{“状态”:“确定”,“消息类型”:“工作”,“信息版本”:“1.0.0”,“邮件”:{“索引”:{“日期-部件”:[[2023,12,16]],“日期-时间”:“2023-12-16T05:06:21Z”,“时间戳”:1702703181477},“引用-计数”:36,“发布者”:“爱思唯尔BV”,“问题”:“1”,“许可证”:[{“开始”:{“日期-零件”:[2024,4]],“时间”:2024-04-01T00:00:00Z“,“时间戳”:1711929600000},“内容版本”:“tdm”,“延迟天数”:0,“URL”:“https://www.elsevier.com/tdm\/userlicense\/1.0\/”},{“开始”:{“日期部分”:[[2024,4,1]],“日期时间”:“2024-04-01T00:00:00Z”,“时间戳”:1711929600000},“内容版本”:“stm-asf”,“延迟天数”:0,“URL”:“https://doi.org/10.15223\/policy-017”},{“开始”:{“日期部分”:[[2024,4,1]],“日期-时间”:“2024-04-01T00:00:00Z”,“timestamp”:1711929600000},“content-version”:“stm-asf”,“delay-in-days”:0,“URL”:“https:\/\/doi.org\/10.15223\/policy-037”},{“start”:{“date-parts”:[[2024,4,1]],“date-time”:“2024-04-01T00-00:00Z”-days“:0,”URL“:”https:\/\/doi.org\/10.15223\/policy-012“},{“start”:{“date-parts”:[[2024,4,1]],“date-time”:“2024-04-01T00:00:00Z”,“timestamp”:1711929600000},“content-version”:“stm-asf”,“delay-in-days”:0,“URL”:“https:\/\/doi.org\/10.15223\/policy-029”},{“start”:{(日期部分):[[2024,4,1],“日期-时间”:“204-04-01T00:00:00Z”,”timestamp“171192960 0000},“content-version”:“stm-asf”,“delay-in-days”:0,“URL”:“https:\/\/doi.org\/10.15223\/policy-004”}],“content-domain”:{“domain”:[“elsevier.com”,“sciencedirect.com”],“crossmark-restriction”:true},“short-container-title”:[“European Journal of Operational Research”],”published-print“:{”date-parts“:[2024,4]},”doi“:”10.1016\/j.ejor.2023.08.056“,”类型“Journal-article”,“created”:{“日期部分”:[[2023,9,4]],“日期-时间”:“2023-09-04T22:50:09Z”,“时间戳”:1693867809000},“页面”:“111-121”,“更新策略”:“http:\/\/dx.doi.org/10.1016\/elsevier_cm_policy”,“源”:“Crossref”,“被计数引用”:0,“标题”:[“关于单变量预测模型的更新频率”],“前缀”:“10.1016”,“卷”:“314”,“作者”:[{”ORCID“:“http://\/orcid.org\/00000-0002-1854-1206”,“authenticated-orcid”:false,“given”:“Evangelos”,“family”:“Spiliotis”,“sequence”:“first”,“affiliation”:[]},{“givent”:“Fotios”,”family“:”Petropoulos“,”sequence“:”additional“,”affiliation:[]}],“member”:“78”,“reference”:[{“issue”:“10”,“key”:”10.1016\/j.ejor.2023.08.08.0 56_bib0001“,”doi-asserted-by“:”crossref“,“首页”:“1950”,“DOI”:“10.1016\/j.neucom.2009.11.030”,“article-title”:“多步头时间序列预测的多输出建模”,“volume”:“73”,“author”:“Ben Taieb”,“year”:“2010”,“journal-title“:”Neurocomputing“},{“key”:”10.1016\/j.ejor.2023.08.056_bib0002“,”DOI-asserted-by“:”crossref“,”首页“:”192“,DOI”:“10.1016\/j.ins.2011.12.028”,“article-title”:“关于时间序列预测值评估的交叉验证的使用”,“volume”:“191”,“author”:“Bergmeir”,“year”:“2012”,“journal-title):“Information Sciences”},{“issue”:“2”,“key”::“10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2020.07.007”,“article-title”:“Kaggle forecasting competitions:一个被忽视的学习机会”,“volume”:“37”,“author”:“Bojer”,“year”:“2021”,“journal-title“:”International journal of forecasting“},{”key“10.1016 \/j.ejor.2023.08.056_bib0004”,“series-title”:”Classification and regression trees(1st ed.)