The horizontal plate is also called consolidation, which meansprice of stockIn a period of timewaveSmall amplitude, no obviousriseOr a downward trend, and the stock price is cowhideFinishing form, of this stagequotationamplitude of the earthquake waveSmall, difficult to follow, yesinvestorThe most confused time.Not only on the head or bottom, but also on the rise orfallOn the way, investors should not participate in the operation at this time, but should pay attention to observation, wait for good shape, and then get involved in hitchhiking.
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Horizontal plate
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It refers to the small fluctuation range of stock price within a period of time
The formation probability of market breakthrough direction in horizontal consolidation: horizontal consolidation is often the prelude to change, especiallyprice of stockAfter a certain downward process, the horizontal consolidation is easy to form a periodic bottom. At the end of the horizontal consolidation formed by the downward market, most cases will choose to break through upward, with a probability of about 90%.
The horizontal plate finishing formed by convergent triangle is characterized byriseThe high point keeps moving down and the low point keeps rising.In most cases, this pattern will continue the original trend to choose the breakthrough direction, and only a quarter of the probability will evolve into the opposite trend to the original operating trend.
risequotationThe horizontal arrangement is the most complicatedSort out the marketThe final choice of direction has considerable uncertainty, and specific research and judgment must be carried out according to the characteristics of volume and price and in combination with technical analysis means.
The sideways trend is born from the falling marketTransverse finishing If the trend lasts for 5 to 15 days, the upward breakthrough is often of a certain degree of attack.However, if the crossing time is too long, it will not only affectreboundPower, and it is also easy to lead to the final selection of downwardBreak position。
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The occurrence of the horizontal market is not only at the head or bottom, but also on the way up or downprice of stockIn different stages of the movement, we can divide it into: rising sideways, falling sideways, high sidewaysLow orderThere are four cases of horizontal trading.
Upward consolidation: This consolidation is the process of taking a break after a period of rapid stock price rise, and then rising again.Its corresponding previous paragraphUpward trendIt is often the rapid rise after the weakness, fromvolumeLook up,Price increase and quantity increase, hereInventoryAt this stage, the trading volume did not shrink, althoughProfit takingThe market was sold, but the buying was strong, which was not enough to repel many parties.The winding is generally in the form of wedgesFlag shapeFinishing formappear.
Downward consolidation: such consolidation is that after a period of decline, the stock price has stabilized slightlyrebound, then turn around and go down again.Its corresponding previous decline was affected byBlissStrike, consolidation is justEmpty partyTake a break,price of stockIt rose slightly, but could not withstand another attack by the bears, and the stock price fell again. From the perspective of trading volume,Increase in price decline。
High horizontal plate: This horizontal market means that the stock price stagnates after a period of rise,price of stockCircling and fluctuating, many parties have run out of energy, the stock price is high, and the rising space is limited,MakersStep by step at the headShipment, oncemain forceWithdrawal, from many to short, the stock price will break down at one fell swoop.ThisInventoryGenerally, it appears in the form of rectangle and arc top.
Low orderHorizontal market: This horizontal market refers to the situation where the stock price hovers at the bottom after a period of declineLidoWith the emergence of, the popularity gradually gathered, and the market funds did not withdraw. As long as the stock price did not decline, they would enter the market in succession, from idle to more, and the main makersBoardChina continues to absorb cheapchipThe floating chips are decreasing day by day, and the pressure of upshifting is easing, so many parties are ready to launch in this area.When the above situations occur, the board will break up.This kind of consolidation is generally based on rectangleArc bottomMorphological appearance.
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The volatility of the stock market is the biggest headache for many investors,price of stockOne rise, one fall, one gain, one loss, suffering in such sideways shocks.Oscillating market is divided into low level oscillation, medium level oscillation, high level oscillation, rising market oscillation and falling market oscillation.For the above five different shock modes, take corresponding countermeasures respectively.
