fall next week. However, I don't think A shares will fall. After the bad news comes, A shares will continue to rise.

The social finance data was less than expected, and the real estate and banking sectors had the greatest impact on the stock market. However, these two sectors have not seen significant growth in the last two months, and even if there is a negative, the downward decline is limited.

In addition, stocks and real estate have a seesaw effect. In the past decade, the real estate industry has been booming, but A-shares have been coming and going around 3000 points. Then, in the next ten years, I estimate that A-share investment will be better than the real estate industry.

I also noticed a data that M2 hit a four-year high, indicating that the stock market is not short of funds, but a lot of funds have not entered the market. All funds have the nature of chasing profits. As long as there is a profit making effect in any market, they will flow to that market. China's stock market has become one of the goals of such funds.

Next week, A-share continues to rise

What's the trend of A-share next Monday? In fact, there was a general market model on Friday night. We can now see that the A50 futures index rose after a slight decline on Friday evening, which is likely to be the market trend of A shares next Monday.

Personally, I believe that the A-share market will first decline and then rise next week. In any case, at this stage, my optimistic views remain unchanged. The reasons are as follows.

Reason 1: The trend is greater than everything! According to my previous judgment, the market has successfully stood on the 60 minute moving average at the 60 minute level this Thursday. This shows that A-share returns to the upward trend after a continuous correction of more than a month. Next, whether the A-share market is fluctuating or falling, as long as it is still within the rising trend range, the final direction of A-share is still rising. It is expected that the market will move towards 3400 points.

Let me say a few digression. Due to my professional attitude and accurate prediction, I have repeatedly evaded the top and bottom since last year, and almost no mistakes have been made. For example, Zhejiang Shibao, Julun Intelligent, Ganneng Shares, etc., which we have done some time ago, have doubled. Yuneng Holding (001896), and Huicheng Technology (002168) have also achieved a lot.

In the past two days, I also spent some time to select a high-quality ticket: after a long-term decline, the gu retreated more than 80%, and before starting, it accelerated to hit down, resulting in a golden pit. At present, it has broken through the pressure of the neck line and trend line, with abnormal bottom movements.

As we all know, the market is ever-changing, and we can't be stubborn and conservative. The most important choice is to follow the right rhythm. This time, the author is going to suck in the middle line of July. The author is confident. It is expected that 120% will go into the bag, and there has been a signal to start. The specific information will not be announced here, but I can be found at Wei&You Yan: cf960m, a total of eight people, and the remark "Sina" is enough. When opportunities arise, we should grasp them and follow the rules of the market. To be honest, we should not think that we will be the lucky ones. This year is the New Year of Big Legs. We should rub our fists and feet and keep pace!

Reason 2: When A-share was adjusted on Friday, northbound funds still chose to continue to flow in. This shows that the northbound capital is not afraid of the adjustment of A-shares, and is still adding A-shares. The northbound capital recognizes that A-shares are at the bottom of the range at this stage, and feels it is an opportunity to buy A-shares continuously.

summary

The news that the social finance data in July was less than expected will not have much impact on the upward trend of A-share structure. Next week, it is expected to go out of the market that has been depressed first and then raised. This is still an opportunity for investors to increase their positions and copy the bottom.

Since the trend of the market is upward, and there are northbound funds that continue to be optimistic about adding positions, I will also open up the pattern and believe that A-shares will continue to rise. I have talked about this point in my recent articles. I believe that A-share will rise, and I also believe that as the main board of technology stocks, there is still a lot of room for improvement.

The main force of the market may take advantage of the bad news to wash the dishes and scare away a group of unstable investors. In my opinion, this is also good. Only by washing out the unstable chips can the market go further and the space be higher.

In a word, I will increase my position if there is a step back on A-share next week. I am firmly optimistic about the rising market of A-share this round. Go ahead!