“,”author“:”Breiman“,“年份”:“1984”},{“key”:“10.1016\/j.ejor.2023.08.056_bib0005”,“series-title”:“预测需求的指数平滑”,“author”:“Brown”,“year”:“1956”}“,”文章标题“:“有效预测和判断调整:供应链计划改进的实证评估和策略”,“卷”:“25”,“作者”:“Fildes”,“年份”:“2009”,“期刊标题”:“国际预测杂志”},{“问题”:“4”,“关键”:“10.1016\/j.ejor.2023.08.056_bib0007”,“doi-asserted-by”:“crossref”,“首页”:“1283”,“doi”:“10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2019.06.004”,“article-title”:“零售预测:研究与实践”,“volume”:“38”,“author”:“Fildes”,“year”:“2022”,“journal-title“:”International journal of forecasting“},{“issue”:“8”,“key”:”10.1016\/j.ejor.2023.08.056_bib0008“,”doi-asserted-by“:”crossref“,”first page“1692”,”doi“:”10.116\/j.jbusres.2015.03.028“,“article-title”:“预测多个时间序列的简单与复杂选择规则”,“volume”:“68”,“author”:“Fildes”,“year”:“2015”,“journal-title:“journal of Business Research”},{“issue”:“1”,“key”:”10.1016\/j.ejor.2023.08.056_bib0009“,”doi-asserted-by“:”crossref“,”first page“:”1“,”doi“:”10.1002\/for.398004003“:“指数平滑:最新进展”,“卷”:“4”,“作者”:“加德纳”,“年份”:“1985年”,“期刊标题”:“预测杂志”},{“问题”:“四”,“关键”:“10.1016\/j.ejor.2023.08.056_bib0010”,“doi-asserted-by”:“crossref”,“首页”:“637”,“doi”:“1016\/j.ijforecast.2006.03.005”,“文章标题”:“指数平滑:最新进展-第二部分”,“卷”:“22”,“作者”:“加德纳”,“年份”:“2006”,“新闻标题”:“国际预测杂志”},{“关键”:“10.1016\/j.ejor.2023.08.056_bib0011”,“首页”:“14”,“文章标题”:《FVA:预测实践的现实检验》,“卷“:“29”,“作家”:“吉利兰”,“年度”:“2013”,“journal-title”:“Foresight:The International journal of Applied Forecasting”},{“issue”:“3”,“key”:“10.1016\/j.ejor.2023.08.056_bib0012”,“doi-asserted-by”:“crossref”,“first page”:”1“,“doi”:“1018637\/jss.v027.i03”,“article-title“:”自动时间序列预测:r的预测包“,”volume“:”27“,”author“:”Hyndman“,”“year”:“2008”,“journal-title”:“journal of Statistical Software”},{“issue”:“4”,“key”:“10.1016\/j.ejor.2023.08.056_bib0013”,“doi-asserted-by”:“crossref”,“first-page”:“679”,“doi”:“101016\/j.ijforecast.2006.03.001”,“article-title“:“预测准确性的另一种衡量方法”,“volume”:”22“author”:“Hyndman”,“year”:“2006”,“jornal-tittle”:“国际预测杂志”},{“key”:“10.1016\/j.ejor.2023.08.056_bib0014”,“series-title”:“指数平滑预测:状态空间方法”,“author”:“Hyndman”,“year”:“2008年”}01)00110-8英寸,“article-title”:“使用指数平滑方法进行自动预测的状态空间框架”,“卷”:“18”,“作者”:“Hyndman”,“年份”:“2002”,“期刊标题”:“国际预测杂志”},{“键”:“10.1016\/j.ejor.2023.08.056_bib0016”,“首页”:“3146”,“article-tittle”:“Lightgbm:高效梯度增强决策树”,“volume”:“30”,“author”:“Ke”,“year”:“2017”,“journal-title”:“Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems”},{“issue”:“5”,“key”:”10.1016\/j.ejor.2023.08.056_bib0017“,”doi-asserted-by“:”crossref“,”first page“937”,“doi”:“10.1080\/01605682.2021.1892464”,“article-title“:“关于预测准确性指标的选择”,“卷”:“73”,“作者”:“Koutsandreas”,“年份”:“2022年”,“期刊标题”:“运筹学学会杂志”},{“期刊”:“1”,“关键词”:“10.1016\/j.ejor.2023.08.056_bib0018”,“doi-asserted-by”:“crossref”,“首页”:“96”,“doi”:“101287\/ijds.2021.0003”,“article-title”:“预测比赛的未来:设计属性和原则”,“卷”:“1”,“作者”:“Makridakis”,“年份”:“2022”,“新闻标题”:“INFORMS