(1) In the low level oscillation market, investors should pay more attention to the buying signal, and the selling signal can be properly ignored, because once the low level oscillation is over, what will come will be a period of rise, and has been in the low level, so the possibility of decline is small;
(2) For the mid level oscillation market, the coping strategy at this time is to sell in time when the increase becomes larger, and buy in time when there is an upward trend, because no one can predict the rise or fall at this time;
(3) In the high level oscillation, that is, the stock price has risen to a certain height. Maybe there have been several shocks before, forming an overall upward wavy line. At this time, the risk of buying is quite high, but as it is approaching the final stage of rising, the range of stock price oscillation will also be very considerable. It can be said that high risks and great opportunities coexist at this time. If you are not a stock speculator,Never wade into this muddy water;
(4) In the rising market oscillation, generally speaking, this kind of stock has certain rising rules. When it rises to the top, there is obvious high pressure, it can be sold;
(5) When running in the descent channel, if you are not a short-term expert, it is recommended not to operate. At this time, the downward trend is inevitable, and you can only seek the price difference during the shock.
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Arbitrage Precautions for Weaker Horizontal Market Arrangement
In weak marketinterest arbitrageThe main goal of the company is to attract the attention of the old market shares, and to intervene when these old market shares have a large decline.In addition, you can also choose some low price small cap market shares for oversold arbitrage.
The language of arranging individual stocks horizontally
The main short-term factors affecting horizontal arrangement areInternal staff sharesListing, general meeting of shareholders, dividend distribution, listing of new shares of the same concept, short-term news, linkage of report publishing, etc.
The upper and lower order languages are:
1、be on showLarge selling, active short-term buyingshort-termAggressive potential.
2. Large upshift selling order, short termBid Inactive, the stock hasmain forceInduce more in the short run.
3. DownshiftBid Larger and continuously listed, this stock hasShipmentSuspicion.
4. The lower buying is relatively large, and there are big buying orders in the jump. The stock has the potential for short-term upward attack.
5. Both the upper and lower gears are linked to the order, and the fluctuation range of the stock is not large, so the stock is suspected of shipment.
6. Tail market single transactionSmash a dish, short-term offensive potential;The tail market is pulled up, and there is a suspicion of short-term shipment.
Main Causes of Horizontal Arrangement
There are two possibilities for horizontal consolidation breakthrough: upward and downward. Generally, no matter which direction, you should be decisive after high level breakthroughreduce one's position size, decisively add positions after low position breakthrough.The possibility of falling for a long time is relative to the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets
Formation and performance characteristics of horizontal arrangement
The formation of horizontal consolidation is mainly due to the fact that after a period of market rise, the main capital hasFull warehouseThe lack of follow-up funds, unable to climb up, had to stop hovering, this horizontal consolidation we call strongTransverse finishing ;Or the market is generally reluctant to sell after a large decline in the market, and the market is unable to rise or fall, and will also fluctuate in a narrow range.In the horizontal consolidation stage, there will be some changes in investors' operational thinking, which mainly refers to:
1. In the previous stage, the main force held a large number of varieties. At this time, the stock price potential of individual stocks was reassessed, and then adjustments were made (including shipment and release of funds for the next stage).
2. At this time, the individual stock market will have a certain degree of activity, and the market will take turnsScalping opportunity.
Arbitrage points of strong sideways consolidation
In a strong market, the main force, in order to maintain popularity and smoothly adjust its chips, often launches some plate quotations that account for a large proportion of the index, bringing opportunities for short-term arbitrage in the market. The following points should be noted for arbitrage:
1. Individual stocks with large index weight and low K line have greater opportunities.
2. There is a greater short-term opportunity for controlling and trading stocks to settle in the horizontal direction.
3、K lineAt a low level, the real-time trading window gives a large opportunity for individual stocks (50000 shares in a small market and 100000 shares in a large market) to be traded in a row, including those with relatively large volume and those with the highest turnover.
4. The operation should be fast and not excessively chasing the high. Usually, when the market falls in a short term, the individual stocks of the K line that vibrate laterally at the secondary high level (usually with upper and lower shadow lines) are selected to intervene. After two positive lines, they are ready to go out.
5. Avoid buying those with large volume breaks and short positions on the EMAIndividual shares。