journal on Data Science”},{“问题”:“4”,“关键”:“10.1016\/j.ejor.2023.08.056_bib0019”,“doi-asserted-by”:“crossref”,“首页”:“451”,”doi“10.1016 \/S0169-2070(00)00057-1”,“文章标题”:“M3-竞争:结果、结论和启示”,“卷”:“16”,“作者”:“Makridakis”,“年份”:“2000”,“新闻标题”:“国际预测杂志”},{“问题”:“1”,“关键”:“10.1016\/j.ejor.2023.08.056_bib0020”,“doi-asserted-by”:“crossref”,“首页”:“54”,“doi”:“101016\/j.ijforecast.2019.04.014”,“article-title”:“M4竞赛:100000个时间序列和61种预测方法”,“数量”:“36”,“作者”:“Makridakis”,“年份”:“2020年”,“新闻标题”:“国际预测杂志”},{“问题”:“4”,“关键”:“10.1016\/j.ejor.2023.08.056_bib0021”,“doi-asserted-by”:“crossref”,“首页”:“1325”,“doi”:“10116\/j.ijforecast.2021.07.007”,“article-title”:“M5竞赛:背景、组织和实施”,“卷”:“38”,“作者”:“Makridakis”,“年份”:“2022年”,“新闻标题”:“国际预测杂志”},{“关键”:“10.1016\/j.ejor.2023.08.056_bib0022”,“doi-asserted-by”:“crossref”,“首页”:“322”,”doi“10.1016 \/j.cor.2017.05.007”,“article-title”:“大数据预测:次优性重要吗?”,“volume”:“98”,“author”:“Nikolopoulos”,“year”:“2018”,“journal-title”:“Computers&Operations Research”},{“issue”:“3”,“key”:”10.1016\/j.ejor.2023.08.056_bib0023“,”doi-asserted-by“:”crossref“,”first page“705”,“doi”:“10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2021.1.001”,“article-title“:“预测:理论与实践”,“卷”:“38”,“作者”:“Petropoulos”,“年份”:“2022年”,“期刊标题”:“国际预测杂志”},{“关键”:“10.1016\/j.ejor.2023.08.056_bib0024”,“文章标题”:《Wielding occams razor:快速节俭零售预测》,“数量”:“2102.13209”,{“issue”:“2”,“key”:“10.1016\/j.ejor.2023.08.056_bib0025”,“doi-asserted-by”:“crossref”,“first page”:”545“,“doi”:“101016\/j.ejor.2018.01.045”,“article-title”:“探索不确定性的来源:为什么时间序列预测的袋装有效?”,“volume”:《268》,“author”:“Petropoulos”,“year”:“2018”,“journal-title“:“European Journal of Operational Research”},{“issue”:“4”,“key”:“10.1016\/j.ejor.2023.08.056_bib0026”,“doi-asserted-by”:“crossref”,“首页”:“822”,“doi”:“101016\/j.ijforecast.2018.03.001”,“article-title”:“零售预测从业者的考虑因素”,“volume”::“International Journal of Forecasting”},{“issue”:“3”,“key”:“10.1016\/j.jor.2023.08.056_bib0027”,“doi asserted by”:“crossref”,“first page”:“1072”,“doi”:“10.1016\/j.ijprediction.2020.11.009”,“article title”:“调查交叉学习时间序列预测方法的准确性”,“volume”:“37”,“author”:“Semenoglou”,“year”:“2021”,“Journal title”:“国际预测杂志”},{“key”:“10.1016\/j.ejor.2023.08.056_bib0028”,“首页”:“30”,“文章标题”:“时间序列预测的决策树”,“卷”:“64”,“作者”:“Spiliotis”,“年份”:“2022”,“期刊标题”:《预测:国际应用预测杂志》},“doi-asserted-by”:“crossref”,“first page”:“37”,“doi”:“10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2018.12.007”,《article-title》:“预测比赛数据是否代表现实?”,“volume”:《36》,“author”:“Spiliotis”,“year”:“2020”,“journal-title”:“International journal of forecasting”},{“key”:”10.1016\/j.ejor.2023.08.056_bib0030“,”doi-assert-by”:“crossref”,“first page”:“108237”,“DOI”:“10.1016\/j.ijpe.2021.108237“,“article-title”:“产品销售概率预测:使用M5竞争数据的实证评估”,“volume”:”240“,“author”:“Spiliotis”,“year”:“2021”,“journal title”:《国际生产经济学杂志》},{“key”:《10.1016\/j.ejor.2023.08.056_bib0031》,“unstructured”:“Svetunkov,I.(2021).soolth:使用状态空间模型进行预测。R包3.1.4https:\/\/CRAN.R-project.org\/package=smoolth.”},{“issue”:“3”,“key”:“10.1016\/j.ejor.2023.08.056_bib0032”,“doi-asserted-by”:“crossref”,“first-pages”:“920”,“doi”:“10116\/j.ijforecast.2021.07.002”,“article-title”:“FFORMPP:基于特征的预测模型性能预测”,“volume”:“38”,“author”:“Talagala”,“year”:“2022”,“journal-title”:“International journal of Forecasting”},{“issue”:“4”,“key”:”10.1016\/j.ejor.2023.08.056_bib0033“,“doi-asserted-by”:“crossref”,“first page”:第437页,“doi”:“10.1016\/S0169-2070(00)00065-0“,”article-title“:“预测准确性的样本外测试:分析与评论”,“卷”:“16”,“作者”:“塔什曼”,“年份”:“2000”,“新闻标题”:“国际预测杂志”},{“问题”:“1”,“关键”:“10.1016\/j.ejor.2023.08.056_bib0034”,“doi-asserted-by”:“crossref”,“首页”:“209”,“doi”:“101016\/j.ijforecast.2021.05.010”,“article-title”:“零售需求预测中基于分类的模型选择”,“数量”:“38”,“作者”:“乌尔里奇”,“年份”:“2022”,“期刊标题”:“国际预测杂志”},{“问题”:“3”,“关键”:“10.1016\/j.ejor.2023.08.056_bib0035”,“doi-asserted-by”:“crossref”,“首页”:“1333”,”doi“10.1016 \/j.ijforecast.202.06.007”,“article-title”:“使用深度学习提高预测稳定性”,“卷”:“39”,“作者”:“Van Belle”,“年份”:“2023年”,“新闻标题”:“国际预测杂志”},{“关键”:“10.1016\/j.ejor.2023.08.056_bib0036”,“首页”:“36”,“文章标题”:”预测效用和成本的超越误差测量”,“数量”:“63”,“作家”:“亚德利”,“年”:“2020年”,“期刊标题”:“远见:国际应用预测杂志”}],“容器标题”:[“欧洲运筹学杂志”],“原标题”:[],“语言”:“en”,“链接”:[{“URL”:“https:\/\/api.elsevier.com\/content\/article\/PII:S0377217217217006859?httpAccept=text\/xml”,“内容类型”:“text\/xml”,“内容版本”:“vor”,“intended-application”:“text-mining”},{“URL”:“https:\/\/api.elsevier.com/content\/article\/PII:S037722173006859?httpAccept=text\/plain”,“content-type”:“文本\/plaine”,“内容-version”:“vor”,“intented-appliation”:”text-miniing“}],“存放”:{“date-parts”:[2023,12,16]],“日期-时间”:“2023-12-16T03:38:37Z”,“时间戳”:170 2697917000},“分数”:1,“resource”:{“primary”:}“URL”:“https:\/\/linkinghub.elsevier.com\/retrieve\/pii\/S0377221723006859”}},“subtitle”:[],“shorttitle”:[],“issued”:{“date-parts”:[[2024,4]]},”references-count“:36,”journal-issue“:{”issue“1”,“published-print”:{-“date-parts”:[2024,4]}}、“alternative-id”:[”S0377221723006859“],”网址“:“http://\/dx.doi.org\/10.1016\/j.ejor.2023.08.056”,“关系”:{},“ISSN”:[“0377-2217”],“ISSN-type”:[{“value”:“03772217”,“type”:“print”}],“主题”:[],“已发布”:{“date-parts”:[2024,4]},,{“value”:“关于单变量预测模型的更新频率”,“name”:“articlettle”,“label”:“Article Title”},{“value”:“European Journal of Operational Research”,“name”:“journaltitle”,“label”:“Journal Title”},{“value”:“https://doi.org/10.1016\/j.jor.202308.056”,“name”:“articlelink”,“label”:“CrossRef doi链接到出版商维护的版本”},{“value”:“Article”,“name”:“content_type”,“label”:“content type”},{“value”:“\u00a9 2023 Elsevier B.V.保留所有权利。”,“name”:“copyright”,“label”:“版权”}]}